Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2006
Wind Advisory 23, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Dec 25, 2006, 10:54 AM EST for 17 counties in North Carolina; Rabun County, Georgia. It took effect at Dec 25, 2006, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 25, 2006, 10:54 AM EST (15:54 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 25, 2006, 11:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 25, 2006, 2:30 PM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Rabun County, GA, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 299 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 487 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 490 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 541 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS72 KGSP 251554 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1054 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UPGRADED TO WIND ADVISORY IN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS... .STRONG WINDS...CAUSING TREE DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND THE GREAT SMOKEY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PART. WITH STRONGER WINDS GETTING INTO THE VALLEYS AND THE SOIL SATURATED BY RAIN...EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED IN ISOLATED AREAS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. WHILE DAMAGE CAN OCCUR AT ANY ELEVATION...THE HIGHER PEAKS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS. GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-252300- /O.CAN.KGSP.LW.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-061225T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0023.061225T1600Z-061225T2300Z/ RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 1054 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SOUTERLY WIND OF 20 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY IN THE NORTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE AREA...BUT THE HIGHER PEAKS ARE EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE THE HIGHEST WIND GUSTS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ DICARLO
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS72 KGSP 251930 NPWGSP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 230 PM EST MON DEC 25 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... .THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STRONG WINDS THAT WERE REPORTED NEAR THE AREA HAVE DISSIPATED. GAZ010-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-252030- /O.CAN.KGSP.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-061225T2300Z/ RABUN-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE... CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE 230 PM EST MON DEC 25 2006 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. $$ DICARLO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Dec 25, 9:23 AM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 9:23 AM EST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
923 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006
.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN STATES
THIS MORNING WITH NO REAL SURPRISES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS A LITTLE
LOWER THAN EXPECTED BUT WITH CONTINUING PRECIP INTO THE AFTERNOON
I PLAN TO CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH FOR CLT METRO. GENERAL FEELING
THAT ONLY TWO INCHES OF RAIN WILL PRODUCE URBAN FLOODING...AND
AS PRECIP BECOMES MORE SHOWERY THIS AFTERNOON...SMALL STREAMS
COULD STILL BE A PROBLEM.
STILL HAVE NOT DECIDED TO GO WITH A WINTER WARNING OR ADVISORY FOR
TOMORROW. WILL WAIT FOR 12Z MODEL RUN AND COORDINATION WITH OTHER
OFFICES.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 317 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006/
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THIS
SOMEWHAT MILLER TYPE-B SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. LARGE
RAIN SHIELD HAS OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AT THIS EARLY HOUR
AND THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF THE MORNING AS
THE PRIMARY LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD OUT OF THE MS DELTA. NEEDLESS TO
SAY...PLENTY OF FORCING MAKES A CATEGORICAL POP OBVIOUS...BUT WHAT
IS NOW A BIT PROBLEMATIC IS HOW MUCH AND WHEN IT WILL ALL END.
THERE IS REASON TO BELIEVE THAT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NE GULF
WILL STEAL AWAY SOME OF THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE ERN PART OF
THE FCST AREA. NOT ONLY THAT...IT ALSO APPEARS THAT THE BEST
POTENTIAL FOR DEEP CONVECTION WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR EAST ALONG WITH
THE LOW LEVEL JET AND THE DEVELOPING NEW LOW OVER THE ERN CAROLINAS.
AS A RESULT...FOR THE TIME BEING THE PROSPECTS FOR ENOUGH HEAVY RAIN
TO CAUSE FLOODING OVER THE PIEDMONT ARE LOOKING SLIMMER...BUT THE
WATCH WILL NOT BE CANCELLED UNTIL THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY CLOSES.
THERE IS ALSO REASON TO BELIEVE THAT STEADY PRECIP WILL LIFT OUT
MUCH EARLIER THAN EXPECTED. UPSTREAM RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A BACK EDGE
ALREADY PUSHING EASTWARD TO THE AL/GA BORDER. AT THIS RATE...IT
WOULD MOVE INTO THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND
11Z...AND COULD BE LEAVING THE EASTERN ZONES IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THE MODELS SUGGEST THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH FORCING FOR
ADDITIONAL PRECIP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT WHAT COULD CHANGE IS
THE CHARACTER OF THE PRECIP TO SOMETHING MORE SHOWERY. AS FOR THE
WINDS...A DOWNWARD TREND IS ALSO INDICATED TO THE POINT WHERE STRONG
WIND GUSTS ARE LOOKING MORE DOUBTFUL BELOW ABOUT 4000 FEET. SINCE A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS ALREADY BEEN ISSUED...IT MIGHT AS WELL BE
MAINTAINED IN THE EVENT THAT STRONGER WIND GUSTS MIX DOWN LATE IN
THE DAY WITH PARTIAL CLEARING. TEMPS WILL NOT BUDGE MUCH FROM
SUNRISE ONWARD AS IN SITU COLD AIR DAMMING DEVELOPS...ALTHO HIGHS
HAVE BEEN NUDGED UP A FEW DEGREES OVER THE SW WITH THE THINKING THAT
AN EARLIER END MIGHT MEAN SOME SUN BY THE END OF THE DAY.
