Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS El Paso, TX

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1030 AM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-120630-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
1030 AM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS JUST TO THE WEST...OVER EASTERN ARIZONA AND
EXTREME WESTERN NEW MEXICO.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH
HEAVY RAIN...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE BOOTHEEL...SOUTHWEST
DESERTS...AND GILA AREAS OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO. OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...ONLY ISOLATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED.
SCATTERED STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
A GENERAL MONSOONAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE. FOR THE WEEKEND THE
MOISTURE PLUME IS FORECAST TO SHIFT BACK TOWARD SOUTH CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEK.

STORM CHANCES...AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN...AND FLOODING POTENTIAL ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE EAST.

ANY STORM THROUGH THIS PERIOD MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LOCAL
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAY BE CALLED UPON TO PROVIDE LOCAL WEATHER INFORMATION.
SPOTTERS SHOULD CONTACT THE EL PASO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IF SEVERE WEATHER OR HEAVY RAIN OCCURS AT THEIR LOCATION.

TRIPOLI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
104 PM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

NMZ025-112215-
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
104 PM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF OTERO COUNTY. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EXHIBITING VERY SLOW MOVEMENT AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.

FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND
STREAM BEDS...AND IN OTHER LOW LYING AREAS IS A POSSIBILITY.
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES IN LESS THAN AN HOUR.

PIEPER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
104 PM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

NMZ025-112215-
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
104 PM MDT FRI AUG 11 2006

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF OTERO COUNTY. AS OF 104 PM
MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY WAS LOCATED OVER PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS
130...82...AND 24 EAST OF CLOUDCROFT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXHIBITING
VERY SLOW MOVEMENT AND MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CREATE THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLOODING. FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE GILAS THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL...THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.

FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS AND
STREAM BEDS...AND IN OTHER LOW LYING AREAS IS A POSSIBILITY.
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES IN LESS THAN AN HOUR.

PIEPER