Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

000 
WWUS53 KGRR 131448
SVSGRR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
948 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

MIC077-131500-
/O.CON.KGRR.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060313T1500Z/
KALAMAZOO MI-
948 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KALAMAZOO
COUNTY UNTIL 1000 AM EST...

AT 943 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GARDNERS CORNERS...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH OF
BATTLE CREEK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GRAND RAPIDS.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF A NICKEL IS EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4242 8532 4240 8530 4208 8530 4208 8577
      4242 8577

$$

000 
WWUS53 KGRR 131458
SVSGRR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
958 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

MIC077-131505-
/O.CAN.KGRR.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060313T1500Z/
KALAMAZOO MI-
958 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR KALAMAZOO COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA.
THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER RELATED DAMAGE CAN BE RELAYED TO LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT. 

LAT...LON 4242 8532 4240 8530 4208 8530 4208 8577
      4242 8577

$$

BEACHLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
520 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

.SHORT TERM...
ABBREVIATED DISCUSSION DUE TO ACTIVE WEATHER. ARRIVAL OF WARM FRONT
FROM THE SOUTH HAS BEEN DELAYED DUE TO EARLIER WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION. HOWEVER STILL EXPECT THE FRONT TO SURGE NORTH LATER THIS
MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW OVER ERN IOWA LIFTS NORTHEAST AND
DEEPENS. SUSPECT CONVECTION WILL EVENTUALLY REORGANIZE/REINTENSIFY
AFTER DAYBREAK ONCE WARM/JUICY SURFACE AIR ARRIVES AND THE COLD
FRONT AND MID LEVEL DRY SLOT APPROACHES FROM THE W/SW. SPC HAS
INCLUDED MUCH OF OUR AREA IN A MDT RISK TODAY... AND THE CURRENT
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REPLACED WITH ANOTHER WATCH LATER THIS MORNING.

HAVE UPGRADED THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A HIGH WIND WARNING SINCE DEEP
MIXING THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN THE DRY SLOT MAY OCCASIONALLY BRING
DOWN THE 50-55 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. ALSO THE SURFACE LOW IS DEEPENING
AS IT LIFTS NE TOWARD NRN LWR MI AND PRESSURE GRADIENT/CAA BEHIND
THE FRONT IS IMPRESSIVE.

ITS BACK TO WINTER TONIGHT/TUESDAY AS -10C H8 AIR SWEEPS IN AND
DELIVERS SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. THERE IS A PERIOD OF DEEPER
MOISTURE/LIFT TONIGHT AS THE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE MOVES
ACROSS... AND THAT MAY HELP GENERATE SOME 1-3 INCH SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE NW PART OF THE CWFA. THINGS QUIET DOWN FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS.

.LONG TERM...
MADE NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FCST. POTENTIAL STILL
EXISTS FOR A SWATH OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ON THURSDAY AS A SURFACE LOW
TRACKS SOUTH OF MI.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...HIGH WIND WARNING ALL OF THE CWFA
FROM NOON TO MIDNIGHT.

GALE WARNING FOR THE GRR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN FROM
NOON THROUGH MONDAY THROUGH 4AM.

&&

MEADE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
850 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-141100-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE-MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-
CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-GRATIOT-
OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
850 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS TODAY... ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO GRAND RAPIDS AND UP TO MOUNT
PLEASANT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IS EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
GOLF BALLS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO A POSSIBILITY. STORM MOTIONS
WILL BE EAST NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
THREAT SHOULD END BY 1 PM WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...
HOWEVER WEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT COULD GUST AS HIGH AS
60 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS MUCH COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE
REGION. 1 TO 3 INCH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...
MAINLY WEST AND NORTH OF GRAND RAPIDS.

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN LAST NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN SOME
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING TODAY. ALSO LARGER RIVERS WILL
EXPERIENCE STEADY RISES THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SOME LOCATIONS
REACHING FLOOD STAGE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN TODAY SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN
A HALF INCH.

WAVES ON LAKE MICHIGAN WILL BUILD TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND TO AS
HIGH AS 16 FEET TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERAL RIVERS MAY REACH OR EXCEED BANKFULL THIS WEEK DUE TO RECENT
HEAVY RAINS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS A POSSIBILITY ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTH OF MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

MEADE MJS