Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Green Bay, WI

July 3, 2006Calumet County, Winnebago County, Wisconsin

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2006, 7:34 PM CDT for Calumet County, Winnebago County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2006, 7:34 PM CDT (00:34 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2006, 8:04 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Green Bay, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Calumet County, WI, Winnebago County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 3, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1810 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1143 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 4.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGRB 040034
SVRGRB
WIC015-139-040115-
/O.NEW.KGRB.SV.W.0081.060704T0034Z-060704T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
734 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CALUMET COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
  EASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 730 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16
  MILES WEST OF CHILTON...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSHKOSH...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHILTON BY 800 PM...

THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS ON LAKE WINNEBAGO. 
WINDS CAN EXCEED 60 MPH IN A WATERSPOUT. IF YOU SEE A 
WATERSPOUT...MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY. IF THE WATERSPOUT REACHES 
SHORE...DAMAGING WINDS COULD AFFECT STRUCTURES ON LAND. IF INSIDE A 
BUILDING...MOVE TO THE LOWEST FLOOR AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4409 8854 4412 8854 4413 8853 4416 8853
      4422 8850 4416 8805 4393 8804 4405 8856
      4408 8856

$$

RDM

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 040045
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
745 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

WIC015-139-040115-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-060704T0115Z/
WINNEBAGO WI-CALUMET WI-
745 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT 
FOR CALUMET AND EASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTIES...

AT 743 PM...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CENTRAL LAKE WINNEBAGO...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF OSHKOSH...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  STOCKBRIDGE BY 755 PM...
  QUINNEY BY 800 PM...
  CHILTON AND HAYTON BY 815 PM...

THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS ON LAKE WINNEBAGO.
WINDS CAN EXCEED 60 MPH IN A WATERSPOUT. IF YOU SEE A WATERSPOUT...
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY. IF THE WATERSPOUT REACHES SHORE...DAMAGING
WINDS COULD AFFECT STRUCTURES ON LAND. IF INSIDE A BUILDING...MOVE TO
THE LOWEST FLOOR AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4409 8854 4412 8854 4413 8853 4416 8853
      4422 8850 4416 8805 4393 8804 4405 8856
      4408 8856

$$

RDM

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 040054
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
753 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

WIC139-040103-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-060704T0115Z/
WINNEBAGO WI-
753 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. 

LAT...LON 4407 8839 4409 8840 4412 8831 4414 8836
      4420 8837 4416 8805 4393 8804 4402 8838
      4404 8838

$$

WIC015-040115-
/O.CON.KGRB.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-060704T0115Z/
CALUMET WI-
753 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR CALUMET COUNTY...

AT 751 PM...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DAMAGING WINDS.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 10 MILES EAST OF 
OSHKOSH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  QUINNEY BY 800 PM...
  CHILTON BY 810 PM...

THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS ON LAKE WINNEBAGO.
WINDS CAN EXCEED 60 MPH IN A WATERSPOUT. IF YOU SEE A WATERSPOUT...
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY. IF THE WATERSPOUT REACHES SHORE...DAMAGING
WINDS COULD AFFECT STRUCTURES ON LAND. IF INSIDE A BUILDING...MOVE TO
THE LOWEST FLOOR AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4407 8839 4409 8840 4412 8831 4414 8836
      4420 8837 4416 8805 4393 8804 4402 8838
      4404 8838

$$

RDM

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 040104
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
803 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

WIC015-040113-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0081.000000T0000Z-060704T0115Z/
CALUMET WI-
803 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CALUMET COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED...BUT 
REMEMBER THAT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE 
AREA UNTIL 10 PM.

