Severe Thunderstorm Warning 269, NWS Atlanta, GA

000 
WWUS52 KFFC 270003
SVSFFC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
801 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

GAC223-270011-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0269.000000T0000Z-060527T0030Z/
PAULDING GA-
801 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PAULDING COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT TRIGGERED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO 
LONGER EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS UP 
TO 30 MPH...HEAVY RAIN...AND PEA SIZED HAIL ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
THIS STORM SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH OF THE DALLAS AREA UNTIL 830 PM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT 
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHERN GEORGIA.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT
UNTIL AFTER THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6.

LAT...LON 3406 8493 3391 8504 3378 8482 3400 8473

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
515 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
MAIN CONCERN IS THE SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS CURRENTLY
ADVERTISED ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. HAVE LAUNCHED A BALLOON AND WILL POST AN 18Z
SOUNDING TO HELP ADDRESS THIS POTENTIAL. LATEST SATL AND UPPER
ANALYSIS SHOWS A CUT OFF LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION
WITH A STRONG VORT MAX ROUNDING THE BASE AND APPROACHING THE
CAROLINAS AND VA. SPC HAS POSTED A SEVERE WATCH BOX FROM EXTREME
EASTERN GA UP THE CAROLINAS INTO SW VA TO COVER THE DEVELOPING LINE
OF STORMS AHEAD OF THIS VORT MAX. SATL WV SHOWS ANOTHER VORT MAX
DRIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS SRN MO AND ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SUSPECT
THIS FEATURE WILL INTERACT WITH INCREASING INSTABILITIES (2000-3000
CAPES...-4 LIS) AND WARM 65+ DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE AREA TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LATEST RADAR SHOWS
ISOLATED TSTMS ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS EXTREME NORTH GA AND
PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL GA. EXPECT STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE THRU LATE AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING WITH INCREASED
HEATING AND POSSIBLE ADDED LIFT FROM THE APPROACHING VORT MAX. THE
18Z SOUNDING SHOWS MODERATE LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...MID LEVEL
DRY AIR...SLIGHTLY LOWER WBZ HGT BUT WEAK HELICITIES...ALL
SUGGESTING A CONTINUED ISOLATED SEVERE STORM THREAT...WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT THRU THE EVENING
HOURS. EXPECT THIS THREAT TO REMAIN ISOLATED WITH MERGING OUTFLOWS
PROVIDING BEST FOCUS FOR STRONGER STORMS. SHOULD SEE DISSIPATING
STORMS SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE
WELL INTO THE MORNING HOURS. EXPECT MAINLY A 30% CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
TSTMS OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT MAINLY THE TYPICAL WEAKER SUMMERTIME
VARIETY WITH LITTLE SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
MADE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED PERIODS AS GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW
THE 500 MB RIDGE GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGH THE LONG TERM LEAVING
GEORGIA IN A VERY WEAK UPPER FLOW PATTERN AT LEAST THRU AT LEAST MID
WEEK...WITH DAYTIME HEATING BEING THE SPARK FOR TSTMS EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO INCREASE BY THU-FRI NEXT WEEK AS
THE TAIL END OF ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSH INTO THE AREA.

&&
.AVIATION...
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THAT CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE BULK OF THE
ACTIVITY WILL STAY ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA...BUT MAY IMPACT THE ATL
METRO AIRPORTS. AT THIS POINT DUE TO THE SPOTTY NATURE OF THESE
STORMS...WILL CONTINUE VCTS IN ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT FOR AHN AND
AMEND AS NEEDED. CIGS SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
CIGS DROPPING WITH A THUNDERSTORM. LOOKING AT CIGS DOWNSTREAM
CURRENT FORECAST OF BRINGING THEM UP TO 5-10K FT BY 2Z LOOKS TO
STILL BE ON TRACK AT THIS POINT. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH GUSTY WINDS ENDING AS CONVECTION
DECREASES AFTER SUNSET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA         69  86  69  87 /  40  30  20  30
ATHENS          66  90  67  91 /  40  30  20  30
GAINESVILLE     66  86  66  87 /  50  30  20  30
ROME            66  90  65  89 /  50  30  30  40
COLUMBUS        70  92  70  93 /  20  20  20  20
MACON           67  91  66  92 /  20  20  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