THE SURFACE LOWS WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST THIS EVENING AND THE
DRY SLOT SHOULD BRING AN END TO MOST OF THE PRECIP OUTSIDE THE
MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT QUESTION IS WHEN THE COLD AIR WILL FINALLY WRAP
IN AROUND THE DEPARTING LOW...AND THE MODELS SUGGEST A DELAY UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. THIS MEANS ANY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL HAVE
TO WAIT UNTIL THE TUESDAY PERIOD AS SNOW LEVELS DO NOT FALL
APPRECIABLY UNTIL THE 12Z-18Z TIME FRAME. THE ENSUING NW FLOW
UPSLOPE STILL HAS A LOT GOING FOR IT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A TRAILING
SHORT WAVE IN THE MIDDLE PART OF THE DAY AND A SLIGHTLY MORE
NORTHWESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND AT 850MB...BUT THE NAM IS
INDICATING THE DURATION OF SNOW POTENTIAL IS NOW MORE LIKE 18 HOURS
AND MODEL QPF IS LESS THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. THE CURRENT THINKING IS TO
LET THE WATCH RIDE FOR NOW...SINCE THE DELAY IN CHANGEOVER AFFORDS
US THE TIME TO PERHAPS ISSUE A WARNING WITH SUFFICIENT LEAD TIME
BASED ON THE NEXT MODEL CYCLE. TEMPS WERE NUDGED UP A FEW DEGREES TO
FOLLOW THE GUIDANCE TREND.
THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF ACROSS THE TN BORDER TUESDAY NIGHT...AND
AFTERWARD THE FORECAST GETS A WHOLE LOT LESS COMPLICATED WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING IN FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPS WERE
NUDGED TOWARD THE MODEL BLEND.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST THURSDAY. TEMPS
WERE NUDGED UP A BIT AS THE OPERATIONAL GFS INDICATES A WARMING
TREND IN THE EARLY PART OF THE MEDIUM RANGE. THE NEW GFS SEEMS
PREMATURE IN DEVELOPING LIGHT PRECIP AND ANOTHER IN SITU COLD AIR
DAMMING WEDGE ON FRIDAY...SO THIS WILL BE IGNORED. OTHERWISE...THERE
ISNT MUCH IN THE NEW RUN TO GIVE PAUSE ABOUT THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...SO NO CHANGES WERE MADE.
AVIATION...
LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE CWFA AT 0600 UTC. HOWEVER...
VISBY/CIGS HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO CRASH THUS FAR...OWING TO THE VERY
DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS. NEVERTHELESS...AS STRONG ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE/
UPSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS LATER THIS MORNING...EXPECT AVIATION WEATHER
TO GRADUALLY DETERIORATE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH IFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT MOST TERMINALS BY SUNRISE. DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE/FORCING WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA BY AROUND 18Z...
BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD PRECIP. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN ENSCONCED...AND EXPECT ONLY MODEST IMPROVEMENT TO CIGS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010 UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-034-048>055-058-059-062>066-501-
503-505-507-509 UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NCZ033-048>052-058-059 FROM 7 AM
TUESDAY TO 7 AM WEDNESDAY.
...FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ057-070>072-082 UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR SCZ009-014 UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY.
&&
SHORT TERM...VADHazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 6:00 AM EST, 4 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 600 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-068-069-502-504-506-508-510- SCZ001>008-010>013-019-261100- HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE- CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON- ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-GREENWOOD- 600 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...BUT SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ033-048>052-058-059-261100- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON- 600 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. HOWEVER...AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT ANY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL HAPPEN AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AT RIDGETOP LEVEL. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED AT 348 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING ALONG THE TENNESEE BORDER. ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM AN INCH OR TWO IN THE VALLEYS TO SEVERAL INCHES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE URGENT WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED AT 421 AM. NO ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GAZ010-NCZ053-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-261100- RABUN-BUNCOMBE-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- 600 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AT RIDGETOP LEVEL. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED AT 348 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ057-070>072-082-SCZ009-014-261100- ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-YORK-CHESTER- 600 AM EST MON DEC 25 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE FLOOD WATCH ISSUED AT 323 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MOORE
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2:38 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | GSP | Avery, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Madison and 3 more | 11 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2006Wind Advisories in Georgia, 2006Every wind advisory in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.