Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 511, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 7, 2006, 5:21 PM EDT for Lincoln County, North Carolina. It was in force for 54 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 7, 2006, 5:21 PM EDT (21:21 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 7, 2006, 6:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 54 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Lincoln County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 5:40 PM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | Crouse, NC | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN AND NEAR CROUSE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 19 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1301 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -80 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 875 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -13 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS52 KGSP 072121
SVRGSP
NCC109-072215-
/O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0511.060807T2121Z-060807T2215Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
521 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 521 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF VALE...OR ABOUT 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LINCOLNTON...AND
WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LINCOLNTON BY 540 PM EDT...
BOGER CITY BY 545 PM EDT...
IRON STATION BY 605 PM EDT...
PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...THROUGH OUR
AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.
LAT...LON 3556 8143 3556 8138 3555 8137 3555 8120
3540 8102 3540 8114 3541 8115 3541 8139
3552 8147
$$
HG2 follow-up statements
000
WWUS52 KGSP 072150
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
549 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006
NCC109-072215-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0511.000000T0000Z-060807T2215Z/
LINCOLN NC-
549 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR LINCOLN COUNTY...
AT 549 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR CROUSE...OR ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTH OF LINCOLNTON...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
IRON STATION BY 555 PM EDT...
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT LOCATIONS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
GASTON COUNTY BORDER...JUST NORTH OF HIGH SHOALS.
LAT...LON 3556 8143 3556 8138 3555 8137 3555 8120
3540 8102 3540 8114 3541 8115 3541 8139
3552 8147
$$
HG000
WWUS52 KGSP 072214
SVSGSP
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
614 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006
NCC109-072224-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0511.000000T0000Z-060807T2215Z/
LINCOLN NC-
614 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LINCOLN COUNTY EXPIRES AT 615
PM EDT...
AT 614 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD MOVED SOUTH OF THE COUNTY.
LAT...LON 3556 8143 3556 8138 3555 8137 3555 8120
3540 8102 3540 8114 3541 8115 3541 8139
3552 8147
$$
HGWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 7, 2:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 2:50 PM EDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 250 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... SCATTERED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO PERCOLATE INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACRS THE CWFA WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ATMOSPHERE IS PRETTY WEAKLY FORCED...AND SOURCES OF LIFT/TRIGGERS WILL RANGE FROM TERRAIN...LEE/PIEDMONT TROUGH TO POSSIBLE OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER STORMS OVER SW VA. 12 UTC SNDGS VERY MOIST...PWATS AT KGSO ARE 160 PERCENT OF NORMAL WITH EXPECTEDLY VERY HIGH FREEZING LEVELS. SO...EXPECT ONGOING ISOLATED WET MICROBURST AND LOCALLY TORRENTIAL RNFL THREAT. WILL PLAN ON MAX TEMPS ABOUT A DEGREE OR TWO HIGHER ON TUESDAY AS NAM INDICATES A BOOST IN LLVL THICKNESS VALUES...LEADING TO HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEG F. MODEL TIMEHEIGHTS SHOW DEEP LAYER RH LESS PREVALENT AND ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO BE WEAKLY FORCED. NONETHELESS...WOULD EXPECT ANOTHER AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY. FOCUSING MECHANISM...IN THE FORM OF SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT LOOKS TO DROP INTO THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE CWFA BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALL IN ALL...LITTLE CHANGE FROM GOING SENSIBLE WX FCST...AFTERNOON SCATTERED TSTMS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... SUN NGHT THROUGH THU NGHT... WEAK BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE UPSTATE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PCPN SHOULD END FAIRLY QUICKLY TUE EVENING DESPITE THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT AS THE STRONGEST LLVL CONVERGENCE AND THE BEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. DURING THE DAY OF WED THE FRONT BECOMES QUITE DIFFUSE...BUT A WEAK AREA OF SURFACE CONVERGENCE REMAINS OVER THE UPSTATE AND CENTRAL NC MTNS PER BOTH THE GFS AND NAM. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ONLY ON THE ORDER OF 20 KTS...BUT HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND K INDICES IN THE UPPER 30S SHOULD SUPPORT QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON. HAVE GONE WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS MOST AREAS...WITH THE LOWEST POPS IN THE SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIR NORTH OF I-40 IN THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. POPS MAY NEED TO BE BUMPED UP INTO THE LIKELY RANGE ALONG THE SFC BNDRY...BUT WL LEAVE THAT FOR LATER SHIFTS. DON/T SEE MUCH OF A SEVERE THREAT...BUT SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING COULD BE A CONCERN WITH THE UPSLOPE FLOW BALANCED AGAINST THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. PCPN WILL SLOWLY TAPER OFF WED EVENING...THOUGH SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO CREEP INTO THE PICTURE AT THIS POINT. THE GFS DEVELOPS AN MCS OVER IN AND NRN KY WED AFTERNOON. IT TRACKS THIS SYSTEM SOUTHEAST WED NIGHT AND CLIPS OUR NRN ZONES AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE NAM IS NOT NEARLY AS AGGRESSIVE IN DEVELOPING THIS