Flash Flood Warning 63, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 262232
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
532 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXC355-262330-
NUECES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF ROBSTOWN
532 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL NUECES COUNTY...

AT 530 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER 
THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT SOME AREAS IN WESTERN 
AND NORTH CENTRAL NUECES COUNTY HAVE RECEIVED 2 TO 4 INCHES OF 
RAINFALL.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

BE CAUTIOUS NEAR LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS 
IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND 
ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING 
WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

LAT...LON 2784 9750 2774 9752 2782 9791 2793 9777
      2792 9767 2789 9765 2786 9760

$$

CORDERO

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 262247
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
547 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXC355-262330-
NUECES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF ROBSTOWN
547 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR NORTH
CENTRAL NUECES COUNTY...

AT 545 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED 
AREA. NUECES COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED A COUPLE OF AREA ROADS COVERED 
WITH STANDING WATER. THIS INCLUDES STANDING WATER ON FARM ROAD 624 
BETWEEN COUNTY ROAD 83 AND FARM ROAD 666 AND ALSO AT THE 
INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 77 AND INTERSTATE 37. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT 
ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES 
AWAY.

LAT...LON 2784 9750 2774 9752 2782 9791 2793 9777
      2792 9767 2789 9765 2786 9760

$$

CORDERO

000 
WGUS74 KCRP 262313
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
613 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXC355-262320-
NUECES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF ROBSTOWN
613 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTH CENTRAL
NUECES COUNTY...

THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAVE 
WEAKENED MARKEDLY AND HAVE MOVE SOUTHWARD OUT OF NUECES COUNTY. 
THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SOME LOW LYING SPOTS ON AREA ROADWAYS AND COUNTRY ROADS MAY STILL 
HAVE PONDING WATER...SO STILL USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING. 

LAT...LON 2784 9750 2774 9752 2782 9791 2793 9777
      2792 9767 2789 9765 2786 9760

$$

SCC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
234 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)...250HPA JET STREAK/VORTICITY
MAXIMUM EVIDENT OVER EASTERN MEXICO PER 19Z SATELLITE IMAGERY. SWATH
OF 700-300HPA DIFFERENTIAL VORTICITY ADVECTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE LATTER FEATURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY WILL ALSO BE PRESENT THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONALLY...PERSISTENT MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AXIS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN COAST WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH OVER THE NORTHERN COASTAL
BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS REGION AND SERVE AS A FOCUSING
MECHANISM(ESPECIALLY FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN). MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
WILL BE QUITE SUFFICIENT. WILL GRADE POPS FROM SLIGHT CHANCE WEST TO
HIGH-END CHANCE EAST. ANOTHER MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ADVANCES NORTH
ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY. MOISTURE/INSTABILITY STILL ADEQUATE
BUT FORCING NOT QUITE AS STRONG. WILL GRADE POPS FROM SLIGHT CHANCE
WEST TO MID-GRADE CHANCE EAST. STIRRING WINDS WILL KEEP MINS ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS TONIGHT WITH MAXES SIMILAR TO TODAY/S
VALUES(FAR EAST RECOVERING AS CLOUDINESS WILL BE LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON).

&&

.MARINE...WILL CONTINUE WITH SCEC FOR THE BAYS AND SCA FOR THE
NEARSHORE/OFFSHORE WATERS AS STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET MIXES TO THE
SURFACE GIVEN UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED WITH UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES.

&&

.AVIATION...GENERAL MVFR CIGS CONDITIONS EXPECTED EAST OF INTERSTATE
37 AND HIGHWAY 77 FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL PLAINS THURSDAY MORNING
AS WELL. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THE COASTAL PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED MVFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 37 AND HIGHWAY 77.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO QUIET DOWN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO
SOUTH TEXAS AND A WEAK UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO DEVELOP. MOISTURE
VALUES STILL AOA 2 INCHES OVER THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS WITH MID LEVEL
THETA-E ADVECTION OCCURRING THURSDAY NIGHT...SO WILL MENTION A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR PRECIP THERE. AFTER THAT...SHOULD SEE SOME SLIGHT
CHANCE/ISOLATED CONVECTION TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ALONG THE
SEA BREEZE STARTING OFFSHORE AND ALONG THE COAST EARLY IN THE
MORNING AND MOVING INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONVECTION MAY
EVEN BE TOO ISOLATED TO MENTION BY SATURDAY...BUT STILL WILL
MAINTAIN IT ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHEAST AS PRECIP WATERS STAY JUST
BELOW 2 INCHES AND ALREADY IN FORECAST. WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS MOISTURE IS TOO LIMITED BUT COULD NOT RULE
OUT A MAVERICK SHOWER/STORM INLAND DURING THE DAYTIME. AT THIS
TIME...WILL KEEP A DRY FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY. GFS IS SHOWING 2 INCH
PWATS HEADING TOWARD SOUTHERN CWFA BY LATE WEDNESDAY BUT AT THIS
TIME SINCE IT IS DAY 7 FORECAST WILL MAINTAIN IT DRY. OVERALL MOS
GUIDANCE WAS IN THE BALLPARK AND DID NOT SWAY TOO MUCH FROM THESE
NUMBERS OR FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TEMP EXTREMES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    79  92  77  93  76  /  30  30  20  20  10
VICTORIA          77  90  76  93  75  /  50  40  10  20  10
LAREDO            81 102  80 102  80  /  20  20  20  10  10
ALICE             78  97  75  97  74  /  30  30  10  20  10
ROCKPORT          81  91  79  92  79  /  50  40  20  20  20
COTULLA           78  98  75  99  75  /  20  20  20  10  10
KINGSVILLE        78  95  76  96  75  /  30  30  10  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     OUT 20 NM...WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM...
     AND WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60
     NM.

&&

BB/85...SHORT-TERM
GW/86...LONG-TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1120 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-271030-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
1120 AM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEARSHORE AND
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON TONIGHT.

HEAT INDICES WILL CLIMB TO BETWEEN 105 AND 109 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON FROM THE WESTERN COASTAL BEND TO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY AS A TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. AS A RESULT...JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG THE COAST
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEABREEZE. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA AND
WILL FURTHER DECREASE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION TODAY.

87/98/85

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
351 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXZ231>234-241>247-271000-
LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-
SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...
SKIDMORE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...ALICE...PREMONT...KINGSVILLE...
CORPUS CHRISTI...ROBSTOWN...PORT ARANSAS...PORTLAND...INGLESIDE...
ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...WOODSBORO...
PORT LAVACA...PORT OCONNOR...SEADRIFT
351 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH COPIOUS TROPICAL
MOISTURE AND HIGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION TONIGHT.

BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1/4 AND 1/2 INCH
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS RANGING BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT PONDING OF ROADWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES IS POSSIBLE.

RESIDENTS IN THE COASTAL PLAINS...COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS
SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...AND
TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION REGARDING THIS
WEATHER EVENT.

BB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
425 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

TXZ240-262230-
DUVAL-
425 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING DUVAL COUNTY...

AT 422 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 8 MILES WEST OF BENAVIDES...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN DUVAL COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF BENAVIDES...
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

TM