Fire Weather Watch 13, NWS Atlanta, GA

Baldwin County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Butts County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Harris County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Schley County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
959 PM EDT THU OCT 12 2006

.UPDATE...
CANT RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT...BUT LOWER LEVELS ARE
DRY...AND MUCH OF WHAT PRECIP OCCURS SHOULD EVAPORATE BEFORE FALLING
TO THE SURFACE. WILL LEAVE A MENTION...BUT DONT HOLD YOUR BREATH.
INCREASED THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA
TO BETTER MATCH RECENT TRENDS. OTHERWISE NO CHANGES.

(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...)

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE AS MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SPREAD ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MORNING.  DRY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE WILL HINDER LIGHT SHOWERS FROM REACHING THE GROUND IN MOST
AREAS ALTHOUGH ISOLATED SPRINKLES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL 7-10 KTS OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY FOG
DEVELOPMENT TOWARD DAYBREAK.

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
MAIN WEATHER CONCERNS THRU THE SHORT TERM WILL BE CHANCE OF PRECIP
TONIGHT...THEN COLD TEMPERATURES AND PATCHY FROST THREAT BY SATURDAY
MORN. LATEST SURFACE MAP SHOWS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR
QUICKLY ADVECTING SOUTHWARD AND INTO THE STATE OVERNIGHT. A
SPLITTING JET STREAM IS NOTED IN THE UPPER LEVELS WITH A STRONG
POLAR JET SPEEDING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REGION AND SUBTROPICAL JET
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER FORCING COUPLED
WITH AMPLE MID LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTING IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST
WILL WARRANT HOLDING ONTO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP OVERNIGHT. WITH
THE LOW LEVELS QUICKLY DRYING OUT...NOT CONFIDENT IN SEEING MUCH
CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIP TONIGHT. HOWEVER...EXPECT SOME SPOTTY
SPRINKLES/LGT SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AS THE JET SPLITS OVERHEAD...BUT
MAINLY FOR LATE EVENING AND AFTER MIDNIGHT HOURS. EXPECT THE MAIN
AXIS OF THE DEEP LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH TO SWING EAST BY FRIDAY
18Z...WITH A CANADIAN COLD DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE
REGION ON FRIDAY. THE CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL BRING A
SLIGHT THREAT OF PATCHY FROST TO MAINLY THE UPPER THIRD OF GEORGIA
BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT JUST PATCHES OF
FROST AS AREA LOWS HOLD MOSTLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S...SO NOT
EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD EVENT AT THIS TIME. WILL UPDATE THE CURRENT
SPS ADDRESSING THIS THREAT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT COOLER THAN NORMAL
HIGHS ON FRIDAY (MID 60S-LWR 70S)...THEN WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL
HIGHS ON SATURDAY (LWR TO MID 70S). EXPECT COOLER THAN NORMAL LOWS
(30S AND 40S) THRU THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
MADE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED PERIODS AS THE GFS CONTINUES TO
SHOW OUR NEXT SYSTEM DIGGING IN OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY...THEN KICKING EASTWARD AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS
THE AREA FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...APPEARS THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH
PRESSURE AND CLEARING CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          49  70  40  73 /  20  10   0   5
ATLANTA         49  68  47  70 /  20  10   0   5
BLAIRSVILLE     43  64  35  66 /  20   5   0   5
CARTERSVILLE    46  66  36  71 /  20   5   5   5
COLUMBUS        56  70  48  78 /  20  10   0   5
GAINESVILLE     47  67  43  68 /  20   5   0   5
MACON           52  73  44  78 /  20  10   5   5
ROME            45  69  35  72 /  20   5   5   5
PEACHTREE CITY  48  70  36  73 /  20  10   0   5
VIDALIA         57  72  49  76 /  10  10   0   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

39/15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
530 AM EDT THU OCT 12 2006

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-130930-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
530 AM EDT THU OCT 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE STATE
USHERING IN A COOL DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL KEEP
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA PRECIPITATION FREE THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.