Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this winter storm warning at Dec 18, 2006, 4:01 PM CST for 14 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 19, 2006, 2:57 AM CST. It was in force for 54 hr. 8 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 18, 2006, 4:01 PM CST (22:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 19, 2006, 2:57 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 21, 2006, 9:16 AM CST
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
Counties Finney County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 12:15 AM CST | ICE STORM | Hugoton, KS | TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES ARE SNAPPING DUE TO ICE ACCUMULATION. MOST OF THE CITY OF HUGOTON IS WITHOUT POWER. ROADS REMAIN WET. |
| Dec 20, 3:06 AM CST | ICE STORM | Johnson City, KS | TREE LIMBS AND POWERLINES DOWN. POWER IS OUT IN JOHNSON. PRECIPITATION CHANGED TO SNOW AT ABOUT 250 AM CST. |
| Dec 20, 3:25 AM CST | ICE STORM 0 | Dighton, KS | 4 INCH THICK TREE LIMBS BROKEN FROM 0.25 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 20, 7:13 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Johnson City, KS | MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION COMBINED. |
| Dec 20, 8:49 AM CST | ICE STORM 0 | Garden City, KS | SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES FROM 0.25 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 20, 8:49 AM CST | ICE STORM 0 | Liberal, KS | SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND TREE LIMBS SNAPPED. ICE ACCUMULATION ESTIMATED 0.25 INCH |
| Dec 20, 9:00 AM CST | ICE STORM 0 | Wakeeney, KS | LARGE TREE BRANCHES REPORTED DOWN FROM AT LEAST 0.25 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 20, 10:30 AM CST | ICE STORM 0 | Dighton, KS | 4-6 INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN WITH 3/4 INCH ICE ON THE BRANCHES FROM OVERNIGHT. HIGHWAY 96 WAS WET AND SOME COUNTY ROADS WERE SLICK. TREE LIMBS CAN BE HEARD BREAKING. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1431 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 110 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 287 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KDDC 182201 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 401 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL EJECT NORTHEAST INTO NEW MEXICO. THE UPPER LOW WILL INTERACT WITH COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING OVER TEXAS. A REMNANT CANADIAN AIRMASS WITH DRY LOW LEVEL AIR ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF KANSAS WHICH WILL REMAIN LOCKED IN PLACE AS WARM MOIST AIR ADVECTS NORTH OVER IT TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 27 AND 32 DEGREES OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS WEST OF A LINE FROM WAKEENEY TO DODGE CITY. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-190615- /O.UPG.KDDC.WW.Y.0002.061219T1200Z-061220T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.WS.W.0003.061219T1800Z-061220T1500Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 401 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 /301 PM MST MON DEC 18 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD SOUTHWEST AROUND MIDDAY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 27 TO 30 DEGREE RANGE FROM A CIMARRON TO LIBERAL LINE WEST TO THE COLORADO BORDER. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD BY AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST MOST OF TUESDAY NIGHT. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS EXPECTED OF ONE HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHERE FREEZING RAIN IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WHERE SLEET IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE, ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW...MAY SEE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-190615- /O.NEW.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.061219T2100Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 401 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. AS TEMPERATURES HOVER BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A PROBLEM BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE NIGHT. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES THUS THE FORECAST FOR DODGE CITY...NESS CITY...WAKEENEY...AND HAYS IS MORE UNCERTAIN WITH RESPECT TO RAIN VERSUS FREEZING RAIN. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM TO JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ UMSCHEID
10 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KDDC 190249 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 849 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL EJECT NORTHEAST INTO NEW MEXICO. THE UPPER LOW WILL INTERACT WITH COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RESIDING OVER TEXAS. A REMNANT CANADIAN AIRMASS WITH DRY LOW LEVEL AIR ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF KANSAS WHICH WILL REMAIN LOCKED IN PLACE AS WARM MOIST AIR ADVECTS NORTH OVER IT TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN 27 AND 32 DEGREES OVER MUCH OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS WEST OF A LINE FROM WAKEENEY TO DODGE CITY. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-191100- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.W.0003.061219T1200Z-061220T1500Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 849 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 /749 PM MST MON DEC 18 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ WEDNESDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ WEDNESDAY. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD SOUTHWEST KANSAS TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 27 TO 30 DEGREE RANGE FROM A CIMARRON TO LIBERAL LINE WEST TO THE COLORADO BORDER. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS EXPECTED OF ONE HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHERE FREEZING RAIN IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WHERE SLEET IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE...ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW...MAY SEE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES DUE TO DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-191100- /O.EXT.