Wind Advisory 17, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 271945
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
345 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

.AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING HIGH WINDS TO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. AS
THE LOW MOVES BY LATE TONIGHT...THE WIND SHOULD BRIEFLY GO DOWN.
HOWEVER...AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY...
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY AS
COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-065-272200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061027T2200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
345 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND FRENCH
BROAD VALLEY OF NORTH CAROLINA. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS

WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 35 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD DIE DOWN
SOMEWHAT LATE THIS EVENING...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN
DRAMATICALLY DURING THE MORNING ON SATURDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING
MAY BE ISSUED FOR SATURDAY IF NEW DATA SUGGESTS THE HIGH WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO
55 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MY BLOWN ABOUT BY
THE WIND.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

NCZ051-058-059-062>064-272200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061027T2200Z/
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
345 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 35 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY EXPERIENCE GUSTS
TO 55 MPH. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN DURING THE LATE PART
OF THE EVENING. MORE STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO
55 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MY BLOWN ABOUT BY
THE WIND.

$$

MOORE

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 272148
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
548 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. AS
THE LOW MOVES BY LATE TONIGHT...THE WIND SHOULD BRIEFLY DIMINISH.
HOWEVER...AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY...
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY AS
COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-065-280400-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
548 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND
MUCH OF THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY.

WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 35 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. THE WINDS SHOULD DIE DOWN AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN DRAMATICALLY DURING
THE MORNING ON SATURDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR
SATURDAY IF NEW DATA SUGGESTS THE HIGH WINDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO
55 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT
BY THE WIND.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

NCZ051-058-059-062>064-280400-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
548 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS IS NOW IN
EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT.

WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 35 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY
EXPERIENCE GUSTS TO 55 MPH. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE DOWN
AFTER MIDNIGHT. MORE STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO
55 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT
BY THE WIND.

$$

HG

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 280109
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
909 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY...

.AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS LATE THIS
EVENING. AS THE LOW MOVES BY LATE TONIGHT...THE WIND SHOULD
BRIEFLY DIMINISH. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST
ON SATURDAY...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE
DRAMATICALLY AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-065-280400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
909 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A
HIGH WIND WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS
OF NORTH CAROLINA.

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH....WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING AS SHOWERS MOVE IN FROM THE WEST.
THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT
ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP RAPIDLY AFTER DAYBREAK. NORTHWEST WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WILL BE LIKELY ON SATURDAY...WITH SOME WIND GUSTS
REACHING 60 MPH AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A HIGH WIND WARNING MAY
BE ISSUED EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO 55
MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT
BY THE WIND.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

NCZ051-058-059-062>064-280400-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
909 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR
THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

SOUTH WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL MIDNIGHT. THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG GUSTS WILL BE NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING THROUGH THE SMOKIES LATE THIS EVENING. THE WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT THEN INCREASE
AGAIN AFTER DAYBREAK ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER WIND ADVISORY MAY NEED
TO BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT FOR SATURDAY. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 50 TO 55
MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. SECURE LOOSE ITEMS THAT MAY BE BLOWN ABOUT
BY THE WIND.

$$

NCZ501-503-505-280915-
/O.EXA.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
909 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE BEGINNING AROUND
DAYBREAK SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 25 TO 35
MPH...WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS EXPERIENCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
AT TIMES. A HIGH WIND WARNING COULD BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT FOR
SATURDAY IF THE CONFIDENCE IN DAMAGING WINDS INCREASES.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

HG

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 280350
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1150 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...STRONG WIND GUSTS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS SATURDAY...

.DEEP LOW PRESSURE IN THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A VERY STRONG
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. VERY GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN AFFECT THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-065-281200-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...HENDERSONVILLE
1150 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. A HIGH
WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A FRONT CROSSES THE
REGION AND THE STRONGER SHOWERS DISSIPATE. WINDS WILL THEN
INCREASE RAPIDLY AFTER DAYBREAK AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO SURGE INTO
THE REGION. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SATURDAY...WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS SINCE A HIGH WIND WARNING COULD BE ISSUED EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

$$

NCZ051-058-059-062>064-280500-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-061028T0400Z/
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
1150 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY RETURN
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AFTER DAYBREAK
SATURDAY AS COLD AIR SURGES IN ON NORTHWEST FLOW. A WIND ADVISORY
MAY NEED TO BE REISSUED LATER THIS MORNING.

