Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Cheyenne, WY

000 
WWUS55 KCYS 042143
SVSCYS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
341 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

WYC021-042215-
/O.CON.KCYS.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-060704T2215Z/
LARAMIE WY-
341 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LARAMIE COUNTY...

AT 340 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BURNS...OR ABOUT 27 MILES EAST OF 
CHEYENNE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.  THE STORM SHOULD BE PASSING 
ACROSS INTERSTATE 80 SHORTLY BEFORE 4 PM.  VERY HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY 
FROM THIS STORM AS WELL.   

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BURNS BY 350 PM MDT...

LAT...LON 4137 10426 4125 10445 4103 10440 4103 10423
      4103 10407 4131 10406

$$

REMANUEL

000 
WWUS55 KCYS 042203
SVSCYS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
401 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

WYC021-042211-
/O.CAN.KCYS.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-060704T2215Z/
LARAMIE WY-
401 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LARAMIE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND WAS NO LONGER 
CONSIDERED TO BE SEVERE. 

LAT...LON 4137 10426 4125 10445 4103 10440 4103 10423
      4103 10407 4131 10406

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
110 PM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH THURSDAY...HEAVY RAIN PATTERN CONTINUES FOR
ONE MORE DAY. STORMS FIRING UP A LITTLE EARLIER THAN
YESTERDAY...BUT SHOWING SIMILAR CHARACTERISTICS OF LITTLE
MOVEMENT. GFS IS WOEFULLY DRY...APPARENTLY HAVING TROUBLE HANDLING
INPUT OF MONSOON MOISTURE. THUS RELIED HEAVILY ON THE 12Z NAM FOR
THE SHORT TERM PORTION. TODAY IS SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT THAN YESTERDAY
IN THAT THERE IS MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BUT LESS INSTABILITY. SO
CURRENTLY THINKING THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY IMPACT
AS OPPOSED TO HAIL OR STRONG WINDS. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAILERS THOUGH. STORMS MAY BE MOVING A HAIR
FASTER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL SLOW ENOUGH TO DUMP SOME SERIOUS
RAIN. NAM HAS BEEN CONSISTENT FOR A FEW RUNS IN CONTINUING STEADY
PRECIP OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT...SO HAVE ADJUSTED
POPS UPWARD AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL PROBABLY CONTEND WITH A PATCH OF
MORNING FOG HERE AND THERE...BUT LEFT OF OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR
NOW.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.  A WET PATTERN
REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE AREA AS A LONG WAVE RIDGE HOLDS OVER THE
MOUNTAIN WEST. LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE FROM SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHEAST WARD OVER THE AREA. SUMMER
HEAT AND AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DAILY OVER THE REGION. OVERALL THE INSTABILITY IS
NOT EXTREME WITH CAPES GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 AND LIFTED INDICES
AROUND MINUS 3. THE MOISTURE PATTERN IS ALMOST TROPICAL AND HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLASH
FLOODING. HAIL GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS IS POSSIBLE WITH STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOONS.

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR WYZ066-WYZ067-
     WYZ068-WYZ069-WYZ070.
NE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY FOR NEZ019-NEZ020-
     NEZ021-NEZ054-NEZ055.

&&

SHORT TERM...POMEROY
LONG TERM....COPLEY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

NEZ001>003-WYZ059-060-051630-
SIOUX-DAWES-BOX BUTTE-CONVERSE-NIOBRARA-
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING
HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH.
THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AS THEY MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHEAST. THIS COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING IN AREAS WHERE THE
GROUND HAS BEEN SOAKED FROM OTHER THUNDERSTORMS THE PAST TWO DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

WYZ061>065-051630-
SOUTHWEST CARBON-NORTH CARBON-SNOWY RANGE-NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-
LARAMIE VALLEY-
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS NEAR 50 MPH AND SOME
SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THE STORMS THAT DO FORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
ESSENTIALLY EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

NEZ019>021-054-055-WYZ066>070-051630-
SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-CHEYENNE-LARAMIE RANGE-PLATTE-
GOSHEN-CHEYENNE FOOTHILLS-PINE BLUFFS-
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 4 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THESE WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THROUGH MIDNIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLASH FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT FOR THE MOST RECENT INFORMATION. IN
ADDITION TO THE FLOODING POTENTIAL...SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER 50 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.