Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 13, 2006Trego County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 13, 2006, 6:52 PM CDT for Trego County, Kansas. It was in force for 53 min. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 13, 2006, 6:52 PM CDT (23:52 UTC)
Expired: Jul 13, 2006, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Trego County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 13, 7:05 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	16 Ene Wakeeney, KS
Jul 13, 7:30 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	13 E Trego Center, KS
Jul 13, 7:30 PM CDT	HAIL 1	4 W Wakeeney, KS	WINDS ESTIMATED AT 55 MPH
Jul 13, 7:34 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 70	1 Se Wakeeney, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 38 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 13, 4:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 909 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -279 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2242 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 132352
SVRDDC
KSC195-140045-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0198.060713T2352Z-060714T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
652 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 642 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 15
  MILES NORTH OF WAKEENEY...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH OF HILL CITY...AND
  MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF NORTHEASTERN TREGO COUNTY...
  WAKEENEY...
  OGALLAH...
  RIGA...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3912 9960 3911 9998 3884 9996 3885 9960

$$

BURKE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 13, 2:44 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 2:44 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
244 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

FORECAST CHALLENGES TONIGHT WILL BE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AND
SEVERITY, THEN LOWS ON FRIDAY NIGHT.

STRONG NORTHERN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS WITH THE BEST FORCING AND MID LEVEL COLD POOL TO THE NORTH
IN NEBRASKA AND THE DAKOTAS. THIS WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD
INTO WESTERN KANSAS TONIGHT. THE NORTH CWA TOWARD HAYS WILL HAVE
THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY WITH CAPES AROUND 3500 J/KG. LOWER DEWPOINTS
ARE SOUTH SO SHOULD HAVE THE BEST CHANCE IN THE NORTH FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. WILL GRADIENT POPS 60 NORTH TO 20 AND 30 IN THE
SOUTH AND MENTION SEVERE WORDING IN THE ZONES. AFTER STORMS CLEAR
FROM WEST TO EAST BY 12Z SOME STRATUS MAY FORM JUST NORTH OF THE COLD
FRONT EARLY. THEN SKIES SHOULD CLEAR BY AFTERNOON. COOLER EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL EXIST UNDER WARM AIR ALOFT EFFECTIVELY CAPPING US
FOR ANY THREAT OF THUNDER INTO SATURDAY. FOR FRIDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WE COULD RADIATE NICELY, BUT MAIN QUESTION IS
HOW LOW THE DEWPOINTS ARE. THE WRF SHOWS AROUND 60 WHILE THE NGM
IN THE 40S. HAVE LOWERED MIN TEMPS A FEW DEGREES IN ANTICIPATION OF
SLIGHT LOWER DEWPOINTS THAN THE WRF.

DAYS 3-7...

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON KEEPING A LARGE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
CONDITIONS LOOK FAIRLY GOOD FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY WEATHER,
ALTHOUGH THE HOTTEST TEMPS SHOULD STAY TO OUR NORTH.  THE SFC LEE
TROUGH WILL BE HANGING AROUND THE AREA, AND IT IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT
OF THE QUESTION THAT SOMETHING ISOLATED COULD FIRE.  HOWEVER, THINK
THE CHANCE IS SLIM ENOUGH AND UPPER WINDS WILL KEEP ANYTHING FROM
TRAVELING TOO FAR.  WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.  TOWARDS THE
END OF THE PERIOD THE GFS SHIFTS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER RIDGE
EASTWARD AND BRINGS GOOD FLOW BACK INTO THE NORTHERN CONUS.  THE
ECMWF AND NCEP AND CDC ENSEMBLE MEANS ON THE OTHER HAND, KEEP THE
RIDGE WELL BUILT UP INTO THE PLAINS.  GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WILL
KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS FOR NOW AND LEAVE THE END OF THE FORECAST AND
THE 8-10 OUTLOOK HOT AND DRY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  72  98  68  99 /  20   0   0   0
GCK  70  98  67 100 /  20   0   0   0
EHA  68  98  67 100 /  20   0   0   0
LBL  70  98  68 100 /  20   0   0   0
HYS  70  97  67 100 /  50   0   0   0
P28  75 100  69 101 /  40   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN06/26

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 3:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
304 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-141000-
BARBER-CLARK-COMANCHE-EDWARDS-ELLIS-FINNEY-FORD-GRANT-GRAY-HAMILTON-
HASKELL-HODGEMAN-KEARNY-KIOWA-LANE-MEADE-MORTON-NESS-PAWNEE-PRATT-
RUSH-SCOTT-SEWARD-STAFFORD-STANTON-STEVENS-TREGO-
304 PM CDT (204 PM MDT) THU JUL 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE AND WINDS
TO 60 TO 80 MPH WILL BE FROM SAINT JOHN TO NESS CITY AND NORTH. THE
REST OF THE AREA MAY SEE PENNY HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH AND LESS
COVERAGE OF STORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

A FEW SPOTTERS MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY FROM SAINT JOHN TO NESS CITY AND NORTH TO WAKEENEY
AND HAYS.

06

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 13, 3:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
355 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

KSZ064-132145-
HODGEMAN-
355 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HODGEMAN COUNTY...

AT 354 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
A THUNDERSTORM WAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING 11 MILES EAST OF
KALVESTA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

RESIDENTS IN SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3813 10022 3792 10022 3791 9964 3811 9970

LACY

Local storm report, Jul 13, 4:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
425 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             12 WSW JETMORE          38.02N 100.10W
07/13/2006  E0.88 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

Local storm report, Jul 13, 4:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
444 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     HAIL             13 SE DIGHTON           38.35N 100.30W
07/13/2006  E0.75 INCH       LANE               KS   PUBLIC

&&

MB

Local storm report, Jul 13, 4:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
457 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     HAIL             12 SW JETMORE           37.96N 100.05W
07/13/2006  E0.88 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

01

Local storm report, Jul 13, 5:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
533 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             13 SW JETMORE           37.95N 100.06W
07/13/2006  E0.75 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 13, 3:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	50 min
Jul 13, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane	22 min
Jul 13, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	42 min
Jul 13, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	25 min
Jul 13, 5:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney	40 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.