Flash Flood Warning 92, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 190259
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
959 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

TXC021-055-209-287-453-491-190305-
WILLIAMSON TX-TRAVIS TX-LEE TX-BASTROP TX-HAYS TX-CALDWELL TX-
959 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CALDWELL...HAYS...
BASTROP...LEE...TRAVIS AND WILLIAMSON COUNTIES...

AT 955 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THE 
VERY HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNING AREA. ONLY LIGHT TO 
MODERATE RAIN WILL PERSIST. AS A RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SOME MINOR STREAM RISES AND PONDING OF WATER IN 
LOW LYING ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO DUE TO EARLIER HEAVY 
RAINS.  

LAT...LON 2986 9797 2980 9779 3051 9693 3083 9736
      3051 9805

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
624 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

.AVIATION...
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH KAUS NEAR 02Z AND THROUGH KSAT NEAR
04Z THIS EVENING. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH
THE FROPA AT I-35 TAF SITES. IFR CIGS TO FOLLOW QUICKLY BEHIND THE
FRONT AND HOLD THROUGH 15Z THURSDAY AT I-35 TAF SITES...WITH ONLY
MVFR CIGS EXPECTED AT KDRT. MODERATE NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH
GUSTS TO PREVAIL BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 231 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006)

DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH SJT AND IS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
AROUND 20 MPH. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE HILL COUNTRY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND WILL BE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BY THURSDAY
MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALREADY DEVELOPING
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL COUNTRY IN THE WARM AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE WITH THE APPROACH
AND PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
TSTMS FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA THIS EVENING WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT
BEING DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS ALSO A THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL DUE TO THE HIGH PWS. HOWEVER WE WILL NOT ISSUE A FFA
DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED SPEED OF THE STORMS. 1 TO 2 INCH STORM
TOTALS CAN BE EXPECTED.

ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL HAVE REACHED THE COAST BY THURSDAY
MORNING THERE WILL BE SOME POST FRONTAL RAIN AND SHOWERS. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL END IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER
TROF AXIS AFTER 18Z.

THE PROGRESSIVE 5 WAVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN CONTINUES OVER THE
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THE NEXT UPPER TROF WILL DROP OUT OF CANADA
AND SWING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL DRIVE ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE RECOVERY TO INCLUDE
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS NEXT FROPA.

FCST A BLEND OF GFS/NAM.

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

05/04/11/JB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
230 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-191030-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
230 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY EARLY THIS
EVENING AND WILL BE LOCATED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST BY THURSDAY
MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN ADVANCE AND
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IS MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING
WINDS. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL END AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING. HOWEVER THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
603 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KINGSLAND               30.66N 98.45W
10/18/2006                   LLANO              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN

&&

JPB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
634 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     TSTM WND GST     BURNET                  30.76N 98.23W
10/18/2006  M62 MPH          BURNET             TX   ASOS

&&

JPB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
646 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KINGSLAND               30.66N 98.45W
10/18/2006                   LLANO              TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROOF BLOWN OFF SO ANNEX, ALSO CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO BOAT
            DEALERSHIP.

&&

JPB