Flash Flood Warning 55, NWS State College, PA

000 
WGUS71 KCTP 090153
FFSCTP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
948 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAC041-090330-
CUMBERLAND PA-
948 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT FOR
CUMBERLAND COUNTY...

AT 945 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED 
TO INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER CENTRAL 
CUMBERLAND COUNTY. THE WORSE STORMS WERE JUST EAST OF MOUNT HOLLY 
SPRINGS. RADAR INDICATES THAT UPWARDS OF 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS 
OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND COUNTY. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN STATE
COLLEGE PA.

LAT...LON 4001 7733 4009 7709 4019 7709 4019 7733

$$

FORECASTER: MARTIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
223 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

A FEW SHOWERS WITH A FEW STROKES OF LTG HAVE MANAGED TO GROW OVER
ADAMS/YORK COUNTIES AND SPREAD INTO SURROUNDING AREAS. TCU/MDT CU
FORMING ELSEWHERE ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN AND WHERE MSTR IS
GREATEST.

WHILE MIXING AND FAIRLY DECENT MID-LVL CAP WILL KEEP RDR RETURNS SCT
AT BEST...WE WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHC FOR PRECIP IN NE AND SC COUNTIES
AND A 30 POP FOR THE SE THIS EVENING. REST OF TONIGHT WILL HOLD
CLEARING SKIES AND THE VALLEY FOG WILL RETURN. MINS WILL RUN VERY
CLOSE TO NORMS...WITH UPPER 40S IN NRN MTS AND NEAR 60 AT MDT.

TEMPS WILL RISE NICELY TO 75-85F ON SAT...WITH MAXES SOME 5-6 DEGS
ABOVE NORMAL ADDING ANOTHER DEG OR TWO TO TODAY/S NUMS. A COLD FRONT
WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH LATE IN THE DAY AND IN THE EVENING ON
SATURDAY...BUT LIMITED DYNAMICS AND MEAGER MOISTURE WILL KEEP THREAT
OF PRECIP LOW. TROUBLE MAY COME AS SHEAR IS RATHER IMPRESSIVE ACROSS
NY STATE DURING THE AFTN...AND SOME STRONGER/NEAR-SEVERE STORMS
COULD FIRE UP IN THE LATE DAY JUST TO OUR NORTH AND HEAD THIS WAY.
WILL HOLD POPS TO 40-50 PCT UP THERE...AND TAPER TO LESS THAN
MENTIONABLE IN THE LOWER SUSQ. WILL KEEP ONLY SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR
THE NIGHTTIME SAT NIGHT...AS SUNSET WILL FURTHER DECREASE CHCS FOR
CONVECTION. MINS SAT NIGHT WILL BE CLOSE TO MAV/FWC BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER AN UPPER
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
ALLOWING FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA LATE MONDAY.
GENERAL CHANCES WERE ADDED TO THE GRIDS THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE
LOW TAKES ITS TIME MOVING EAST AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
MOVES TO THE DELMARVA BY THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...

MDT/TCU OUT THERE NOW POPPING OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY EVENING...WITH A FEW OF THE BEEFIER CLOUDS MAKING A BRIEF
SHOWER...BUT WILL DIE SOON AFTER 00Z. WITH COVERAGE SO SPARSE...WILL
BARELY MENTION IN TEMPO GROPS FOR CLOSEST SITES. REST OF NIGHT
SHOULD BE CLEARING AND VALLEY FOG WILL FORM AGAIN TONIGHT. WILL
BRING THE USUAL SUSPECTS DOWN TO MVFR AND LATER IFR. ANY CHC OF
SHOWERS SAT SHOULD BE AFT END OF FCST PD /18Z/.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...TYBURSKI
AVIATION...DANGELO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1110 AM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-091515-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
1110 AM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
630 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAZ036-063-082330-
CUMBERLAND-FRANKLIN-
630 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CUMBERLAND AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES...

AT 626 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHIPPENSBURG...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR ROXBURY AROUND
645 PM...NEWBURG AROUND 715 PM AND JUST NORTH OF SHIPPENSBURG AROUND
730 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INTERSTATES...THE
PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 190 AND 212...I-81 BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 22 AND 40.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 11.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS. USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING EARLY THIS EVENING.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING FROM THIS STORM.

FORECASTER: MARTIN