Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Watches in 2006

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

June 10, 200633 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this flash flood watch at Jun 10, 2006, 2:52 PM CDT for 33 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Jun 10, 2006, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 10, 2006, 2:52 PM CDT (19:52 UTC)
In effect from: Jun 10, 2006, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired: Jun 11, 2006, 8:12 AM CDT
In force: 13 hr
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity: None

All 40 counties

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 285 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -586 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1940 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jun 10, 10:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 10:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 1:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
106 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-111100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
106 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR NORTHERN MISSOURI. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
FORM ALONG A COLD FRONT AS IT SHIFTS FROM NORTHERN MISSOURI TOWARDS
INTERSTATE 70. ALTHOUGH THE ENTIRE REGION HAS A RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS THE AREA WITH THE BEST THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
SOUTH OF A ST JOSEPH TO MACON LINE. INCREASING MOISTURE...INSTABILITY
AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
AFTER 3 PM. LARGE HAIL WILL INITIALLY BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...
BUT AS THE STORMS EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS DAMAGING WINDS IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH BY MID
EVENING.

IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STORMS TO CONTINUOUSLY
FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS IT STALLS IN THE VICINITY OF INTERSTATE
70. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG
INTERSTATE 70 FOR THIS EVENING. THIS WILL INCLUDE ALL OF THE KANSAS
CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...AS WELL AS THE CITIES OF HIGGINSVILLE...
WARRENSBURG...MARSHALL...SEDALIA...FAYETTE...AND BOONVILLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING FROM WEST CENTRAL
TO NORTHEAST MISSOURI SUNDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS SHOULD EXIT THE
REGION BY NOON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH...TO CHILLICOTHE...AND MACON.

CUTTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard	32 min
Jun 10, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cooper, Howard	39 min
Jun 10, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cooper	45 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2006 Flash Flood Watches in Kansas, 2006 Every flash flood watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.