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.061219T1200Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 849 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. AS TEMPERATURES HOVER BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A PROBLEM BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE. AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT... TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM TO JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KDDC 190857 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 257 AM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL EJECT NORTHEAST INTO NEW MEXICO AND KANSAS BY WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF WINTRY WEATHER TYPES AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE...SLEET...AND SNOW ARE LIKELY. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-191800- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.W.0003.061219T0857Z-061221T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 257 AM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 /157 AM MST TUE DEC 19 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 27 TO 30 DEGREE RANGE FROM A CIMARRON TO LIBERAL LINE WEST TO THE COLORADO BORDER. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS EXPECTED OF ONE HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHERE FREEZING RAIN IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WHERE SLEET IS THE DOMINANT TYPE... ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE LINE AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ELSEWHERE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW...MAY SEE POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-191800- /O.EXT.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.061219T0857Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 257 AM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. AS TEMPERATURES HOVER BETWEEN 30 AND 32 DEGREES...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A PROBLEM THIS MORNING AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE. AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT... TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM TO JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT WITH FREEZING RAIN SWITCHING TO RAIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ 06
000 WWUS43 KDDC 191815 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1215 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TODAY WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-192200- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061221T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 1215 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 /1115 AM MST TUE DEC 19 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY. FREEZING RAIN...ALONG WITH SOME SLEET...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN THE AREA WEST OF A SCOTT CITY TO LIBERAL LINE. A FEW LOCATIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING SHOULD FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS. IN ADDITION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL RESULT IN BRIEF PERIODS OF MODERATE FREEZING RAIN. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS EXPECTED OF ONE HALF TO THREE- QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHERE FREEZING RAIN IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WHERE SLEET IS THE DOMINANT TYPE... ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE...ESPECIALLY WEST OF JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE LINE AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ELSEWHERE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW...MAY SEE POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-192200- /O.CON.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 1215 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. AREAS OF PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES THAT ARE GENERALLY ABOVE FREEZING ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AT THE ONSET OF THE PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE. AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM TO JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT WITH FREEZING RAIN SWITCHING TO RAIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GERARD
000 WWUS43 KDDC 192137 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 337 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OVER FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TODAY WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE WINTRY MIX IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER LATE TONIGHT. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-200545- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061221T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 337 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 /237 PM MST TUE DEC 19 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ WEDNESDAY. FREEZING RAIN...ALONG WITH SOME SLEET...WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN THE AREA WEST OF A SCOTT CITY TO LIBERAL LINE. A FEW LOCATIONS WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING SHOULD FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AS PRECIPITATION BEGINS. A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS EXPECTED OF ONE HALF TO THREE- QUARTERS OF AN INCH WHERE FREEZING RAIN IS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. WHERE SLEET IS THE DOMINANT TYPE... ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXCEED ONE INCH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COLORADO STATE LINE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY WEST OF JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE LINE AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ELSEWHERE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW...MAY SEE POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-200545- /O.CON.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 337 PM CST TUE DEC 19 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND MUCH OF THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURES THAT ARE GENERALLY ABOVE FREEZING ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AT THE ONSET OF THE PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ICE ACCUMULATION UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH IS POSSIBLE. AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WARM TO JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT WITH FREEZING RAIN SWITCHING TO RAIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ UMSCHEID
