Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
332 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...SEVERAL FORECAST CONCERNS THIS MORNING...INCLUDING
WINDY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND MORE WIND
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BEYOND TODAY...THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT.

CURRENT ANALYSIS HAS SURFACE LOW IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WITH DRY
LINE DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND WESTERN NEBRASKA. RADAR
HAS SOME CELLS DEVELOPING IN THE DEEPER MOISTURE JUST TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

THE SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS THE STRONGEST UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THERE ARE VERY STRONG
WINDS ALOFT. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS HAVE BEEN NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA
OCCASIONALLY DURING THE NIGHT. EXPECT THAT THE FAR SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE SOME WINDY CONDITIONS DURING THE
MORNING.

ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE
WINDS DURING THIS TIME. EXPECT THAT THERE WILL BE ANOTHER BRIEF
PERIOD WITH WINDS APPROACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

TONIGHT THIS SYSTEM MOVES RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST BRINGING AND
END TO THE THUNDERSTORMS. AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AT THE
SURFACE THE WINDS WILL ALSO DIMINISH. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.

THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
MADE NO CHANGES TO SATURDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ007-KSZ018-KSZ019.

&&

JCB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
527 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

KSZ005-006-017-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-311200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-ROOKS-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-
POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-
ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-
THAYER-
527 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. TONIGHT THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHES WITH
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARD THIS
EVENING WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE
THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...BUT ALL
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

KSZ007-018-019-311200-
JEWELL-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-
527 AM CST THU MAR 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. TONIGHT THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHES WITH
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARD THIS
EVENING WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORMS...SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE
THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...BUT ALL
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)