Severe Thunderstorm Warning 261, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 310050
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
749 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006

TXC137-310130-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-060531T0130Z/
EDWARDS TX-
749 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR EDWARDS COUNTY...

AT 746 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF 
ROCKSPRINGS...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS 55 ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST 
OF ROCKSPRINGS.

LAT...LON 3013 10020 3028 10037 3027 10053 3001 10049

$$

000 
WWUS54 KEWX 310122
SVSEWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
820 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006

TXC137-310130-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0261.000000T0000Z-060531T0130Z/
EDWARDS TX-
820 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR EDWARDS COUNTY...

AT 816 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ABOUT 9 MILES WEST OF ROCKSPRINGS ALONG 
HIGHWAYS 377 AND 674...AND ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROCKSPRINGS 
ALONG HIGHWAY 377...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

LAT...LON 3013 10020 3028 10037 3027 10053 3001 10049

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006

.AVIATION...
ISOLD SHRA WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE SEABREEZE AS IT MOVES WEST
ACROSS THE TPL TO AUS TO SAT TO COT AREAS WHILE SCT SHRA/TSRA
CONTINUE ACROSS THE JCT TO ECU TO JUNO TO OZONA AREAS THROUGH 03Z.
SCT TO NMRS SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP AFTER 12Z EAST OF THE TPL TO
AUS TO SAT TO COT AREAS, THEN SPREAD WEST TO THE SOA TO UVA TO
MMPG AREAS BY 22Z. VFR SCT-BKN050-080 SCT-BKN250 WILL PERSIST,
MVFR CIGS BKN010-030 WILL DEVELOP AFTER 06Z ALONG THE AUS TO SAT
CORRIDOR AND THEN SPREAD WEST TO NEAR DRT BY 12Z, CIGS WILL LIFT
TO VFR BKN035-050 AFTER 17Z, EXCEPT LCL MVFR VSBYS 1-3SM AND CIGS
BKN020- 030 IN SHRA/TSRA. SE WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KTS WITH GUSTS 20
TO 25 KTS WILL PERSIST UNTIL 03Z, THEN SE WINDS OF 5 TO 10 KTS
BECMG VRBL LESS THAN 5 KTS AFTER 07Z. ELY WINDS OF 7 TO 12 KTS
WILL DEVELOP AFTER 15Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 248 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 2006)

DISCUSSION...
THE CENTER OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED
OVER THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE HAS
REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION. THUS MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON HAS REMAINED
JUST EAST OF OUR CWFA. HOWEVER WE WILL CONTINUE THE FFA FOR THE
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING IN CASE THESE STORMS
DEVELOP WESTWARD. THE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH IN AREAL COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT WITH THE CONVECTION BECOMING GENERALLY CONCENTRATED
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION.

BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SLOWLY MOVE THE UPPER LOW WEST SOUTHWEST
TOWARDS MEXICO OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THIS WESTWARD PROGRESSION OF
THE UPPER LOW WILL PUT THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA IN THE AREA OF
BEST LIFT ON WEDNESDAY. CONVECTION WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE
DURING THE DAY DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FFA WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL
SHIFT WESTWARD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL BUILD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN CHANGE WILL BRING AN END TO
OUR RAIN CHANCES BY SUNDAY.

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
DE WITT... FAYETTE... GONZALES... KARNES... LAVACA... AND WILSON.

&&

03/04