Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2006
Wind Advisory 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Jan 30, 2006, 3:48 PM EST for 12 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 31, 2006, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2006, 3:48 PM EST (20:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2006, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 31, 2006, 3:44 PM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 269 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 909 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 228 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 302048 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 348 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT... NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-311000- /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.060131T0500Z-060131T2300Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 348 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY COVERS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. SINCE THERE MAY BE DAMAGE REMAINING FROM THE PREVIOUS ICE STORMS AND HIGH WIND EVENTS...A FEW TREES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS FROM 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-054-055-066-067-SCZ001>003-311000- /O.NEW.KGSP.LW.Y.0011.060131T0500Z-060131T2300Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-POLK-RUTHERFORD- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 348 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDES MOST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. SINCE THERE MAY BE DAMAGE REMAINING FROM THE PREVIOUS ICE STORMS AND HIGH WIND EVENTS...A FEW TREES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS72 KGSP 310246 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 946 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS TONIGHT... NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-311100- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.060131T0500Z-060131T2300Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 946 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IN NORTHWEST FACING GAPS. SINCE THERE MAY BE DAMAGE REMAINING FROM THE PREVIOUS ICE STORMS AND HIGH WIND EVENTS...A FEW TREES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS FROM 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-054-055-066-067-SCZ001>003-311100- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0011.060131T0500Z-060131T2300Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-POLK-RUTHERFORD- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 946 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDES MOST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. SINCE THERE MAY BE DAMAGE REMAINING FROM THE PREVIOUS ICE STORMS AND HIGH WIND EVENTS...A FEW TREES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ MCAVOY
000 WWUS72 KGSP 310823 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 323 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS... NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-311715- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 323 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY...AND ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH 55 MPH AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MANY DAMAGED TREES FROM PREVIOUS STORMS AND WIND EVENTS THIS WINTER REMAIN STANDING...ALBEIT PRECARIOUSLY. WINDS SPEEDS OBSERVED TODAY MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH DANGEROUS WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN A THREAT UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS FROM 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-054-055-066-067-SCZ001>003-311715- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-POLK-RUTHERFORD- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 323 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS...ESPECIALLY HIGHER ELEVATIONS ADJACENT TO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS IN THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH COULD ALSO OCCUR...MAINLY THIS MORNING. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE FORECAST GRADUALLY FOR THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON PERIOD. MANY DAMAGED TREES FROM PREVIOUS STORMS AND WIND EVENTS THIS SEASON REMAIN STANDING...ALBEIT PRECARIOUSLY...BUT ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO PROLONGED WIND STRESS OR EXTREME GUSTS. WINDS TODAY MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES...OR AT A MINIMUM LARGE TREE LIMBS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$ 44
000 WWUS72 KGSP 311535 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1035 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS... NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-312300- /O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 1035 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS COULD APPROACH 55 MPH AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MANY DAMAGED TREES FROM PREVIOUS STORMS AND WIND EVENTS THIS WINTER REMAIN STANDING...ALBEIT PRECARIOUSLY. WINDS SPEEDS OBSERVED TODAY MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH DANGEROUS WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN A THREAT UNTIL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON PERIOD. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 40 MPH...OR GUSTS FROM 46 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-054-055-066-067-SCZ001>003-312300- /O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-POLK-RUTHERFORD- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 1035 AM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS...ESPECIALLY HIGHER ELEVATIONS ADJACENT TO THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS IN THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH COULD ALSO OCCUR. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. MANY DAMAGED TREES FROM PREVIOUS STORMS AND WIND EVENTS THIS SEASON REMAIN STANDING...ALBEIT PRECARIOUSLY...BUT ARE SUSCEPTIBLE TO PROLONGED WIND STRESS OR EXTREME GUSTS. WINDS TODAY MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN ADDITIONAL TREES...OR AT A MINIMUM LARGE TREE LIMBS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. $$
000 WWUS72 KGSP 312044 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 344 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-312145- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE 344 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY UNTIL EARLY EVENING...BUT WILL BE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. $$ GAZ010-017-NCZ034-054-055-066-067-SCZ001>003-312145- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-060131T2300Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MCDOWELL-BURKE-POLK-RUTHERFORD- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...MARION... MORGANTON...COLUMBUS...RUTHERFORDTON 344 PM EST TUE JAN 31 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. WINDS COULD BE BREEZY UNTIL SUNSET...BUT WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 30, 3:06 PM EST, 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 3:06 PM EST, 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
306 PM EST MON JAN 30 2006
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT)...
