Alert archive / North Carolina / High Wind Warnings in 2006

High Wind Warning 6, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

December 1, 20067 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this high wind warning at Dec 1, 2006, 6:44 AM EST for 7 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2006, 6:44 AM EST (11:44 UTC)
Expired
Dec 1, 2006, 2:55 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Madison County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Swain County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBryson City, NCCOUNTY REPORTS A FEW TREES DOWN AROUND COUNTY.
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBurnsville, NCCOUNTY REPORTS A FEW TREES DOWN SCATTERED AROUND COUNTY.
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGNewland, NCCOUNTY REPORTS A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN IN NEWLAND AND SCATTERED REPORTS AROUND THE COUNTY.
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGRobbinsville, NCTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AROUND COUNTY WITH SOME ROADS CLOSED.
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGSpruce Pine, NCCOUNTY REPORTS ONE TREE DOWN NEAR BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY.
Dec 1, 7:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGWaynesville, NCCOUNTY REPORTS A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN AROUND COUNTY.
Dec 1, 9:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBurnsville, NCCOUNTY REPORTS A FEW ADDITIONAL TREES BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN 9 AM AND 1 PM.
Dec 1, 9:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGMarshall, NCCOUNTY REPORTS SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALL AROUND COUNTY MAINLY FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM.
Dec 1, 10:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGWaynesville, NCA RECENTLY CONSTRUCTED 65X8 WOOD TRELLIS WAS BLOWN OVER. THE TRELLIS WAS A-FRAME AND WAS ANCHORED SIX INCHES INTO THE GROUND.
Dec 1, 12:30 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND DMGBakersville, NCONE TREE BLOWN DOWN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 261 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2006-12-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2006-12-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
785 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 011144
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
644 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

NCZ033-048>052-058-011945-
/O.UPG.KGSP.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0006.061201T1144Z-061202T0500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
644 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA
AND PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD GUST
AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60 MPH AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE
TENNESSEE BORDER...INCLUDING THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT COULD ALSO
BRING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE WIND WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-011945-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
644 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA
AND PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD GUST
AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT COULD ALSO
BRING A FEW WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE WIND
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-011945-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...
COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...
ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
644 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MOUNTAINS OF GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA...THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 35 TO 40 MPH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT COULD ALSO
BRING A FEW WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THE WIND
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$
2 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS72 KGSP 011554
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1054 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

NCZ033-048>052-058-020000-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
1054 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 50 TO 60
MPH AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE
BORDER...INCLUDING THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS.

THE WIND WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-020000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
1054 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVE EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA
THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE MOUNTAIN COUNTIES AWAY FROM THE TENNESSEE
BORDER...WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50
MPH AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET.

THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-020000-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...
COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...
ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
1054 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA...THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AHEAD OF
AND BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 35 TO 40 MPH.

THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$
000 
WWUS72 KGSP 011955
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

NCZ033-048>052-058-020500-
/O.CAN.KGSP.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KGSP.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE
255 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.
THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. WINDS WILL GUST AS
HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000 FEET.

THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NCZ053-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-020500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
255 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAIN COUNTIES AWAY FROM THE TENNESSEE BORDER THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH...MAINLY AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 4000 FEET.

THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-020500-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0050.000000T0000Z-061202T0500Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...
COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...
ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
255 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF GEORGIA
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS EVENING. WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY LATE EVENING.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Dec 1, 6:36 AM EST, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 6:36 AM EST, 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
636 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
SOME SURFACE WINDS UPSTREAM IN COLD ADVECTION GUSTING TO OVER 50
KTS...NASHVILLE...SO HAVE BUMPED WINDS UP OVER TN BORDER COUNTIES
TO HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA. WILL ISSUE UPDATED PRODUCTS SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 248 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

RESENT TO ADD REST OF FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT TO LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER MS VALLEY HEADING ENE WHILE SFC LOW
APPROACHES OH VALLEY WITH COLD FRONT ACROSS DEEP S. EXPECT PERIODS
OF RAIN SHOWERS AS MOIST UPGLIDE AND UPSLOPE FLOW MOVES ACROSS CWA
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. FCST PRESSURE GRADIENT ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT 50- 65KT WINDS AT 850MB. WITH WARM ADVECTION AND
ISENTROPIC ASCENT AHEAD OF SYSTEM...DO NOT EXPECT STRONGEST WINDS
TO REACH SURFACE OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE OUTBREAKS. STRONG SHEAR
ALONG NARROW LINE OF CONVECTION SUGGESTS ISOLD BROKEN S TORNADO
THREAT AS FRONTAL BAND MOVES ACROSS CWA THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY-MID AFTN...ESP ACROSS N CWA WHERE SHEAR IS FCST TO BE
GREATER.

