Tornado Warning 35, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 130235
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
836 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC001-171-197-130300-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060313T0300Z/
SCHUYLER MO-PUTNAM MO-ADAIR MO-
836 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ADAIR...
SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND SCHUYLER COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CST...

AT 834 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR QUEEN CITY...OR 18 MILES NORTH OF
KIRKSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DOWNING BY 845 PM CST.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4036 9285 4018 9286 4019 9235 4060 9236
      4060 9240

$$

NRR

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 130245
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
845 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC001-171-197-130300-
/O.CON.KEAX.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060313T0300Z/
SCHUYLER MO-PUTNAM MO-ADAIR MO-
845 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ADAIR...
SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND SCHUYLER COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CST...

AT 844 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DOWNING...OR 14 MILES WEST OF MEMPHIS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN ADAIR...
SCHUYLER AND SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF
DOWNING.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4036 9285 4018 9286 4019 9235 4060 9236
      4060 9240

$$

NRR

000 
WWUS53 KEAX 130252
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
851 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

MOC001-171-197-130301-
/O.CAN.KEAX.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-060313T0300Z/
SCHUYLER MO-PUTNAM MO-ADAIR MO-
851 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN ADAIR...SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM AND
SCHUYLER COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 848 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO 
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
TORNADO WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ADAIR AND 
SOUTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM.

LAT...LON 4036 9285 4018 9286 4019 9235 4060 9236
      4060 9240

$$

NRR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
340 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER ONGOING AT THIS TIME. AS SURFACE LOW EXITS THIS
EVENING...SO WILL THE THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE TAPERED OFF POPS FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EVENING. IF DRYLINE DOES NOT IGNITE IN SOUTHEAST
KANSAS IN THE CU FIELDS THIS AFTERNOON...MAY BE ABLE TO TAKE TSRA
OUT OF FORECAST A BIT EARLIER. SEEING WINDS SHIFTING MORE TO THE
SOUTHWEST...AND DEWPOINT DEPRESSION INCREASING. IF DRYLINE LIGHTS
UP...SHOULD BE IN THE NEXT 2 HOURS.

PRECIP WILL WRAP AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP WITH THAT EXCEPT POSSIBLY IN
EXTREME NORTHERN MO. HAVE JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THAT AREA. WE
SHOULD SEE AN EXTENSIVE STRATUS DECK HOWEVER.

TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ARE MUCH COOLER...WITH LOWS
TONIGHT IN THE MID 30S IN NORTHWEST MO.  SHOULD SEE A LARGE TEMP
GRADIENT DOWN TO CENTRAL MO. ON MONDAY...WITH THE STRATUS DECK...THE
DIURNAL RANGE SHOULD ONLY BE ABOUT 10 DEG WITH A BREEZY NORTHWEST
WIND.  SURFACE HIGH IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING ONLY SLIGHTLY. BY WEDNESDAY...WE SEE ANOTHER
LOW DEVELOP ON THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. HAVE INTRODUCED PRECIP FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GULF MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE ABLE TO GET
HERE...AND MAY NEED TO BRING POPS INTO WED AFTERNOON. GFS SOUNDINGS
SHOW SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY POSSIBLE...BUT HAVE LEFT THUNDER OUT
FOR NOW.

HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK. MID RANGE MODELS SHOWING SOME SIGNAL FOR ANOTHER FRONT TO GO
THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. HAVE PUT IN SLIGHT CHANCES THUS FAR.

27

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

415 AM SUN...
COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO IS UNFOLDING TODAY WITH THE MAKINGS FOR A
SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
VIGOROUS MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
AND HEAD TOWARD NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...AT
THE SURFACE A WARM FRONT WILL SURGE NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL
MISSOURI FROM ITS CURRENT LOCATION OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A DRY
LINE WILL ALSO HEAD EAST FROM EASTERN KANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
STRONG DIFFLUENCE WILL DEVELOP ALOFT IN RESPONSE TO A 140KT+ UPPER
JET.