STRONG SHORT WAVE DIGGING OUT A TROF OVER THE EAST WILL PUSH A COLD
FRONT THRU THE AREA THIS EVENING. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT MOVE THRU THE AREA THIS EVENING.
STRONG COLD POOL WITH THE SHORT WAVE WILL CREATE SOME STEEP LAPSE
RATES...BUT INSTABILITY REMAINS MINIMAL ESPECIALLY WITH THE
CURRENTLY CRASHING DEW POINTS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWFA. CANNOT RULE
OUT AN ISOLATED SVR STORM...BUT CHANCE REMAINS LOW. LIKELY POP LOOKS
GOOD THIS EVENING. DRY SLOT AND DEVELOPING NWLY FLOW WILL END PRECIP
CHC OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EXPECT LIKELY POP TO CONTINUE OVER AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE MTNS
WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND NWLY FLOW. AS COLD AIR RUSHES INTO THE
NC MTNS...RAIN CHANGES TO SHOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...SNOW LEVELS
DO NOT FALL TO THE VALLEY FLOORS UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...ESP FROM
FRENCH BROAD SOUTH. H85 TEMPS NOT VERY COLD AND NWLY FLOW NOT VERY
STRONG. GIVEN THE TIME IT WILL TAKE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TO
DEVELOP...DO NOT EXPECT ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW TONIGHT...EXPECT MAYBE
IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.
DECENT CAA AND DOWNWARD OMEGA DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT...SO IT SHOULD GET
QUITE WINDY OVER THE MTNS. HOWEVER...H85 WINDS NOT FORECAST TO REACH
50 KTS. THEREFORE WILL ONLY GO WITH A WIND ADV FOR THE NC MTNS AND A
LAKE WIND ADV FOR THE NC FOOTHILLS AND SC/NE GA MTNS. WILL BEGIN
THESE ADVISORIES AT MIDNIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
TUESDAY...
MODELS INDICATE THAT NW FLOW...UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
INTO TUE MORNING OVER THE TN BORDER COUNTIES. HOWEVER...CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW THAT BEST MOISTURE WILL BE BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z...SO
EXPECT THAT ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOWERS WILL END AFTER ABOUT 16Z.
WINDS WILL REMAIN A FACTOR THROUGH TUE MORNING WITH BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
INDICATING GUST POTENTIAL TO 40KT. SO WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVISORY
THROUGH THE DAY. DOWNSLOPING...DRYING FLOW WILL DISSIPATE CLOUDS
OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS...SO EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THERE. USED
A BLEND OF MOS GUIDANCE FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES.
TUE NIGHT-THU...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE MOVING OVER AND THEN E OF THE REGION. GENERALLY CLEAR TUE
NIGHT THROUGH WED. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LIKELY BE ON THE
INCREASE WED NIGHT THROUGH THU AS RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS E OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER...12Z GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MOST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN
RAIN FREE THROUGH THU...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE MOUNTAINS WHERE
SOME LIGHT...WARM ADVECTION RAIN SHOWERS COULD ARRIVE THU
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ALL AREAS THU NIGHT AS UPPER SHORT
WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT.
DEEPER MOISTURE AND LIFT APPEAR TO MOVE E OF THE REGION BY 12Z FRI.
FRI-MON
12Z GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE LOCKING ONTO THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC
SOLUTION FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...THOUGH EXACT TIMING STILL UNDER
QUESTION. MORE SIGNIFICANT UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVES SE ON FRI CARVING
OUT A SIGNICANT UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW OHIO VALLEY REGION BY 12Z
SAT. ATTENDANT SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
WITH AN INTENSIFYING LOW MOVING NE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH A
TRAILING STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
12Z GFS SLOWER WITH THIS SCENARIO. BECAUSE OF TIMING CONCERNS...HAVE
CHANCE POPS IN THE GRIDS FROM FRI INTO SAT. HOWEVER...IF 12Z GFS
TIMING IS CORRECT FRI COULD BE ESSENTIALLY DRY WITH A PERIOD OF
SHOWERS AND MAYBE THUNDERSTORMS FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT.
