Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Des Moines, IA

May 3, 2006Madison County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2006, 4:33 AM CDT for Madison County, Iowa. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2006, 4:33 AM CDT (09:33 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2006, 5:00 AM CDT
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Des Moines, IA
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Madison County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 294 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2006-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 906 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2006-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
906 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-140 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
263 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 3:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 3:12 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
312 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SYNOPSIS...

BROAD AREA OF DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT OVER UPPER MIDWEST...AHEAD OF
80KT JET STREAK NOW MOVING INTO NRN PLAINS. SIMILAR DIFFLUENT
PATTERN OBSERVED FROM 700 TO 500 MB WITH CLOSED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
FROM SFC TO 500 MB OVER SRN CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES. 850 TROF/COL
POINT INDICATED OVER MO RIVER VALLEY WITH PRONOUNCED THERMAL RIDGING
FROM SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AT 00 UTC. ONGOING
QLCS ALONG FRONT THROUGH SE NEBRASKA AT 07Z NOW REACHING SW IA AT
03Z...WHILE WARM SECTOR DICSREET CELLS OVER NW MO BECOMING MORE
NUMEROUS WITH TIME AS THEY MOVE TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL IOWA ALONG THE
NOSE OF THE 925 MB JET. DECENT INSTABILITY AXIS AHEAD OF APROACHING
QLCS IN SW IOWA AND MIGHT SEE A COUPLE OF STRONGER UPDRAFTS PUSH
SEVERE LIMITS EARLY THIS AM.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NAM/GFS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON MAIN FEATURES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHICH DEPICTS UPPER LOW CONTINUING EAST THROUGH
SOUTHERN TO SOUTHEAST CANADA AND DIFFLUENT FLOW BECOMING QUICKLY
CONFLUENT AND ZONAL TODAY. THE LOW WILL FORCE SFC BAROCLINIC ZONE TO
SOUTH AND EAST OF STATE WHICH WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION EVENT FROM THE
OHIO VALLEY SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER IN THE MEANTIME DECENT PCPN CHCS WILL BE FOUND THROUGH
SOUTHEAST CWA THIS MORNING...AS COLD FRONT PASSES THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH BROAD BUT RELATIVELY WEAK QG FORCING AND THETA-E
CONVERGENCE RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. SFC FRONT HAS MADE IT TO THE EDGE
OF THE FORECAST AREA AND WILL REACH EAST...PERHAPS A DECORAH TO
LAMONI LINE BY BEFORE 12Z. RUC MODEL MUCAPES INCREASE ACROSS
SOUTHERN TIERS OF COUNTIES BY 18Z TO AROUND 1800-2000 J/KG RIGHT
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD FRONT. WILL BE CLOSE CALL FOR
SEVERE LATE MORNING FAR SE GIVEN THIS...BUT MAY WELL ESCAPE GIVEN
BEST SFC-850 CONVERGENCE WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI. CURRENT
PCPN CHCS LOOK GOOD WITH 50 POPS IN SE HALF THROUGH
18Z...DIMINISHING IN AREAL COVERAGE TO FAR SE FOR AFTERNOON HOURS.

PROBLEM FOR TONIGHT APPEARS TO BE GFS WITH POSSIBLE GRID-SCALE
FEEDBACK PROBLEM GIVEN A SIGNIFICANT PCPN BULLSEYE OVER NW MO AND
INTO SRN IA. NAM HAS CLEARED THE CWA OF PCPN BY THIS POINT AND WILL
REMOVE PCPN OVER SOUTHERN IOWA ALTOGETHER FOR TONIGHT.

THURSDAY WILL PRESENT A CONTINUATION OF DEEP LAYER COOL AND DRY
ADVECTION WITH GENERAL LACK OF ANY FORCING. MOS TEMPS ARE VERY
SIMILAR SO WILL STICK WITH AN ONLY SIGHTLY COOLER METMOS GIVEN
DECENT POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD BKN SKY COVER OVER THE  AREA WITH CU
RULES FROM GFS IN THE -4 TO -5 RANGE.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

MADE A FEW WIND ADJUSTMENTS DIURNALLY FROM EARLY FRIDAY TO FRIDAY
NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE IS JUST TO WEST WITH SLIGHT SFC GRADIENT OVER
AREA. ALSO CURBED SKY COVER OVER NORTH DURING THIS PD.

COOLEST TEMPERATURES OF THE FORECAST STILL ON TAP FOR EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. STRONG SFC HIGH BUILDS INTO AREA UNDER UPPER NW
FLOW/NVA AND SUBSIDENCE WITH 1000-500 MB THICKNESS VALUES IN THE
540-548DAM RANGE. ALTHOUGH COOL...THESE TEMPS ARE STILL ONLY AROUND
5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL LOWS FOR THIS POINT IN EARLY MAY.

FOR DAYS 4-7...WEEKEND WILL BRING PATTERN CHANGE FORM GENERALLY DRY
TO MORE CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDER. GFS/ECMWF BOTH SHOWING
TRANSITION  TO A SYNOPTIC PVA PATTERN FOLLOWING EASTWARD SHIFT OF
UPPER RIDGE BEGINNING MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE MID PART OF THE WORK WEEK
AS CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
PRECIPITATION FORECAST BUT A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES
MADE AND MAINTAINED POPS ON SUNDAY WITH SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN AREA PER
GFS/ECMWF.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

RUSSELL
Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 3:57 AM CDT, 36 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, May 3, 3:33 AM CDT, 1 hour before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 3:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTaylor42 min
May 3, 5:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWayne52 min
May 3, 6:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis28 min
May 3, 6:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose15 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.