Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 137, NWS Fort Worth, TX
NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 2, 2006, 12:53 AM CDT for Young County, Texas. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 2, 2006, 12:53 AM CDT (05:53 UTC)
- Expired
- May 2, 2006, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 67 min
- Issued by
- NWS Fort Worth, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Young County, TX
The radar
The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2381 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -102 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1668 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 181 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.6
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 1, 8:55 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 1, 8:55 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 855 PM CDT MON MAY 1 2006 .855 PM PUBLIC DISCUSSION... WE ARE ISSUING UPDATED GRIDDED DATA AND ZONE FORECASTS TO RAISE POPS AHEAD OF THE CLUSTER OF SEVERE ELEVATED STORMS IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN SUPERCELLULAR FOR AWHILE...AND LARGE HAIL HAS OCCURRED. HOWEVER...THEY ARE NOT SURFACE BASED...SO A TORNADO THREAT IS UNLIKELY. WE WILL KEEP LOW OVERNIGHT POPS ACROSS THE REST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ZONES. WE WILL UPDATE THE ZONES AGAIN THIS EVENING WHEN NECESSARY. #26 .AVIATION... MAIN CONCERN IS TS POTENTIAL TONIGHT FOR METROPLEX TAFS. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WEST AND NORTHWEST OF TAF SITES...HOWEVER SLOW E-SE STORM MOTION AND THE ANVILS ALSO SPREADING E-SE MAY ALLOW FOR SOME -RA AND CG LIGHTNING IN THE VICINITY OF WESTERN-MOST METROPLEX TAF SITES. WILL INCLUDE VCTS FROM 3-6Z AT AFW/FTW AND KEEP THINGS VFR AT DFW/DAL/ACT...AND OBVIOUSLY WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS. OTHERWISE...GOES SOUNDER INDICATING GULF MOISTURE RETURN IS UNDERWAY ACROSS SOUTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND WILL FORECAST MVFR STRATUS AT KACT LATE TONIGHT...WITH SLIGHTLY LESS CONFIDENCE ACROSS METROPLEX WHERE TEMPO GROUP WAS UTILIZED FOR MORNING HOURS. FRONT WILL STALL NORTH OF THE TRACON TONIGHT AND WINDS SHOULD REMAIN SOUTHERLY. VFR EXPECTED LATE TUE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TR/92 && .DISCUSSION... SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO TRUDGE SE TOWARD N TEXAS THIS EVENING. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO MOVE TOWARD THE REGION. THESE FEATURES SHOULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING OVER AREAS NORTH OF I-20. MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED IN THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...AND WE STILL REMAIN PRETTY CAPPED. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE GREAT...BUT THE LLJ SHOULD BE INCREASING AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. INSTABILITY IS SOMETHING THAT WE WILL HAVE PLENTY OF...AND WE MAY HAVE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR WITH ANY STORM THAT CAN GET GOING ALONG THE FRONT OR BECOME ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER (HELICITY FROM ETA80 ALONG RED RIVER AT 06Z AROUND 237) FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS. CONFIDENCE IN THIS EVENT IS NOT TERRIBLY HIGH...GIVEN THE TIME OF DAY AND LOW SIDE OF NECESSARY INGREDIENTS...BUT THAT MUCH INSTABILITY AND A BOUNDARY IN THE AREA MUST ALWAYS BE RESPECTED...SO WE WILL GO ALONG WITH SPC AND MENTION SOME SEVERE OVERNIGHT. STORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE NE IN THE MORNING...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE AFTERNOON ON TUE. BUT MODELS REALLY WASH OUT THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT WILL NOT BE VERY IMPRESSIVE EITHER. STILL...AFTERNOON HEATING AND LEFT OVER BOUNDARIES MAY BE ENOUGH FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION...MAINLY ACROSS THE NW. LOOKS LIKE A BREAK FOR WEDNESDAY...AS H5 RIDGE BUILDS A BIT OVER N TEXAS. NEXT FRONT LOOKS TO ARRIVE THUR NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS FOR MOST OF N TEXAS. STORMS AT THE END OF THE WEEK WOULD HAVE A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF BECOMING SEVERE...AS H5 PATTERN MUCH MORE FAVORABLE WITH DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE REGION AND DECENT PVA. WEEKEND LOOKS PRETTY DECNET...WITH DRY WEATHER AND AFTERNOON TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 68 86 67 87 / 20 30 20 10 WACO, TX 70 88 66 87 / 0 0 0 10 PARIS, TX 66 82 63 82 / 30 30 30 10 DENTON, TX 67 86 67 86 / 30 30 20 10 MCKINNEY, TX 66 84 65 85 / 30 30 20 10 DALLAS, TX 69 86 67 86 / 20 20 20 10 TERRELL, TX 67 85 63 84 / 10 20 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 67 87 65 86 / 0 0 0 10 TEMPLE, TX 70 88 66 87 / 0 0 0 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && #26
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 11:35 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 1, 9:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Stephens | 55 min |
| May 1, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Stephens | 60 min |
| May 1, 9:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Stephens | 58 min |
| May 1, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto | 59 min |
| May 1, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Stephens | 61 min |
| May 1, 10:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto | 63 min |
| May 1, 11:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Erath, Hood | 60 min |
| May 1, 11:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Somervell | 56 min |
| May 1, 11:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hood | 27 min |
| May 2, 12:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque | 56 min |
| May 2, 12:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Somervell | 34 min |
| May 2, 1:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack | 63 min |
| May 2, 1:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 32 min |
| May 2, 2:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 45 min |
| May 2, 3:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack | 49 min |
| May 2, 4:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Montague | 45 min |
| May 2, 7:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack | 58 min |
| May 2, 10:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Parker | 42 min |
| May 2, 10:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Wise | 21 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.