39/22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1125 AM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-271000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1125 AM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH AND
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT NORTH FROM CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
DISSIPATE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...LEAVING A WARM...MOIST AIR MASS
ACROSS THE REGION. MEANWHILE...A TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LOW MOVING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TODAY AND TONIGHT. BY SATURDAY...A SUMMER LIKE UPPER RIDGE WILL
BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT HAZARD FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM
WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 2 PM AND MIDNIGHT...GENERALLY NORTH OF
A LINE FROM WRIGHTSVILLE...TO MACON...TO LA GRANGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL EVOLVE OVER THE AREA TODAY AS AN OLD
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTING NORTH FROM CENTRAL GEORGIA WASHES OUT
ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND DEW POINTS RISE INTO THE 65 TO 70 DEGREE
RANGE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. CAPES BY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO
EXCEED 3000 OVER MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHWEST...AND WEST
CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND REMAINING AS HIGH AS 1500 OVER THESE SAME
AREAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LIFTED INDICES WILL FALL AS LOW AS -4 TO -6
ACROSS THE SAME AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COMPLEX OF
THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVED SOUTHEAST FRIDAY MORNING INTO NORTHWEST
GEORGIA LEFT A SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT IS EXPECTED TO
SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER
TROUGH...WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS...AND AN UPPER JET
SPEED MAX WILL TRACK OVER THE AREA LATE TODAY. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND TRACK SOUTH INTO WEST CENTRAL
GEORGIA NEAR COLUMBUS BY MIDNIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASING THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AS THE MOVEMENT OF THE ACTIVITY
SLOWS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
A WARM...MOIST...AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OVER THE AREA SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH AN UPPER RIDGE
WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD RESULTING IN WEAK
UPPER DYNAMICS...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PULSE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS. THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE WILL BE THE MOST FAVORED AREA
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF A
WRIGHTSVILLE...TO MACON...TO LA GRANGE LINE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
ACTIVATION ANYTIME AFTER 2 PM TODAY CONTINUING UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
641 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

GAZ021-262315-
641 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA SIZED HAIL IN CHEROKEE COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 636 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER BALL GROUND...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.  THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE-HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTHEAST CHEROKEE COUNTY.  THE STORM
SHOULD LEAVE THE COUNTY BY 715 PM.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
644 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

GAZ049-262315-
644 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH IN MORGAN COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 640 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF BUCKHEAD OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST
OF MADISON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THIS STORM WILL
AFFECT BUCKHEAD AND FAR EASTERN PARTS OF MORGAN COUNTY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
654 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 NNW ETON              34.94N 84.82W
05/26/2006                   MURRAY             GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FEW TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 2 IN BEAVERDALE.

0615 PM     HAIL             BOGART                  33.95N 83.53W
05/26/2006  E0.75 INCH       OCONEE             GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOGART                  33.95N 83.53W
05/26/2006                   OCONEE             GA   PUBLIC

            COUPLE TREES DOWN WITHIN BOGART CITY LIMITS.

0618 PM     HAIL             CHATTOOGAVILLE          34.35N 85.45W
05/26/2006  E0.88 INCH       CHATTOOGA          GA   PUBLIC

0641 PM     HAIL             ROME                    34.26N 85.19W
05/26/2006  E0.25 INCH       FLOYD              GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

0645 PM     HAIL             COOSA                   34.25N 85.35W
05/26/2006  E1.00 INCH       FLOYD              GA   PUBLIC

            HAIL OCCURED FOR ATLEAST FIVE MINUTES.

&&

GRIFFITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
702 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0646 PM     HAIL             6 N CAVE SPRING         34.20N 85.33W
05/26/2006  E1.00 INCH       FLOYD              GA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

GRIFFITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
705 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     HAIL             CAVE SPRING             34.11N 85.33W
05/26/2006  E1.75 INCH       FLOYD              GA   AIRPLANE PILOT

&&

GRIFFITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
722 PM EDT FRI MAY 26 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TORNADO          5 NW WATKINSVILLE       33.91N 83.47W
05/26/2006                   OCONEE             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WEAK TORNADO-ROPE LIKE STRUCTURE ABOUT 100 FEET WIDE TO
            0.75 MILE LONG AND EXTENDING FROM MARS HILL RD. TO LOOP

            10 ALONG HIGHWAY 78 WITH FEW TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED.

0719 PM     HAIL             8 NE CEDARTOWN          34.10N 85.16W
05/26/2006  E1.00 INCH       POLK               GA   PUBLIC

            LASTING ABOUT 10 MINUTES

&&

GRIFFITH