NEVERTHELESS...COLD FRONT SWEEPS BY AFTER MIDDAY SATURDAY WITH
CLEARING CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF MOUNTAINS. A PERIOD OF NW FLOW
UPSLOPE SNOW APPEARS LIKELY FOR THE TN BORDER COUNTIES SAT AND SAT
NIGHT. THEN HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR SUN AND MON.
STAYED CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES WHICH ARE A ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES THROUGH THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY ON FRI.
&&
.AVIATION...
FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THRU THE AREA THIS EVENING. WILL BE BKN SHOWER
COVERAGE AND MAYBE EVEN SOME THUNDER...BUT NOT ENUF CHC TO PUT INTO
TAFS JUST YET. VSBY/CIGS MAY GO DOWN TO MVFR IN ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS
THAT DEVELOP...BUT LOOKS LIKE LOW VFR BEST CHC. THE EXCEPTION IS
KAVL WHERE MVFR CIGS LIKELY DURING THE RAIN. OTHERWISE WIND BIGGEST
CONCERN WITH TAFS. GENERALLY LIGHT SWLY WIND VEERS TO WLY WITH THE
FRONT EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN NW BEHIND IT BY LATE EVENING. KAND
REMAINS WLY WITH LEE TROF. NOT EXPECTING ANY GUSTS UNTIL 13Z OUTSIDE
OF THE MTNS...BUT GUSTS PICK UP AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR KAVL. VFR CLOUDS
SCATTER OUT AFTER MIDNIGHT XCPT KAVL WHERE THEY LINGER WITH THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND UPVALLEY FLOW. EXPECT ANY SNOW SHOWERS TO REMAIN
WELL NORTH OF THE KAVL TAF SITE.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017 FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY TO 6
PM TUESDAY.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065 FROM MIDNIGHT
TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY.
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ034-054-055-066-067 FROM MIDNIGHT
TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>003 FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY TO 6
PM TUESDAY.
&&
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...GABRIC
AVIATION...RWHHazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 6:37 AM EST, 9 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 637 AM EST MON JAN 30 2006 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-311145- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- 637 AM EST MON JAN 30 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. REFER TO CAENPWGSP FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE IN THE MID MORNING AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND DEEPEN RAPIDLY OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. COLDER AIR WILL BE BROUGHT SOUTH ON A WINDY NORTH WIND. NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER AREAS LATE TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL...MAINLY FROM MADISON COUNTY NORTHWARD TO BANNER ELK AND BEECH MOUNTAIN. EXPECT THE WIND TO INCREASE TONIGHT IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS INTO THE SUSTAINED AT 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED IF THE MODELS GO WITH WIND ANY STRONGER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS BORDERING TENNESSEE WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END IN THE MID DAY HOURS ON TUESDAY. 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM MADISON COUNTY TO AVERY COUNTY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AGAIN AS SNOW DURING THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT ANY REPORTS OF SNOWFALL OR WIND PROBLEMS WOULD BE HELPFUL. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082- SCZ001>014-019-311145- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CALDWELL-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-POLK-RUTHERFORD- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 637 AM EST MON JAN 30 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. REFER TO CAENPWGSP FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. THE DENSE FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE IN THE MID MORNING AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST. THE STORMS SHOULD BE MOST NUMEROUS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND DEEPEN RAPIDLY OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THE WIND COULD BECOME BREEZY LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND. TOO EARLY TO TELL THE EXTENT OF THE WEATHER IN THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AS FAR AS RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND THE EXTENT OF ANY POTENTIAL THUNDER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT. DEO
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 5:58 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | GSP | Alexander, Avery, Buncombe, Catawba, Cleveland, Graham and 9 more | 4 hr |
| Jan 30, 3:48 PM EST | Lake Wind Advisory | GSP | 24 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2006Every wind advisory in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.