Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 071733
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1132 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

IAC009-071800-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060307T1800Z/
AUDUBON IA-
1132 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND 
NORTHEASTERN AUDUBON COUNTY UNTIL NOON CST...

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR WESTERN AND 
SOUTHERN AUDUBON COUNTY...

AT 1130 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF AUDUBON...OR 52 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF IDA GROVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF 
NORTHEASTERN AUDUBON COUNTY.  MOVE INDOORS AS THE STORM APPROACHES.

PEA SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED EARLIER IN EXIRA.


LAT...LON 4166 9495 4164 9476 4186 9475 4186 9497

$$

JUNGBLUTH

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 071745
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1145 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

IAC009-071755-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060307T1800Z/
AUDUBON IA-
1145 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN 
AUDUBON COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 1143 AM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO 
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF SEVERE WEATHER WAS OBSERVED...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN DES MOINES AT 1-800-759-9276.

LAT...LON 4166 9495 4164 9476 4186 9475 4186 9497

$$

JUNGBLUTH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
350 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...COMPLEX WEATHER SETTING UP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
HIGH NOW OFF TO EAST IN WISCONSIN WITH LOW DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTH
AND WEST. MOISTURE CURRENTLY LIMITED AT THE SFC HERE...THOUGH RAPID
INFLOW OF MOISTURE ALREADY SETTING UP FROM SW KANSAS INTO TEXAS.
ALSO...ALOFT...PLENTY OF RETURN MOISTURE ON THE WAY. FIRST SYSTEM
AND WAVE OF MOISTURE/LIFT SETTING UP FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH MOISTURE TRANSPORT
INCREASING...AS WELL AS LIFT DUE TO THETAE ADVECTION. ISENTROPIC
ANALYSIS SHOWS ELEVATED CONVECTION IN STORE FOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER REGION. TEMPS ON THE RISE AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO
BETTER ORGANIZE WITH NEXT UPSTREAM WAVE. EXPECT HIGHS WED TO BE
MILDER OVER AREA THAN TODAY. STATIONARY FRONT SETS UP SOUTH OF US
WITH THE BEGINNINGS OF STRONG OVERRUNNING BY WED AM OVER FAR SOUTH.
THIS CONTINUES MUCH OF THE DAY. SHOWALTERS TO NEAR ZERO SOUTH BY
EARLY WED MORNING WITH THUNDER SPREADING NORTH DURING DAY. WIND
SPEED MAX APPROACHES FOR WED NIGHT INCREASING RISK OF SVR WX OVER
SOUTH AND EASTERN PORTION DURING THE LATE DAY AND EVENING HOURS.
THREAT APPEARS TO BE HAIL AND WIND AT THIS TIME WITH MAINLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR EXPECTED WITH SYSTEM. FAST MOVERS...HOWEVER.
RAINFALL AMTS WILL BE IN THE QUARTER TO NEARLY 1.50 INCH RANGE WITH
THE TWO SYSTEMS BEFORE THINGS QUIET DOWN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WEEKEND
SYSTEMS LOOK LESS MOIST AS MAIN MOISTURE CHANNEL MAY HAVE SHIFTED
EAST BY THEN. ALSO...LATEST RUNS OF GFS COLDER...AND HINTING AT SNOW
EARLY NEXT WEEK. EURO ALSO COLDER WITH SYSTEM BY MONDAY...HOWEVER
GEM MODEL STILL MILD. TOO EARLY TO JUMP ON BOARD FOR MARCH SNOW
STORM WITH THIS BEING THE FIRST SET OF RUNS TO SUGGEST SUCH.
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS WIDE SWINGS IN TEMPERATURES BETWEEN MEMBERS
HINTING AT A RATHER HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

REV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1046 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

IAZ023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-081700-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
1046 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL IOWA
MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 18 TO THE MISSOURI BORDER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS
MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE HALF
INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD
PRODUCE THREE QUARTER INCH HAIL BUT WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL IS NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
QUICKLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY. DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH BETWEEN 1
PM AND 7 PM WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 80.

AT THIS TIME...MORE NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

IAZ004>007-015>017-081700-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
1046 AM CST TUE MAR 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL IOWA
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 18.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 18.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FAB