000 WWUS43 KDDC 200941 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 341 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...ICE AND HEAVY SNOW OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS... A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NEW MEXICO WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS WEST TEXAS TODAY AND INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW THIS MORNING TO WESTERN KANSAS. THE UPPER LOW WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...CAUSING SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-201745- /O.EXT.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 341 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 /241 AM MST WED DEC 20 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS MORNING WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BY NOON. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 6 PM AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 9 INCHES. SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE HIGHER IF THE SYSTEM STALLS OUT OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 30 DEGREES OR BELOW MAY SEE POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078-201500- /O.NEW.KDDC.WS.A.0004.061221T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ /O.CON.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-061220T1500Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 341 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN THIS MORNING. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE PROLONGED FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 32 DEGREES OR BELOW MAY SEE POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING. AS THE STORM SYSTEM STALLS OUT OVER KANSAS...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE EXACT PATH OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DICTATE WHERE THE HEAVY SNOW FALLS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ KSZ065-066-079-201745- /O.NEW.KDDC.WS.A.0004.061221T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ PAWNEE-STAFFORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN... STAFFORD...HUDSON...KINSLEY...LEWIS 341 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING. AS THE STORM SYSTEM STALLS TONIGHT...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE EXACT PATH OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DICTATE WHERE THE HEAVY SNOW FALLS. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$
000 WWUS43 KDDC 201618 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 1018 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS... .A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NEW MEXICO WILL LIFT OUT ACROSS WEST TEXAS TODAY AND INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW THIS MORNING TO WESTERN KANSAS. THE UPPER LOW WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...CAUSING SNOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-210030- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 1018 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 /918 AM MST WED DEC 20 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 6 PM AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 9 INCHES. SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE HIGHER IF THE SYSTEM STALLS OUT OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-078-079-210030- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0004.061221T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-FORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 1018 AM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 AM CST... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING. AS THE STORM SYSTEM STALLS OUT OVER KANSAS...AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE EXACT PATH OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL DICTATE WHERE THE HEAVY SNOW FALLS...BUT HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF PROLONGED CONVECTIVE SNOW. A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. $$ UMSCHEID
000 WWUS43 KDDC 202153 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 353 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... .A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW BACK INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS EVENING. A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. AREAS ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF HIGHWAY 283 WILL LIKELY SEE THE PRECIPITATION STARTING OUT AS RAIN AND THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-210500- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 353 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 /253 PM MST WED DEC 20 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS EVENING AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS MUCH AS 5 AND 8 INCHES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-078-079-210500- /O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0004.061221T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.061221T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-FORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 353 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING WHICH WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ GERARD
000 WWUS43 KDDC 210316 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 916 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... .A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS OVERNIGHT. A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087-211130- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY- MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA...JOHNSON CITY... ULYSSES...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA...ELKHART... RICHFIELD...HUGOTON...MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 916 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 /816 PM MST WED DEC 20 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS MUCH AS 5 AND 8 INCHES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-078-079-211130- /O.CON.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-FORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE...RUSH CENTER...JETMORE... HANSTON...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN...STAFFORD...HUDSON... DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN...KINSLEY...LEWIS 916 PM CST WED DEC 20 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THURSDAY. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KDDC 210855 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING... .A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY. A BAND OF SNOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. THE BAND WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. KSZ077-211700- /O.CAN.