Flash Flood Warning 54, NWS State College, PA

000 
WGUS71 KCTP 081959
FFSCTP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
359 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAC099-082245-
PERRY PA-
359 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR PERRY
COUNTY...

AT 358 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE 
FLASH FLOODING OVER CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY.

AT 342 PM...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER IN LANDISBURG REPORTED OVER AN 
INCH OF RAIN IN ONE HALF HOUR...WITH SMALL STREAMS RISING RAPIDLY 
AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LEAD 
TO FLASH FLOODING IN PARTS OF THE WARNING AREA SHORTLY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LANDISBURG 
AND LOYSVILLE.

LAT...LON 4032 7746 4028 7742 4032 7722 4042 7728
      4038 7739

$$

FORECASTER: DEVOIR/TYBURSKI

000 
WGUS71 KCTP 082033
FFSCTP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
428 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAC099-082038-
PERRY PA-
428 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR PERRY COUNTY...

EARLIER HEAVY RAINFALL HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE AREA...AND LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAVE REPORTED NO SIGNIFICANT 
FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS 
BEEN CANCELLED.

AREA STREAMS WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS RUNOFF 
CONTINUES FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL. AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD 
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM...INCLUDING BUT NOT 
LIMITED TO THE LANDISBURG... LOYSVILLE AND NEW BLOOMFIELD AREAS. 

LAT...LON 4032 7746 4028 7742 4032 7722 4042 7728
      4038 7739

$$

FORECASTER: DEVOIR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
223 PM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...

A FEW SHOWERS WITH A FEW STROKES OF LTG HAVE MANAGED TO GROW OVER
ADAMS/YORK COUNTIES AND SPREAD INTO SURROUNDING AREAS. TCU/MDT CU
FORMING ELSEWHERE ALONG THE HIGHEST TERRAIN AND WHERE MSTR IS
GREATEST.

WHILE MIXING AND FAIRLY DECENT MID-LVL CAP WILL KEEP RDR RETURNS SCT
AT BEST...WE WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHC FOR PRECIP IN NE AND SC COUNTIES
AND A 30 POP FOR THE SE THIS EVENING. REST OF TONIGHT WILL HOLD
CLEARING SKIES AND THE VALLEY FOG WILL RETURN. MINS WILL RUN VERY
CLOSE TO NORMS...WITH UPPER 40S IN NRN MTS AND NEAR 60 AT MDT.

TEMPS WILL RISE NICELY TO 75-85F ON SAT...WITH MAXES SOME 5-6 DEGS
ABOVE NORMAL ADDING ANOTHER DEG OR TWO TO TODAY/S NUMS. A COLD FRONT
WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH LATE IN THE DAY AND IN THE EVENING ON
SATURDAY...BUT LIMITED DYNAMICS AND MEAGER MOISTURE WILL KEEP THREAT
OF PRECIP LOW. TROUBLE MAY COME AS SHEAR IS RATHER IMPRESSIVE ACROSS
NY STATE DURING THE AFTN...AND SOME STRONGER/NEAR-SEVERE STORMS
COULD FIRE UP IN THE LATE DAY JUST TO OUR NORTH AND HEAD THIS WAY.
WILL HOLD POPS TO 40-50 PCT UP THERE...AND TAPER TO LESS THAN
MENTIONABLE IN THE LOWER SUSQ. WILL KEEP ONLY SLIGHT CHC POPS FOR
THE NIGHTTIME SAT NIGHT...AS SUNSET WILL FURTHER DECREASE CHCS FOR
CONVECTION. MINS SAT NIGHT WILL BE CLOSE TO MAV/FWC BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER AN UPPER
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
ALLOWING FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREA LATE MONDAY.
GENERAL CHANCES WERE ADDED TO THE GRIDS THROUGH MID WEEK AS THE
LOW TAKES ITS TIME MOVING EAST AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
MOVES TO THE DELMARVA BY THURSDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION...

MDT/TCU OUT THERE NOW POPPING OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY EVENING...WITH A FEW OF THE BEEFIER CLOUDS MAKING A BRIEF
SHOWER...BUT WILL DIE SOON AFTER 00Z. WITH COVERAGE SO SPARSE...WILL
BARELY MENTION IN TEMPO GROPS FOR CLOSEST SITES. REST OF NIGHT
SHOULD BE CLEARING AND VALLEY FOG WILL FORM AGAIN TONIGHT. WILL
BRING THE USUAL SUSPECTS DOWN TO MVFR AND LATER IFR. ANY CHC OF
SHOWERS SAT SHOULD BE AFT END OF FCST PD /18Z/.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...TYBURSKI
AVIATION...DANGELO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1110 AM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-091515-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
1110 AM EDT FRI SEP 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.