LAT...LON 4407 8839 4409 8840 4412 8831 4414 8836
      4420 8837 4416 8805 4393 8804 4402 8838
      4404 8838

$$

RDM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 3:30 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 3:30 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
330 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NORTH-CENTRAL/WESTERN WI. SCATTERED CONVECTION NOW BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
WITH FRONT.  QUESTION IS EFFECTS OF DRIER CONDITIONS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST WHERE DUE POINTS REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S/LOW 60S AND TAMDAR
SOUNDING FROM EAU SHOWING DRY. EARLIER CONVECTION THAT MOVED THROUGH
NORTHERN WI...PUT OUT SIG OUTFLOW THAT HAS PUSHED/KEPT JUICIEST AIR JUST
SOUTH OF CWA. BEST THREAT OF SEVERE LIKELY ALONG THAT BOUNDARY. HAVE
DECIDED TO GO WITH OVERALL SCATTERED WORDING FOR ZONES THIS EVENING...
MENTIONING STRONG STORMS NORTH AND WEST...POSSIBLY SEVERE SOUTHEAST.
WILL END SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  AREA OF LOWER CLOUDS ASSOC WITH COLD
UPPER LOW TO SPIN OFF TO NORTH AND EAST OF AREA...THOUGH EXPECT REPEAT
OF SIG CU FORMATION TO ITS SOUTH AND WEST. WILL KEEP SMALL POPS GOING
FOR THE AFTERNOON FAR NORTH. RAISED TEMPS FOR TUE A BIT TO MATCH WARMER
GFS AND CURRENT READINGS UPSTREAM.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

PATTERN MORE AMPLIFIED EARLY IN PERIOD WITH EAST COAST TROF AND RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL STATES.  MID RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TREND SEEN YESTERDAY
OF FLATTENING RIDGE BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND AS ENERGY IS EJECTED OUT
OF WESTERN TROF.  STRONG WESTERLIES EXPECTED TO SET UP AROUND THE
U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. HAVE INTRODUCED CHANCE POPS INTO SUN NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AS FRONT DRAGGED THROUGH AREA. ALSO ADDED SMALL POP NORTH CENTRAL
DAYTIME SUN FOR SOMETHING POSSIBLE COMING OVER RIDGE AS BOTH
GFS/EUROPEAN HINT LLVL JET PUSHING NORTH INTO EASTERN MN. MADE NO OTHER
CHANGE WITH WARM SPELL OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS RETURNING THU...INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

TE
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 11:45 AM CDT, 7 hours 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1145 AM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-041700-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-
LINCOLN-LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-SOUTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-
MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-
WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-MANITOWOC-
1145 AM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

LITTLE CHANGE IN CURRENT THINKING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA...DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY RISK
IS DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE BETWEEN NOON AND 1000 PM.

THE STORMS SHOULD EXIT THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE AREA BY LATE
EVENING...ENDING THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...INDEPENDENCE DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-564-041700-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-THE ADJOINING
WISCONSIN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN OUT TO MID-LAKE-
1145 AM CDT MON JUL 3 2006

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WATERS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GREEN BAY...AND LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE
TO SHEBOYGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY RISK IS OF DAMAGING WINDS...BUT LARGE
HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
BETWEEN NOON AND 1000 PM.

THE STORMS SHOULD EXIT THE AREA BY LATE EVENING...ENDING THE RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...INDEPENDENCE DAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ECKBERG
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
454 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CONOVER                 46.04N 89.25W
07/03/2006                   VILAS              WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN CONOVER.

&&

ECKBERG

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:09 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
509 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     HAIL             CRANDON                 45.56N 88.90W
07/03/2006  E1.00 INCH       FOREST             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ECKBERG

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
520 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             9 SE CRANDON            45.47N 88.77W
07/03/2006  E0.50 INCH       FOREST             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

ECKBERG

Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
551 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 N LAKEWOOD            45.35N 88.51W
07/03/2006  E50 MPH          OCONTO             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NO REPORTED DAMAGE IN THE AREA.

&&

ECKBERG

Local storm report, Jul 3, 6:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
602 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     ATHELSTANE              45.43N 88.09W
07/03/2006  E45 MPH          MARINETTE          WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ECKBERG

Local storm report, Jul 3, 6:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
628 PM CDT MON JUL 03 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WABENO                  45.43N 88.66W
07/03/2006                   FOREST             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SIX INCH DIAMTER TREES DOWN.

&&

ECKBERG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	GRB		92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.