Wind Advisory 10, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 141509
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1009 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...

.A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT.

NCZ033-049-050-142300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1009 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY IN AVERY...MITCHELL...
AND YANCEY COUNTIES. WIND SPEEDS WILL REACH 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-142300-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-CALDWELL-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-
BURKE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...MARION...MORGANTON...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
1009 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY IN THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA. WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO CROSS E COAST TODAY...DRIVING
SURFACE COLD FRONT E OF AREA. EXPECT RAPID DRYING BEHIND FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH WIND COMING UP FROM NW IN ITS WAKE IN SUBSTANTIAL
DOWNWARD VRETICAL MOTION. WILL ISSUE WIND ADVISORY N NC MTS...AND
LAKE WIND ADVISORY REST OF MTS AND MOST OF N NC FOOTHILLS. BRIEF AND
MINOR LULL IN WIND EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BUT MAY NEED ANOTHER WIND
ADVISORY NC MTS LATE TONIGHT INTO WED AS 850 MB WIND STRENGTHENS TO
50 KTS ACROSS NE PORTION OF AREA. UPPER FLOW BACKS FROM NW TO W
TONIGHT...REMAING ZONAL THROUGH THU. WHILE DRY SURFACE RIDGE
CROSSES AREA. ON THU MOISTURE ADVECTION ON BACK SIDE OF RIDGE WILL
BE LIMITED IN WEAK GULF INFLOW...AND HAVE REMOVED POPS. SHORTWAVE
TROUGH DIVING AROUND E CANADIAN VORTEX THU TO DRIVE A COLD FRONT
ACROSS AREA...WITH LIMITED MOISTURE/INSTABILTY SUPPORTING ONLY
SMALL CHANCE POPS AND NO THUNDER. THICKNESS RAPIDLY LOWERS BEHIND
BOUNDARY AND WILL CARRY MIX RW/SW 3K-4K FT...WITH SNOW SHOWERS
ABOVE 4K FT.

TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL MTS IN COLD ADVECTION TODAY...BUT REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL LEE IN DOWNSLOPE WARMING. AREA NOTABLY COLDER TONIGHT
...THOUGH WIND STAYING UP SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. MAX TEMPERTURES LOWER WED AS COOL HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES SE TO SC COAST. MIN TEMPERTURES CLIMB WED NIGHT AND THU NIGHT
AND MAX TEMPRATURES LOWER SLIGHTLY THU AS CLOUDS SPREAD E AHEAD
OF NEXT FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
NO BIG SURPRISES IN THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE. 12Z NUMERICAL
MODELS/HPC GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO INDICATE A COOL...GENERALLY DRY
PERIOD. UPPER FLOW GOES FOR ZONAL TO NW BY SAT. PERIOD BEGINS WITH
COOL...DRY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE W OF THE REGION TUE NIGHT WHICH
BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON WED. LOOKS LIKE A FROSTY NIGHT TUE NIGHT AS
WINDS SHOULD DECOUPLE. WENT WITH A BLEND OF MOS NUMVBERS FOR LOWS.
CLEAR CONDITIONS SHOULD GIVE WAY TO INCREASING HIGH CLOUDINESS ON
WED PER MODEL CROSS SECTIONS. MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A WEAK
CLIPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON THU WITH AN ASSOCIATED
REINFORCING COLD FRONT. GULF MOISTURE TRIES TO LOAD UP IN RETURN
FLOW AROUND HIGH...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE DRY AIRMASS WILL TAKE ITS TOLL
ON MOISTURE ADVECTING INTO SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...SO THAT THU
SHOULD REMAIN DRY BUT WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA THU NIGHT BUT WITHOUT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...IT
LOOKS LIKE MOST/IF NOT ALL OF PRECIP WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
MOUNTAINS. ENOUGH COLD AIR COULD ARRIVE IN TIME LATE THU NIGHT FOR
SNOW TO MIX WITH ANY REMAINING RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS. COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NOSES OVER THE REGION
FROM THE NW ON FRI AND REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. INCREASING
CLOUDS ON SUN IN DEVELOPING WARM ADVECTION MAY MAKE FOR AN
UNSEASONABLY COOL DAY...BUT DID NOT GO QUITE AS LOW AS HPC NUMBERS
WOULD INDICATE. OTHER DEVIATION FROM HPC WAS THU NIGHT MIN TEMPS E
OF MOUNTAINS WHERE I WENT ABOUT A CATEGORY LOWER. LOOKS LIKE COLD
FRONT WILL BE FASTER THAN HPC PROG.

&&

.AVIATION...
ATLANTA AND GREENSBORO SOUNDINGS SHOW ATMOSPHERE CAPPED OVER AREA SO
CHANCE OF TSTMS OVENIGHT IS MINIMAL. BACK EDGE OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CWA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH MOST PRECIPITATION MOVING E
OF KCLT SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. WINDS SHOULD COME AROUND FROM THE NW
AND INCREASE AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. STILL EXPECT DOWNSLOPE TO REMOVE
LOW CLOUDS BY MID MORNING...LEAVING VFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY NW
WINDS ALL TAF SITES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MARGINAL RED FLAG EVENT IN STORE FOR LEE OF MTS TODAY. RAINFALL
WITH CURRENT SYSTEM WETTING FUELS IN MTS...AND FAR S. EXPECT RH
VALUES SLIGHTLY ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA IN MT VALLEYS...AND WELL
ABOVE ON PEAKS WHERE COLD ADVECTION GREATEST. RH SLIGHTLY BELOW
CRITERIA LEE OF MTS...AND WIND GENREALLY 10 TO 20 MPH WHICH BARELY
MEETS CRITERIA. HAVE CENCELLED FIRE WEATHER WATCH NC/GA MTS..AS
WELL AS ELBERT/ABBEVILLE/GREENWOOD COUNTIES...AND UPGRADED WATCH
TO RED FLAG WARNING REST OF AREA. WILL MONITOR RADAR AND
OBSERVATIONS AND ADJUST RED FLAG WARNING AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FOR GAZ018-026-028 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 PM
     TUESDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017 FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM
     TUESDAY.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ033-049-050 FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM
     TUESDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-062>065 FROM
     6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY.
  ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR NCZ034>037-054>057-066>072-082 FROM NOON
     TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>003 FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 PM
     TUESDAY.
  ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR SCZ001>010-012>014 FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6
     PM TUESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...BPM/NED
FIRE WEATHER...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1213 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-141115-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
1213 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS TENNESSEE
THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD REACH THE WESTERN TIP OF NORTH CAROLINA
THIS EVENING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PRODUCE STRONG OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
THIS EVENING AS THE LINE MOVES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THE AREA TO
THE NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 85 HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED AT 1114 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
DRIER AIR AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT WIND GUSTS WILL REACH 30
MPH ON A FREQUENT BASIS AND THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW
25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS AND MUCH OF THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...SEE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH ISSUED AT 1200 PM.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

MOORE