Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

December 6, 20068 counties in Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 6, 2006, 11:44 AM EST for 8 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 7, 2006, 12:42 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. 42 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 6, 2006, 11:44 AM EST (16:44 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 7, 2006, 12:42 AM EST
Expired
Dec 7, 2006, 10:11 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Allegan County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 7, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 1Allegan, MI
Dec 7, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 1.5Muskegon, MI1 TO 2 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 4Grand Haven, MI
Dec 7, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 5Fennville, MI4 TO 6 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 6.5Paw Paw, MI6 - 7 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.53 S Grand Haven, MI
Dec 7, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.5Norton Shores, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 1Reed City, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 2Hart, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.5Ludington, MI2 TO 3 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 3Montague, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 3New Richmond, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 4Baldwin, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 8Gobles, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 8Walkerville, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 94 Nw Baldwin, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 9Holland, MI8 TO 10 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 10Port Sheldon, MI9 TO 12 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 14Bloomingdale, MI
Dec 7, 11:00 AM ESTSNOW 15Paw Paw, MI
Dec 7, 1:09 PM ESTSNOW 20Grand Junction, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 1Coopersville, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 1Jenison, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 2Spring Lake, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Marion, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 3Jamestown, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 4Allegan, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 12Grand Haven, MI
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 14Holland, MI12 TO 16 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 15Lawrence, MI14 TO 16 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 15Paw Paw, MI14 TO 16 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 16Fennville, MI15 TO 18 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 2:30 PM ESTSNOW 19Bloomingdale, MI18 TO 20 INCH RANGE
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 3Baldwin, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 43 E Agnew, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 4Le Roy, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 54 E Tustin, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 5Allegan, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 6Decatur, MISTORM TOTAL 6 TO 8 INCHES.
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 6Norton Shores, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 123 Ese Walhalla, MISTORM TOTAL
Dec 7, 9:03 PM ESTSNOW 21Bloomingdale, MISTORM TOTAL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2006-12-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2006-12-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -56 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
663 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KGRR 061644
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1144 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING...

.AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL FLOW IN FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT CAUSING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO FORM. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. IN ADDITION GUSTY WINDS WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

MIZ037-043-064-071-070045-
/O.UPG.KGRR.LE.A.0001.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-OCEANA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...HART...HOLLAND...
SOUTH HAVEN
1144 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT...BUT LAKE EFFECT SNOWBANDS WILL DEVELOP AS WELL AS GUSTY
NORTH WINDS.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST...IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. SNOWFALL
RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE
BANDS. NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.  IN ADDITION...WINDS
WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES LEADING TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES COULD OCCUR.


A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$
7 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 062100
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
400 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ON THE WAY...

.VERY COLD AIR WILL FLOW IN FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT CAUSING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
THURSDAY EVENING.

MIZ038-039-070500-
/O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
LAKE-OSCEOLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BALDWIN...REED CITY
400 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8
INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS
WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR 
MORE PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION...
WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037-043-064-071-070500-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-OCEANA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...HART...HOLLAND...
SOUTH HAVEN
400 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8
INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS
WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR 
MORE PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION...
WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-050-056-072-070500-
/O.NEW.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
MUSKEGON...JENISON...KALAMAZOO
400 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A SNOW
AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY
TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST
THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT
TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW. NEAR ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$

LAURENS MJS
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 070335
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1035 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR...

.VERY COLD AIR IS NOW FLOWING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HAS CAUSED
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF THURSDAY EVENING.

MIZ037>039-043-064-071-071145-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
1035 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE
BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER
HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION... WINDS
WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN
NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES
COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-050-056-072-071145-
/O.CON.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
MUSKEGON...JENISON...KALAMAZOO
1035 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
BY THURSDAY EVENING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT
TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW. NEAR ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 070542
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1242 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR...

.VERY COLD AIR IS NOW FLOWING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HAS CAUSED
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE SNOW WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THURSDAY EVENING.

MIZ056-071345-
/O.UPG.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
OTTAWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JENISON
1242 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.
THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS WHERE
THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION...
WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037>039-043-064-071-071345-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
1242 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS WHERE
THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION...
WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-050-072-071345-
/O.CON.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.061207T0600Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
MUSKEGON...KALAMAZOO
1242 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
BY THURSDAY EVENING IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT
TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
SNOW. NEAR ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 070906
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
406 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...

.VERY COLD AIR IS NOW FLOWING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HAS CAUSED
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO INTENSIFY. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF THURSDAY EVENING.

MIZ037>039-043-056-064-071-071715-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
406 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE INTO
THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS
EVENING ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE
LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER
30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL RESULT IN NEAR WHITE
OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. NEAR ZERO WIND CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-050-072-071715-
/O.CON.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-MUSKEGON-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
MUSKEGON...KALAMAZOO
406 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL
TOTALS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING IN
LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF
AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN
ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL
LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 071519
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1019 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...

.VERY COLD AIR IS NOW FLOWING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HAS CAUSED
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO INTENSIFY. THESE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
THIS EVENING.