MCS. HOWEVER...ABOUT 18 HOURS LATER THE NAM DOES DEVELOP AS MCS IN THIS SAME AREA...WHICH IT BRINGS INTO THE NC MTNS BY MID MORNING ON THU. SO...SOMETHING PROBABLY WILL DEVELOP UPSTREAM WED OR WED NIGHT...AND IT MAY WELL TRACK INTO THE MTNS WED NGHT OR THU. HOWEVER...THE TIMING DIFFERENCES ARE TOO GREAT TO BE ABLE TO INCREASE POPS MUCH...OR TO NAIL DOWN A SEVERE THREAT. THEREFORE...WILL GO WITH MAINLY A DIURNAL POP TREND WED NIGHT AND THU WITH THE LOWEST POPS OVERNIGHT AND THE HIGHEST POPS THU AFTERNOON...THOUGH THESE WILL BE FAIRLY LOW...GENERALLY IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. FRI THROUGH MON... HPC HAS GONE WITH A ECMWF...GFS ENSEMBLE BLEND IN THE EXTENDED. ALL THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DEVELOP A STRONG BUT PROGRESSIVE LONG WAVE TROF OVER THE NE STATES INTO THE WEEKEND. ON THE GFS THIS SENDS A FRONT THROUGH ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY IN THE WEEKEND. IT HAS SOME UPSLOPE PCPN ON SATURDAY...BUT STRONGLY SUGGESTS THAT SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE COOLER (IN A RELATIVE SENSE) AND DRY. OTHER THAN HPC HOLDING ON TO PCPN CHANCES ON SUNDAY...THIS IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THEIR SOLUTION. OF COURSE...HPC GUIDANCE GRIDS WERE USED...SO OUR FORECAST REFLECTS THE HPC SOLUTION REGARDLESS. && .AVIATION... CONFIDENCE STILL NOT HIGH ENOUGH YET TO FCST ANY WX MORE PESSIMISTIC THAN VCSH/CB COMBO AT ALL THE TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE MAIN CHANGE WAS TO PUSH BACK START OF ANY POTENTIAL DEEP CONVECTION THREAT AN HOUR OR TWO BASED ON LATEST RADAR AND STATE OF DEVELOPING CU FIELD. JUST MADE SOME DOWNWARD TWEAKS TO FOG FCST OVERNIGHT BASED EITHER ON WHAT OCCURRED THIS MORNING AND/OR BASED ON DWPT TRENDS AND CROSSOVER TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON. INTRODUCED IFR CHANCES AT KAVL AND MVFR POSSIBILITIES AT KCLT. GOING VFR FOG AT KGSP/KGMU AND MVFR AT KAND/KHKY STILL LOOK ON TRACK. && .GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. && SHORT TERM...CSH LONG TERM...MCAVOY AVIATION...CSH
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 7, 3:12 AM EDT, 14 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 312 AM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065- 068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-080715- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER- IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE- CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON- TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL- BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS- EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE- LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 312 AM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 7, 4:26 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 426 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 SCZ009-072115- YORK- 426 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING YORK COUNTY... AT 426 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CATAWBA...OR 7 MILES EAST OF ROCK HILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS NEAR THE LANCASTER BORDER THROUGH 5 PM EDT. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. HG
Local storm report, Aug 7, 4:34 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
434 PM EDT MON AUG 07 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0405 PM HAIL 2 WNW UNION GROVE 36.04N 80.90W
08/07/2006 E0.75 INCH IREDELL NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
&&
GMSSpecial weather statement, Aug 7, 4:34 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 434 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 NCZ064-065-SCZ003-006-072130- GREATER GREENVILLE-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-HENDERSON-TRANSYLVANIA- 434 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING GREENVILLE...HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA COUNTIES... AT 431 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF CAESARS HEAD...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BREVARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... CAESARS HEAD BY 450 PM EDT. MARIETTA BY 530 PM EDT. SMALL HAIL AND WINDS TO 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. 44
Local storm report, Aug 7, 4:50 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
450 PM EDT MON AUG 07 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM TSTM WND DMG SPENCER 35.69N 80.43W
08/07/2006 ROWAN NC EMERGENCY MNGR
2 TREES DOWN ON THIRD ST.
&&
GMSSpecial weather statement, Aug 7, 5:03 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 503 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 NCZ056-069-072200- CATAWBA-LINCOLN- 503 PM EDT MON AUG 7 2006 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING CATAWBA COUNTY AND HEADED TOWARD LINCOLN COUNTY... AT 503 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF VALE...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MAIDEN BY 520 PM EDT. 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LINCOLNTON BY 530 PM EDT. BOGER CITY BY 535 PM EDT. IRON STATION BY 550 PM EDT. 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DENVER BY 555 PM EDT. LOWESVILLE BY 600 PM EDT. PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS THUNDERSTORM. HG
Local storm report, Aug 7, 5:15 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
515 PM EDT MON AUG 07 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0322 PM HAIL 9 NNE WAYNESVILLE 35.60N 82.94W
08/06/2006 E0.88 INCH HAYWOOD NC PUBLIC
A PUBLIC REPORT OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF NICKEL-SIZED HAIL
FELL NEAR THE BEGINNING OF THE STORM. GUSTY WIND ROCKED
THE TREES BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY TREES TO FALL OR
ANY LARGE LIMBS. THIS LOCATION IS BETWEEN COVE CREEK AND
CRABTREE.
&&
MCAVOYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Rowan | 55 min |
| Aug 7, 3:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Cabarrus | 57 min |
| Aug 7, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Iredell | 78 min |
| Aug 7, 4:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Alexander, Caldwell | 82 min |
| Aug 7, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Gaston | 65 min |
| Aug 7, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Caldwell | 70 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.