DURING BRIEF PERIOD AFTER FROPA STRONG GRADIENT WINDS WILL REACH THE
SFC OVER HIGHER NC MTNS IN COLD ADVECTION. MODELS DO NOT SUPPORT
ENOUGH WIND FOR HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA ATTM BUT WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR SYSTEM FOR PSBL HWW LATER THIS MORNING.

ONCE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH...COOL...DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR
WEEKEND. MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT DEVELOPING WAVE ON FRONT ALONG
SE COAST SUN AND PUSHING IT NE. SOME MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD
WRAP AROUND TO AFFECT SE ZONES WITH INCREASED CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE RAIN LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD...A SHORT WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION...BUT WITH VERY LIMITED MOISTURE.
ALTHO THE GRIDS REFLECT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP WITH THE PASSAGE
OF THIS FEATURE...NO INDICATION WILL APPEAR IN THE ZFP OTHER THAN
INCREASED CLOUDS. THE MAIN EFFECTS WILL BE FELT AFTER ITS PASSAGE AS
WE REMAIN IN A WNW FLOW ALOFT NEAR THE BOTTOM OF A VERY BROAD LONG
WAVE TROUGH EARLY IN THE WEEK OVER THE ERN US. TEMPS WILL DROP
ANOTHER CATEGORY ON MONDAY...WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST...
AND WILL MODERATE ONLY SLOWLY AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES NEARLY ZONAL
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS US DRY.

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE END OF THE FORECAST...THE 12Z GFS DEVELOPS THE
NEXT SHORT WAVE UPSTREAM BY LATE WEDNESDAY AND LOADS UP THE PRECIP
TO OUR W ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE PROBLEM IS THAT WITH A COLD HIGH
OVER THE PLAINS AND A DAMMING HIGH OVER UPSTATE NY BY THE END OF THE
DAY ON THURSDAY...THE MODEL SUGGESTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIP
WITH A SURFACE LOW DARTING TO OUR SOUTH. THIS IS VIEWED WITH
SKEPTICAL INTEREST FOR NOW AND THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY WILL
ACTUALLY BE KEPT DRY FOR THE TIME BEING.

AVIATION...
RADAR SHOWS THE BACK EDGE OF NORTHWARD MOVING SHOWERS NOW CROSSING
THE NORTH CAROLINA STATE LINE...WITH A RELATIVELY ECHO FREE AREA
UPWIND. AS THE WIND WILL REMAIN UP...VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED TO
IMPROVE AT KCLT ONCE THIS ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ENDS. SOME GUSTS
ARE SHOWING UP IN OBSERVATIONS...AND THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT GUSTS
WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVERNIGHT AS THE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT TIGHTENS FURTHER. DESPITE VERY STRONG 850 MB WINDS...WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WARM ADVECTION...GUSTS WILL ONLY BE
INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN THIS TAF PACKAGE...APPROACHING THE 30 KNOT
RANGE. CEILINGS ARE QUITE LOW AT ALL SITES BUT KAVL WHERE THE FLOW
IS DOWNVALLEY...AND LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IS SEEN EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS
UNTIL THE WIND STARTS TO VEER JUST BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES. LINEAR
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING....BUT
SUBSTANTIAL VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD BE BRIEF. A RAPID FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED AROUND MIDDAY...TURNING THE WIND UPVALLEY AT
KAVL...BUT WITH THE ATMOSPHERE QUICKLY DESSICATED FROM THE TOP
DOWN...FEW POST FRONTAL CLOUD ARE EXPECTED. GUSTS WILL BE SLOW TO
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT
MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT FOR LONG AND BY LATE EVENING THE
VEERING SURFACE WIND SHOULD BECOME TAME.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029 UNTIL
     MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
NC...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NCZ033-048>052-058 UNTIL MIDNIGHT
     SATURDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ034-053>055-059-062>066-501-503-505-507-
     509 UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
  ...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-067>072-082-502-504-
     506-508-510 UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
SC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR SCZ001>014-019 UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 1, 3:31 AM EST, 3 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
331 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-020845-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
331 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING. A
NARROW BUT STRONG LINE OF CONVECTION WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE
WEST. WINDS IN THE LOWER PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME VERY STRONG
AND A FEW OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY TAP THESE
WINDS...PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGE.

THE BEST CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS BEFORE SUNRISE WILL BE OVER THE
AREA TO THE WEST OF TOCCOA...GREENVILLE...AND HICKORY. THE LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE
UPSTATE AND FOOTHILLS DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE DAY. DURING THIS TIME...
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA. A FEW BRIEF
TORNADOES WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR THAT IS EXPECTED.

GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. WIND GUSTS
TO 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS...WHICH MAY DOWN A FEW TREES AND LARGER BRANCHES. WIND
GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF THE FORECAST
AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
MIDNIGHT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON IF THERE
IS ANY SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DISPATCHERS PLEASE BE SURE THAT
EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE BRIEFED ON THIS PRODUCT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 5:19 AM ESTLake Wind AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 10 more15 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in North Carolina, 2006Every high wind warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.