MIZ050-072330-
/O.UPG.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
/O.EXA.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
MUSKEGON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MUSKEGON
1019 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.
THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKESHORE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL WEST OF HIGHWAY 31.
UNDER THE HEAVIEST BANDS...SNOW RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE. DAYTIME SNOW AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES WILL BRING
STORM TOTALS TO IN EXCESS OF A FOOT IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. IN
ADDITION BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL LEAD TO NEAR WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS. SOME ROADS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE.


A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037>039-043-056-064-071-072330-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
1019 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE LAKESHORE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL WEST OF A LINE
FROM GRAND HAVEN THROUGH ALLEGAN TO MATTAWAN. UNDER THE HEAVIEST
BANDS...SNOW RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE.
DAYTIME SNOW AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES WILL BRING STORM TOTALS TO
IN EXCESS OF A FOOT IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS. LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 18
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM NEAR HOLLAND TO NEW RICHMOND TO NEAR
CHICORA. IN ADDITION BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL LEAD TO WHITE
OUT CONDITIONS. SOME ROADS COULD BECOME IMPASSABLE. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

FURTHER NORTH OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL DROP DOWN
INTO LAKE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE IF STRONGER BANDING COULD BUILD SOUTHWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN ENDS OF THESE COUNTIES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-072-072330-
/O.CON.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
KALAMAZOO
1019 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL
TOTALS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING IN
LOCATIONS WHERE THE BANDS PERSIST THE LONGEST. SNOWFALL RATES OF
AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THESE BANDS. IN
ADDITION... WINDS WILL GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES AND THIS WILL
LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. NEAR ZERO WIND
CHILL VALUES COULD ALSO OCCUR.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 072058
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
358 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...STORM NOW WINDING DOWN ACROSS THE REGION...

.THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE 
EVENING. THE GUST WINDS THAT WERE CREATING THE BLOWING AND 
DRIFTING SNOW WILL ALSO BE SETTLING DOWN THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

MIZ037>039-043-050-056-064-071-080500-
/O.CON.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
358 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS. STILL ANOTHER 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES COULD FALL.
THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS UP TO ALMOST 2 FEET IN A FEW SPOTS.
WIND GUSTS OF 30 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW
AS WELL. SOME ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ040-044-045-072-080500-
/O.CON.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
KALAMAZOO
358 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. 

A FEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS CREATING LOCALIZED ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.
THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS UP TO LOCALLY 7 INCHES. GUSTY WINDS
TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.
VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO UNDER A MILE IN THE HEAVIER SNOW
BANDS AT TIMES.

A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE
LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KGRR 080311
WSWGRR

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1011 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW WINDING DOWN...

.RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING IN AREAL
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS
WARMER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. 

MIZ037>039-043-050-056-064-071-080415-
/O.CAN.KGRR.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
HART...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
1011 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO AN INCH
OR LESS.  

$$

MIZ040-044-045-072-080415-
/O.CAN.KGRR.SB.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061208T0500Z/
CLARE-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-KALAMAZOO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...
KALAMAZOO
1011 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO AN INCH
OR LESS. 


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 6, 5:33 AM EST, 6 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 5:33 AM EST, 6 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
533 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

.UPDATED...
I UPDATED THE FORECAST WEST OR US-131 AND SOUTH OF I-96 TO HAVE RAIN
SHOWERS CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. THAT WAS BASED ON
BOTH TAMDAR SOUNDING AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE LATEST RUC SHOWS
THE ABOVE 0C 850 MB AIR WILL BE SOUTH OF LOWER MICHIGAN BY 10 AM
THIS MORNING. ALSO...ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH DURING THE
MID MORNING HOURS... ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW. HOWEVER THAT COULD TAKE TILL NEARLY NOON SINCE TEMPERATURES IN
WESTERN WISCONSIN ARE STILL IN THE MID 30S AS I WRITE THIS. BOTTOM
LINE IS SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
BY NOON IN AREAS WEST AND SOUTH OF GRAND RAPIDS.

WE HAD ONE REPORT OF FREEZING RAIN IN SOUTHERN EATON COUNTY
BUT THE TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING THERE SHORTLY SO I
DID NOT MENTION THAT IN THE ZONE FORECAST AS IT WOULD NOT LAST MORE
THAN AN HOUR.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN LAKE SUPERIOR WITH A
COLD FRONT STRETCHING SOUTH THROUGH WISCONSIN INTO IOWA. AN AREA OF
LIGHT PCPN HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE LOW AND IS CROSSING THE CWA
ATTM. TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S NEAR THE LAKESHORE
AS GUSTY WINDS ADVECT WARMER AIR FROM THE LAKE INLAND. ANOTHER SHOT
OF ARCTIC AIR IS NOW MOVING SOUTH INTO MINNESOTA AND WILL CROSS INTO
WISCONSIN BY SUNRISE AND INTO THE CWA LATER THIS MORNING. FORECAST
CONCERNS DEAL WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW POTENTIAL THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

THE CURRENT HEADLINES LOOKS GOOD AT THIS POINT. WE/LL SEE HIGH TEMPS
REACHED THIS MORNING AS COLDER AIR WILL THEN BEGIN FLOWING INTO THE
CWA BEHIND THE FRONT. WE/LL CONTINUE TO SEE LIGHT RAIN MIX WITH THE
LIGHT SNOW NEAR THE LAKESHORE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS UNTIL THE COLDER
AIR ARRIVES. INLAND...WE/LL PROBABLY SEE MOSTLY LIGHT SNOW THIS
MORNING AS THE AIR FROM OVER THE LAKE WILL MODIFY AS IT MOVES EAST.

LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION HEIGHTS NEAR 900 MB
UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THEY BEGIN TO RISE. THE SNOW GROWTH
REGION OF THE PROFILE ALSO DOESN/T SATURATE UNTIL LATER TODAY.
THUS...SNOW POTENTIAL MAY BE LIMITED EARLY TODAY.

TONIGHT/S ANOTHER STORY. BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER
TO A NNW TACK TONIGHT. A STRONG SHORT WAVE WITH STRONG UVV/S WILL
THEN MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT AND WILL INCREASE INVERSION HEIGHTS
ABOVE 10K FEET. DPVA AND OMEGA FIELDS ARE VERY IMPRESSIVE WITH
THIS. THE NNW FLOW FAVORS THE FAR NORTHWEST AND FAR SOUTHWEST
COUNTIES FOR LES...WHICH IS WHERE THE WATCH IS. STRONG WINDS IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL MEAN THAT SHSN WILL CARRY THROUGH THE
CWA...OBVIOUSLY HEAVIER IN THE CORNERS OF THE WESTERN CWA...FROM
NORTHERN LOWER. FOR THAT REASON WE/VE INCREASED POPS OVER THE
EASTERN CWA TOO.

THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR WILL MOVE THROUGH NOON THURSDAY. WE/LL BE
LOOKING AT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AND FLURRIES FRIDAY MORNING AS WARM AIR ADVECTION IS UNDER
WAY BY THEN. THE WARM UP WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...

ONCE THAT LARGE PACIFIC SYSTEM...WHICH WAS JUST OFF SHORE AS OF THE
6TH AT 00Z...COMES ONSHORE BY FRIDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE REACTS BY
SPLITTING THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THAT WILL SHUT OFF THE COLD AIR IN
CANADA AND SENT PART OF THE ENERGY FROM THAT STORM ALONG THE
NORTHERN STREAM AND THE REST OF IT ON THE SOUTHERN STREAM. BOTH
WAVES OF ENERGY WILL THEN TRAVEL EAST IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THE
NORTHERN STREAM PART OF THE WAVE TRIES TO BRING A COLD FRONT SOUTH
INTO LOWER MICHIGAN BY LATE SUNDAY BUT THAT FRONT STALLS OVER LOWER
MICHIGAN DUE TO THE ZONAL FLOW THAT BY THEN WILL BE IN PLACE. THAT
MAY LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OF RAIN OR MIXED RAIN AND SNOW MONDAY.
I DECIDED TO ADD THAT TO OUR FORECAST PACKAGE AFTER WATCHING THIS
FEATURE IN THE MODELS FOR NEARLY A WEEK WITH A SIMILAR SOLUTION EACH
RUN.  MEANWHILE... THE REST OF THE ENERGY FROM THAT PACIFIC STORM...
ON THE SOUTHERN STREAM... MOVES MORE SLOWLY THAN DOES THE NORTHERN
STREAM PART OF THE WAVE ENERGY.  THAT WILL COME OUT DURING THE MID
WEEK PERIOD BRINGING ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE WITH IT AND WARM ENOUGH
AIR THAT THE ENTIRE EVENT WILL BE RAIN.  TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
ENTIRE PERIOD WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID DECEMBER.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
NEARSHORE WATERS FROM ST JOE TO MANISTEE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH WED NIGHT INTO THU NIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE
LAKESHORE.

&&

93 WDM
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 6, 5:43 AM EST, 6 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
543 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-071045-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
543 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW SHOWERS WILL REDEVELOP OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS BY MID
AFTERNOON AS MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN FROM CENTRAL CANADA. THE
SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT AROUND
MIDNIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW THURSDAY...MAINLY
WEST OF US-131. INLAND OF US-131 THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE OF A
MORE SCATTERED NATURE. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END BY MID
DAY FRIDAY AS WARMER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

LMZ844>849-071045-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE-
543 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WAVES OF 4 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW
WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES. THESE CONDITIONS ARE HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL
WATER CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WAVES OF 4 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY IN THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LOCALLY REDUCE
VISIBILITY INTO FRIDAY. THESE CONDITIONS ARE HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL
WATER CRAFT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 6, 4:00 PM ESTSnow and Blowing Snow AdvisoryGRRClare, Kalamazoo, Mecosta, Muskegon, Newaygo, Ottawa30 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.