$$

NCZ501-503-505-281200-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0006.061028T1000Z-061029T0400Z/
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1150 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE BEGINNING
AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 25 TO
35 MPH...WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS EXPERIENCING WIND GUSTS UP TO
60 MPH AT TIMES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A HIGH WIND WARNING COULD
BE ISSUED EARLY SATURDAY IF THE CONFIDENCE IN DAMAGING WINDS
INCREASES.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 AM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY/...
A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AND
TONIGHT...DRIVING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. AHEAD OF THIS COLD
FRONT...ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND AN OPEN GULF WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL...WHICH WILL BE ENHANCED BY A STRONG JET MAX ALOFT AND AN
UPSLOPE LOW LEVEL COMPONENT. AT THIS TIME RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES
IS EXPECTED...BUT SPREAD OVER SUFFICIENT TIME TO LIMIT RUNOFF.
MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND
ALONG THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY TODAY...SHIFTING TO THE
PIEDMONT COUNTIES FROM CHARLOTTE TO ELBERTON TONIGHT. ENOUGH SHEAR
WILL BE IN PLACE TO WARRANT CLOSE INSPECTION OF ANY WELL DEVELOPED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PIEDMONT FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SOUTHERLY WIND WILL BE QUITE STIFF ALOFT TODAY AND TONIGHT
IN A TIGHT GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS WILL EXPERIENCE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...THOUGH WARM
ADVECTION AND RISING MOTION SHOULD KEEP ALL BUT THE HIGHEST PEAKS
FROM REALIZING HIGH WINDS. EVAPORATIVE COOLING AND A NORTHEAST
SURFACE FLOW SHOULD LIMIT ANY TEMPERATURE GAIN TODAY...WHILE CLOUDS
AND WIND LIMIT COOLING TONIGHT...DESPITE THE ONSET OF STRONG COLD
ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

COLD ADVECTION WILL BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DOWNSLOPE
WARMING SATURDAY....AND WITH THE RAIN COOLED AIR MASS SCOURED...
SATURDAY WILL ACTUALLY BE WARMER THAN TODAY. AS DOWNWARD MOTION AND
COLD ADVECTION COMBINE WITH A TIGHT SURFACE GRADIENT SATURDAY...THE
WIND WILL BECOME QUITE GUSTY FORM THE WEST NORTHWEST...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. AT THIS TIME THE FORECAST ONLY HAS A FEW
PIXELS OF WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA VELOCITIES...MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. NORTHWEST FLOW SHOWERS SHOULD SET UP
BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT....CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN
TAPERING OFF SATURDAY EVENING. PARTIAL THICKNESS...850 MB
TEMPERATURES...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS DO NOT SUPPORT SNOW WITH THIS
NORTHWEST FLOW PRECIPITATION. A PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL LIMIT COOLING...AS THE INVADING HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES FROM THE GULF STATES TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE EASTERN LW TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OFF THE EAST COAST BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...GIVING WAY TO ZONAL FLOW EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL
QUICKLY TRANSITION TO A SOUTHWEST FLOW AND A WARMING TREND BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE FLOW BACKS IN RESPONSE TO
SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVING OUT OF THE CTRL/WRN CONUS. IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS...THE GFS BRINGS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA ON THU. THIS IS APPROX 18 HOURS LATER THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS...SO THERE ARE OBVIOUSLY SOME TIMING
CONCERNS. FOR NOW...POPS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE SLIGHT CHANCE RANGE
FOR WED NIGHT AND THU.

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH MVFR
CIGS FORECAST W TAF SITES TOWARD DAYBREAK...SPREADING E DURING
MORNING HOURS. EXPECT VIS TO COME DOWN TO MVFR AS RAIN BECOMES MORE
STEADY WITH CEILINGS GOING IFR MID DAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
EVE. WINDS WILL PICK UP AT 5-10 KTS FROM THE NE AS IN-SITU WEDGE
DEVELOPS MID-LATE MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTN-EVE
TSTMS BUT NOT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN TAFS ATTM. MODELS INDICATE A FAIR
AMOUNT OF SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL WIND SHEAR LATER TODAY AND LLWS MAY
NEED TO BE INCLUDED IN LATER TAFS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065 FROM NOON
     FRIDAY TO 6 PM FRIDAY.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JDL
AVIATION...RB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
407 PM EDT THU OCT 26 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-271015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
407 PM EDT THU OCT 26 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN...AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
REGION ON FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED. PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... CAESPSGSP
FOR DETAILS ON THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. IN ADDITION...WIND FIELDS
WILL BECOME VERY STRONG AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ON THE PEAKS AND
RIDGE TOPS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY...WHERE
SUSTAINED SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF UP TO 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER IN THE VALLEYS...THUNDERSTORMS AND
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING THESE STRONGER WINDS DOWN TO THE
VALLEY FLOORS FROM TIME TO TIME.

ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY WEAK...THE
VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
1 OR 2 ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY
EVENING.

ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND BECOME QUITE STRONG AND
GUSTY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT. RAINFALL REPORTS MAY
BE NEEDED FROM SPOTTERS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING.

LANE