Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Cheyenne, WY

000 
WWUS85 KCYS 300108
RFWCYS

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
708 PM MDT SAT JUL 29 2006

NEZ200-301200-
/O.CAN.KCYS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-060730T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KCYS.FW.W.0010.060730T1700Z-060731T0300Z/
NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST AND THE OGALLALA NATIONAL GRASSLANDS-
708 PM MDT SAT JUL 29 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING...BUT HAS ISSUED A NEW RED FLAG
WARNING FOR SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT.

FOR SUNDAY...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. ANY OUTDOOR BURNING IS DISCOURAGED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.


$$

NEZ202-WYZ290-291-300215-
/O.CAN.KCYS.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-060730T0300Z/
SCOTTSBLUFF NATIONAL MONUMENT AND THE WILDCAT HILLS OF WESTERN
NEBRASKA-
SOUTHEAST WYOMING PLAINS INCLUDING PINE BLUFFS/CHEYENNE
FOOTHILLS/
PLATTE COUNTY/GOSHEN COUNTY-EAST-
CENTRAL WYOMING. CONVERSE AND NIOBRARA COUNTIES-
708 PM MDT SAT JUL 29 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 15% AND WINDS ARE
DIMINISHING. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
206 PM MDT FRI JUL 28 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MAIN STORY WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH MORE RECORD HIGHS LIKELY TO BE
SET.  UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THE
WEEKEND CAPPING ATMOSPHERE AND MAINTAINING HOT CONDITIONS.  SOME
SUBTLE CHANGES MAY BEGIN SUNDAY AS RIDGING WEAKENS A BIT WITH MODELS
HINTING AT SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE INCREASE OVER THE WRN CWA THUS
WILL KEEP LOW POPS IN THAT AREA.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE OVER THE AREA MON AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
COAST. UPPER FLOW WILL VEER TO MORE WESTERLY TUE AS THE TROUGH LOSES
AMPLITUDE AND EJECTS SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER THE FORECAST AREA. FLOW
ALOFT WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT ANTICYCLONICALLY CURVED WED ALTHOUGH WEAK
VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA. RATHER FLAT
UPPER FLOW IS PROGGED FOR THU BEFORE HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE FRI AS A
FLAT RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. RELIEF FROM THE
SURFACE HEAT WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST MON AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT
USHERS IN A COOLER AIRMASS AS WELL AS A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPS TUE WILL BE AT OR BELOW AVERAGE
WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AS A SLUG OF MOISTURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA
AND INTERACTS WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW. MUCH THE SAME SCENARIO FOR WED EXCEPT MOISTURE WILL BE
SOMEWHAT MORE LIMITED. TEMPS WILL BEGIN CREEPING BACK UPWARD THU AND
FRI WITH ANY LATE DAY STORMS CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE CO
BORDER.

&&

.CLIMATE...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND ARE LISTED BELOW:

                 SAT JULY 29TH   SUN JULY 30TH

CHEYENNE WY       95 IN 2001       95 IN 2001
LARAMIE WY        91 IN 1995       91 IN 1966
RAWLINS WY        92 IN 2005       92 IN 2001
ALLIANCE NE      102 IN 1980      103 IN 2001
SCOTTSBLUFF NE   106 IN 1980      104 IN 1934
CHADRON NE       106 IN 1980      103 IN 2001
SIDNEY NE        100 IN 1980      105 IN 1995

&&

.CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...RE
LONG TERM....JMR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1022 AM MDT FRI JUL 28 2006

NEZ001>003-019>021-054-055-WYZ059>070-291145-
SIOUX-DAWES-BOX BUTTE-SCOTTS BLUFF-BANNER-MORRILL-KIMBALL-
CHEYENNE-CONVERSE-NIOBRARA-SOUTHWEST CARBON-NORTH CARBON-
SNOWY RANGE-NORTH LARAMIE RANGE-LARAMIE VALLEY-LARAMIE RANGE-
PLATTE-GOSHEN-CHEYENNE FOOTHILLS-PINE BLUFFS-
1022 AM MDT FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES AT ELEVATIONS BELOW ABOUT
5500 FEET.  THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGERS AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

EXCESSIVE HEAT WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND ALONG
WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGERS.

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO MOST AREAS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY BUT SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS
THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.