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ GRAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CIMARRON...MONTEZUMA 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ074>076-211700- /O.CAN.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON CITY...ULYSSES...SUBLETTE... SATANTA 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH 1 TO 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ084>087-211000- /O.CAN.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...RICHFIELD...HUGOTON... MOSCOW...LIBERAL...KISMET...MEADE...FOWLER 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW MAY OCCUR TODAY BUT ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. $$ KSZ065-066-079-211000- /O.CAN.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ PAWNEE-STAFFORD-EDWARDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LARNED...BURDETT...ST. JOHN... STAFFORD...HUDSON...KINSLEY...LEWIS 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. A FEW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT ACCUMULATING SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED. $$ KSZ030-211700- /O.UPG.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ TREGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR A WEATHER THREAT THAT IS LIFE THREATENING TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ043-044-061>063-211700- /O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE... LAKIN...DEERFIELD...GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 /155 AM MST THU DEC 21 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH 3 TO 7 ADDITIONAL INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 INCHES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A THICK GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER OBJECTS..OR WITH HEAVY SNOW EXCEEDING 6 INCHES. TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AND TRAVEL MAY BECOME TREACHEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ031-045-046-064-078-211700- /O.CON.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE... RUSH CENTER...JETMORE...HANSTON...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 255 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO PERIODS OF SNOW TODAY. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KDDC 211516 WSWDDC URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 916 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...SNOWFALL WILL BE WINDING DOWN TODAY... .A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY...WITH BANDS OF SNOW CONTINUING TO ROTATE SOUTHWESTWARD AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW. KSZ030-043-044-061>063-212330- /O.CAN.KDDC.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ TREGO-SCOTT-LANE-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAKEENEY...CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR... SCOTT CITY...DIGHTON...SYRACUSE...LAKIN...DEERFIELD... GARDEN CITY...KALVESTA 916 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 /816 AM MST THU DEC 21 2006/ ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGOUT THE DAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ064-077-078-211630- /O.CAN.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0300Z/ HODGEMAN-GRAY-FORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JETMORE...HANSTON...CIMARRON... MONTEZUMA...DODGE CITY...BUCKLIN 916 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. LIGHT SNOW BANDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ KSZ074>076-211630- /O.CAN.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON CITY...ULYSSES...SUBLETTE... SATANTA 916 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. LIGHT SNOW BANDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ KSZ031-045-046-212330- /O.EXT.KDDC.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061222T0000Z/ ELLIS-NESS-RUSH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAYS...ELLIS...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE... RUSH CENTER 916 AM CST THU DEC 21 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGOUT THE DAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE WEATHER THREAT IS AN INCONVENIENCE TO PEOPLE OUTDOORS OR CAN PRODUCE DIFFICULTY IN TRAVEL. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ UMSCHEID
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 18, 3:18 PM CST, 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 3:18 PM CST, 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 318 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006 .DAYS 1-2... ...SIGNIFICANT ICE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS... MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE FORECAST CENTERS AROUND SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND DEGREE OF WARM LAYER ALOFT WITH RESPECT TO PRECIPITATION TYPE. THERE IS A LARGE DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD 0.75 TO 1.25 INCH TOTAL LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION. UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH VERY RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CURRENTLY RESIDING ACROSS MUCH OF TEXAS PER 295K ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS WITH 14-16C H85 DEWPOINTS PREVALENT. INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE PROBLEMS...LARGELY BECAUSE OF A) TREMENDOUS RESERVOIR OF MOISTURE ACROSS TEXAS...B) PROLONGED SOURCE OF LIFT WITH INTERACTION BETWEEN QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC FORCING AND MESOSCALE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING...ESSENTIALLY TRAINING OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS FOR 12 TO 18 HOURS...C) SURFACE HIGH IN PLACE KEEPING COLD ENOUGH TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT FOR WET-BULB COOLING EFFECTS TO KEEP SURFACE TEMPS IN THE 28-31F RANGE. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE NAM IS THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WARM AIR ALOFT CENTERED AROUND 750MB. THE NAM SUGGESTS THE ADVECTION OF +2 TO +3C AS FAR NORTHWEST AS JOHNSON AND SYRACUSE THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENT. CURRENT THINKING NOW IS THAT AN ALL-SNOW SCENARIO LOOKS MUCH LESS LIKELY OVER EVEN THE NORTHWEST SECTION OF THE CWA. THINK EVEN IN HAMILTON COUNTY THERE WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF SLEET MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN...THEN BECOMING SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW. SNOW ACCUMS OF 1-3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE NEXT CONCERN IS THEN SURFACE TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE CWA...BECAUSE WITH SUCH A PRONOUNCED WARM LAYER ALOFT...THINK THAT ALL SNOW FALLING THROUGH WARM LAYER WILL COMPLETELY MELT...THUS WOULD TAKE A VERY COLD SURFACE LAYER TO RE-FREEZE AS SLEET...SO THE THINKING IS THAT A MAJORITY OF THE EVENT WILL BE FREEZING RAIN WEST OF A LINE FROM DODGE- NESS-WAKEENEY ALL THE WAY WEST TO LAKIN-ULYSSES-HUGOTON. MODEL QPF FIELDS ARE IMPRESSIVE WITH LARGE MODEL CONSISTENCY IN 1 TO 1.50 INCH QPF. THINK THAT A LARGE PART OF THE FORECAST AREA WEST OF DODGE-NESS-WAKEENEY WILL SEE THREE-QUARTERS OF THE EVENT AS FREEZING RAIN AND CONFIDENCE IS QUITE HIGH IN THIS SCENARIO. THUS WILL GO WITH A WINTER STORM WARNING...PRIMARILY FOR UP TO A HALF INCH OR MORE OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES/POWERLINES. WEST OF THE DOMINANT FREEZING RAIN AXIS...A NARROW CORRIDOR OF MAINLY SLEET FOR THE EVENT SHOULD EXIST...REALLY TOUGH TO PIN THIS DOWN OF COURSE AT 30-42 HOURS...HOWEVER UP TO AN INCH (OR MORE) OF SLEET MAY ACCUMULATE ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES. COLD AIR CENTERED AROUND THE 750MB LAYER WILL EVENTUALLY FILTER EASTWARD BUT NOT UNTIL A BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS OVER WITH...HOWEVER THINK THAT SNOW MAY BE QUITE HEAVY FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME WEDNESDAY MORNING AS IT MOVES SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA. WEDNESDAY...AS UPPER LOW WINDS UP TO OUR NORTHWEST...DRY INTRUSION WILL WORK IN FAST AND THE EVENT WILL BE OVER WITH FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS. WE SHOULD EVEN BREAK OUT INTO DECENT SUNSHINE IN THE SYNOPTIC DRY SLOT. -UMSCHEID .DAYS 3-7... A SOMEWHAT ACTIVE PERIOD WILL PERSIST IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN OVER THE CONUS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND BUT SOME UNCERTAINTIES STILL EXIST. THE 12Z RUNS OF THE GFS AND THE EURO MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THAT ANOTHER PIECE OF ENERGY MOVING IN FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL DIVE INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND TRACK EAST ALONG THE MEXICAN BORDER BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS TEXAS LATE IN THE WEEKEND. THIS TREND HAS BEEN SHOWING UP FOR A FEW DAYS NOW IN THE VARIOUS MODELS AND THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT IT AS WELL. THE 12Z OPERATIONAL GFS HAS THE UPPER LOW EJECTING OUT FASTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS WHICH IT SEEMS TO HAVE A PROBLEM WITH AT TIMES. AM THINKING THAT THE TRAJECTORY OF THE UPPER LOW WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THAT THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH CHANCE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM MAKING AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT MORE PROBLEMATIC, DEPENDING ON HOW THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN EVOLVES AROUND THE CLOSED SYSTEM. THE ECMWF TENDS TO CUT THE WESTERLY FLOW OFF WITH AND TRACK IT EAST ACROSS THE U.S. CANADIAN BORDER WHILE THE OTHER MODELS TEND TO KEEP MORE TROUGHING IN PLACE WITH COLDER AIR EXTENDING FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE CONUS. FOR NOW AM LEANING TOWARD THE LATTER IDEA WHICH WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES NEAR OR EVEN A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. BEYOND THIS TIME, IN THE 8 TO 10 DAY PERIOD, WE SHOULD BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS FOR A FEW DAYS WHICH COULD RESULT IN A FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER. BEYOND THIS TIME THE GFS AND CANADIAN ARE SUGGESTING THAT ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL CLOSE OFF IN THE SOUTHWEST WHICH COULD PUT THE CENTRAL PLAINS IN LINE FOR ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM AROUND NEW YEARS. AS FAR OUT IN TIME AS THIS IS, WILL NOT JUMP ON ANYTHING JUST YET. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 25 32 32 38 / 0 80 100 60 GCK 23 29 29 37 / 0 90 100 50 EHA 23 27 27 35 / 20 90 100 20 LBL 25 29 29 37 / 20 90 100 40 HYS 23 33 32 42 / 0 80 100 80 P28 32 36 36 45 / 0 80 100 80 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ043-044-061>063-074>077-084>087. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ030-031-045-046-064-078. && FN25/02
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 3:31 AM CST, 12 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 331 AM CST MON DEC 18 2006 KSZ061-062-074-075-084-085-190945- HAMILTON-KEARNY-STANTON-GRANT-MORTON-STEVENS- 331 AM CST MON DEC 18 2006 /231 AM MST MON DEC 18 2006/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START IN THE ELKHART AREA BY AROUND DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST INTO THE REST OF THE AREA BY NOON. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION SHOULD THEN CHANGE TO A MIX OF WET SNOW AND RAIN THEN TO ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING SOMETIME WEDNESDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH AROUND 5 INCHES NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. KSZ043-044-063-076-077-086-087-190945- SCOTT-LANE-FINNEY-HASKELL-GRAY-SEWARD-MEADE- 331 AM CST MON DEC 18 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MORNING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, AND SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START MOVING INTO THE AREA DURING THE MORNING ON TUESDAY. THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS COULD MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND AROUND 1 OR 2 INCHES MAINLY IN GRASSY AREAS .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. KSZ030-031-045-046-064>066-078>081-088>090-190945- TREGO-ELLIS-NESS-RUSH-HODGEMAN-PAWNEE-STAFFORD-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 331 AM CST MON DEC 18 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A BREIF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE CHANGING TO MAINLY A COLD RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE ROADS SHOULD BE MAINLY WET WITH NO ICE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. 06
The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2:48 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | Finney, Grant, Gray, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny and 7 more | 13 hr |
| Dec 18, 4:01 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | DDC | Ellis, Ford, Hodgeman, Ness, Rush, Trego | 41 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.