CURRENTLY A FEW RADAR ECHOES HAVE BEEN NOTED OVER THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...IN ASSOCIATION WITH INCREASING MID
LEVEL ISENTROPIC LIFT. HAVE INCLUDED A LOW END CHANCE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AS THE AREA OF ISENTROPIC
LIFT SPREADS NORTHWARD.

ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION THIS AFTERNOON. AM
ANTICIPATING AN AREA OF CONVECTION TO DEVELOP FROM THE WARM FRONT
AND SOUTH ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ADVANCING DRYLINE BEGINNING
IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. MANY FAVORABLE SEVERE WEATHER
PARAMETERS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE SO IT SHOULDNT TAKE LONG FOR
STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE ONCE THEY DEVELOP. THERE IS A DEFINITE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THE ANTICIPATED SUPERCELLULAR
STORMS...AND A TORNADIC THREAT ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT WHERE
LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MORE BACKED AND EHI VALUES REACH THE 3 TO 4
RANGE. MAIN NEGATIVE FACTOR THE STORMS MUST OVERCOME IS THE
EXCEPTIONAL SHEAR MAGNITUDE...WHICH IS PROGGED TO BE IN EXCESS OF 80
KNOTS FROM 0-6KM ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI. THE MOVEMENT OF THE WARM
FRONT THIS MORNING WILL WARRANT WATCHING...AS ANY SLOWER MOVEMENT
THAN PROGGED BY THE EARLIER MODEL RUNS WOULD SHIFT THE
SEVERE/TORNADIC THREAT FURTHER SOUTH THAN NORTHERN MISSOURI. STORMS
ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP INTO A SQUALL LINE THAT WILL TRACK
EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING.

THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS MONDAY. CANT RULE OUT
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM...MAINLY OVER NORTHER MISSOURI MONDAY.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SIGNIFICANTLY TONIGHT AND
ACTUALLY HEAD BACK TOWARD NORMAL FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.

STOFLET
&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO EAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1256 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1256 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ANOTHER EXPLOSIVE ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE LONG-
TRACKED TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL INTO THE EVENING
HOURS.

THESE STORMS ARE FIRING ALONG A DRY LINE THAT IS LOCATED IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS. ONCE THE STORMS DEVELOP...THEY WILL QUICKLY BECOME
SUPERCELLULAR AND MOVE INTO MISSOURI. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING
THE POSSIBILITY OF DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.
PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE READY TO REACT QUICKLY SHOULD A WARNING BE
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.

27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
805 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     TORNADO          3 N KNOB NOSTER         38.81N 93.57W
03/12/2006                   JOHNSON            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            APPROXIMATELY 1/2 MILE WIDE

&&

LVQK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
807 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     HAIL             3 SW CONCORDIA          38.95N 93.62W
03/12/2006  E2.50 INCHES     LAFAYETTE          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0806 PM     TORNADO          5 N KNOB NOSTER         38.84N 93.57W
03/12/2006                   JOHNSON            MO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS

&&

GA

STLLSREAX DEF
TTAA00 KEAX DDHHMM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
807 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     HAIL             3 SW CONCORDIA          38.95N 93.62W
03/12/2006  E2.50 INCHES     LAFAYETTE          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0804 PM     TORNADO          5 N KNOB NOSTER         38.84N 93.57W
03/12/2006                   JOHNSON            MO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS

&&

GA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
810 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 NW HARDIN             39.29N 93.88W
03/12/2006                   RAY                MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
811 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     HAIL             EMMA                    38.97N 93.50W
03/12/2006  E2.75 INCHES     LAFAYETTE          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
815 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     HAIL             HARRISONVILLE           38.65N 94.35W
03/12/2006  E1.75 INCHES     CASS               MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0811 PM     TORNADO          3 W URICH               38.47N 94.05W
03/12/2006                   HENRY              MO   PUBLIC

            TORNADO WEST OF URICH...SOUTH OF CREIGHTON

&&

GA