Severe Thunderstorm Warning 194, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST THU JUL 27 2006

AZZ004>018-037>040-280700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
1000 AM MST THU JUL 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SUBSTANTIAL TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
STATE THIS MORNING. THUS...EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING. ADDITIONALLY...STRENGTHENING WINDS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF STEEP LAPSE
RATES...INCREASED SHEAR...AND TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SOME
STORMS POSSIBLY BECOMING STRONG OR SEVERE...WITH HAIL OCCASIONALLY
IN EXCESS OF THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH AND STRONG GUSTS EXCEEDING 45
MPH POSSIBLE. ALONG WITH THESE CONDITIONS...HEAVY RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED RESULTING IN LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RUNOFF. THE BULK OF THE
ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SOUTHERN COCONINO...YAVAPAI...AND
NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY AS
ARIZONA REMAINS UNDER A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.