Severe Thunderstorm Warning 270, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 062233
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
529 PM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

TXC029-062245-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0270.000000T0000Z-060806T2245Z/
BEXAR TX-
529 PM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR BEXAR COUNTY...

AT 530 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SEA WORLD...OR ABOUT 10 MILES 
WEST OF SAN ANTONIO...MOVING WEST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY IN THE PAST FEW 
MINUTES...HOWEVER DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE WINDS OF 50 TO 
60 MPH ALONG THE LEADING EDGE.  

LAT...LON 2932 9838 2963 9841 2966 9880 2927 9880

$$

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 062248
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
545 PM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

TXC029-062255-
/O.EXP.KEWX.SV.W.0270.000000T0000Z-060806T2245Z/
BEXAR TX-
545 PM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BEXAR COUNTY EXPIRED AT 545 PM
CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING THE STRONG WINDS HAVE DECREASED IN 
INTENSITY AND THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER THESE STORMS ARE STILL CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING 40 TO 45 MPH WIND GUSTS AND BRIEF VERY HEAVY RAIN AS THE 
STORMS CONTINUE MOVING WEST AT 35 MPH.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
231 PM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THIS AFTERNOON THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SEEMS TO BE
LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF SABINE PASS TRACKING WNW...BASED ON THE
COMPOSITE REFLECTIVITY RADAR LOOP. THE FIRST SPOKE OF INSTABILITY
AND HIGHER PWATS WAS MOVING WESTWARD INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES
TRIGGERING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO
PWATS AOA 2 INCHES...AS DEPICTED BY THE GOES SOUNDER...HAVE
INCLUDED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FOR THIS EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF
THE I-35 CORRIDOR. WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING EXPECT THE
AREAL COVERAGE TO DIMINISH AND BECOME CONCENTRATED NEAR THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW/VORT MAX. THE GFS SOLUTION TRACKS THE UPPER TROF AND
ASSOCIATED VORT MAX WNW ACROSS THE CWFA ON MONDAY. THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CWFA WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
ON MONDAY BEING LOCATED IN THE REGION OF BEST LIFT. WITH TROPICAL
MOISTURE STILL IN PLACE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ON MONDAY FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROF EXITS THE REGION BY MONDAY NIGHT HOWEVER RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. THIS IS DUE TO A WEAK TROPICAL
WAVE REACHING THE TEXAS COAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE IS THE
REMNANTS OF CHRIS.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BECOME DOMINATE BY WEDNESDAY AND WILL
PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING AN END TO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL FINALLY FALL BELOW NORMAL
FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CWFA DUE TO ANTICIPATED RAINFALL
AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER. THE HEAT WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND THANKS TO SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.

GFS(X) MOS NUMBERS IN THE BALLPARK FOR TEMPS. POPS ARE A BLEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              76  90  73  96 / 50 50 30 20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  73  90  71  96 / 50 50 30 20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           76  97  75  94 / 20 30 30 30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  90  74  94 / 50 50 30 20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

10/13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1012 AM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-071515-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
1012 AM CDT SUN AUG 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...WILL PROVIDE A BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 AND INTERSTATE 37.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES WEST ACROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ONCE
AGAIN THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST ON TUESDAY ONLY WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST. FOR WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION WITH LESS RAINFALL AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.