Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2006

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 12, 2006Ellis County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jul 12, 2006, 3:06 PM CDT for Ellis County, Kansas. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 12, 2006, 3:06 PM CDT (20:06 UTC)
Expired: Jul 12, 2006, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

County Ellis County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 24 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -247 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1872 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 12, 3:01 PM CDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 3:01 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
301 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

FORECAST CHALLENGES ARE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING AND IF ANY SEVERE.

WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYING ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR A THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH A WEAK WAVE COMING OVER THE ROCKIES.
SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE, CAPES OVER 2000 J/KG WITH
UP TO PENNY HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. ALTHOUGH THE LAYER
WIND FIELDS ARE WEAK THE BEST POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WOULD BE WITH
COLLAPSING PULSE SEVERE STORMS. HAVE ADDED SEVERE WORDING FOR DODGE
CITY AND EAST. THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH GOOD HEATING AND SURFACE CONVERGENCE IN THE FAR WEST. THINK THEY
COULD START BY 3 OR 4 PM IN THE FAR NORTHWEST THEN SPREAD EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY WITH GOOD MOISTURE IN PLACE.

TONIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 LOOK GOOD WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S. THEN ON FRIDAY THINK SLIGHTLY COOLER IN THE
NORTHEAST BEHIND THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH SOME EASTERLY WINDS.
STILL IN THE MID 90S NORTH TO NEAR 100 WEST LOOK GOOD.

DAYS 3-7...

NOT MUCH MORE TO SAY FOR THE EXTENDED BESIDES HOT.  ALL MODELS AGREE
ON DEVELOPING TYPICAL MID-SUMMER RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN TWO-THIRDS OF
CONUS WITH PLENTY OF HOT TEMPERATURES TO GO WITH IT.  SHOULD SEE
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 105 FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD.  NO REAL CHANCE FOR MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION DURING
THE PERIOD EITHER.  THE BEST HOPE IS ONCE A DECENT LEE TROUGH
DEVELOPS OUT WEST THAT AN ISOLATED STORM MAY DEVELOP IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON BUT WITH 40-50 DEGREE T-TD SPREADS...MOST STORMS WILL NOT
LIKELY PRODUCE MUCH RAIN AND NOT EVEN WORTH A MENTION IN THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.  8-10 DAY OUTLOOK WILL REMAIN THE SAME WITH
RIDGE REMAINING OVER AREA KEEPING TEMPERATURES HOT WITH LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION UNLESS SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE CAN MAKE IT
UP THIS WAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  70  98  70  97 /  40  10  40   0
GCK  68  98  69  97 /  30  30  40   0
EHA  68  98  68  99 /  20  30  40   0
LBL  68  98  68  98 /  20  20  40   0
HYS  70  97  71  96 /  50  20  40  10
P28  72  98  73  98 /  50  30  20  20

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN06/28

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 5:45 AM CDT, 9 hours 21 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
545 AM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-131000-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HAMILTON-
HASKELL-HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-LANE-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-
RUSH-SCOTT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STANTON-STEVENS-TREGO-
545 AM CDT (445 AM MDT) WED JUL 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SOME HAIL OF AN
INCH OR LESS IN SIZE AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING HAIL OF AN INCH OR LESS IN SIZE
AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SPOTTERS
MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

JOHNSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 12, 1:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
105 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             3 ENE GARDEN CITY       37.99N 100.81W
07/11/2006  E0.75 INCH       FINNEY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

0635 PM     HAIL             2 E GARDEN CITY         37.98N 100.83W
07/11/2006  E1.75 INCH       FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

0735 PM     HAIL             11 WSW INGALLS          37.77N 100.64W
07/11/2006  E1.00 INCH       GRAY               KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 3:06 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
306 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

KSZ031-122045-
ELLIS-
306 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ELLIS COUNTY...

AT 302 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF EMMERAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

RESIDENTS IN NORTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3893 9942 3894 9904 3913 9904 3913 9946

LACY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 11, 7:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Gray, Haskell	44 min
Jul 11, 7:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	62 min
Jul 11, 8:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	55 min
Jul 11, 8:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney	57 min
Jul 12, 2:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee	48 min
Jul 12, 3:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	44 min
Jul 12, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	37 min
Jul 12, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee	55 min
Jul 12, 5:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Rush	36 min
Jul 12, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee	27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2006 Every special weather statement in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.