Severe Thunderstorm Warning 324, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 132116
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
515 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

OHC103-132145-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-060913T2145Z/
MEDINA OH-
515 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006


...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR
MEDINA COUNTY...


AT 512 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR BRUNSWICK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...BRUNSWICK AND HINKLEY.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER FROM THE WEATHER IN A STRONG
BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...VERY HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY
LIGHTNING ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 4114 8207 4119 8207 4119 8198 4120 8197
      4127 8195 4127 8169 4119 8174 4099 8193
      4113 8214

$$
OUDEMAN

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 132137
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
537 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

OHC103-132147-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-060913T2145Z/
MEDINA OH-
537 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MEDINA COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
545 PM EDT...

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE 
STILL POSSIBLE FROM ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE 
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4114 8207 4119 8207 4119 8198 4120 8197
      4127 8195 4127 8169 4119 8174 4099 8193
      4113 8214

$$
OUDEMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
333 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

.SHORT TERM(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
CDFNT EXTREME WESTERN OHIO MOVING SLOWLY EAST AND BY 12Z WILL BE
LOCATED FROM ERI TO HTS. LOW PRESSURE NEAR TORONTO WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEAST. A TROF LOCATED WEST TO EAST FROM THE LOW WILL ROTATE
SOUTH. THE COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EAST EARLY TONIGHT AND THE TROF WILL CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN WEST. THE UPPER LOW THAT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHERN OHIO TONIGHT IS ALSO INVOLVED. VERY COLD AIR ALOFT ARE
MAKING THE LAPES RATES STEEP AS LEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AS THE
TROF SHIFTS EAST THAT WILL KEEP THE PRECIPITATION GOING TONIGHT. AT
THIS TIME WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ALL DAY THAT WAS HELPING THE
STORMS FROM NOT BECOMING SEVERE. SOME OF THEM HAVE BEEN CLOSE. IT IS
STILL POSSIBLE A FEW COULD BE SEVERE THROUGH THIS EVENING...HAIL
WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. THE BIGGER CONCERN IS SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN. WITH THE AIRMASS DRYING OUT ALOFT THAT SHOULD HELP KEEP
THE RAINFALL DOWN BUT CANT RULE OUT A FEW SPOTS APPROACHING THE
FLOOD GUIDANCE. MOST LOCATIONS WILL GET UNDER AN INCH...HOWEVER SOME
COULD BE UP TO 2 INCHES. THE TROF WILL MERGE WITH THE COLD FRONT
THURSDAY AND WITH THE TROF CLOSE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
COULD CONTINUE IN THE EAST ESPECIALLY IN THE AM AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
GFS AND WRF AGREE WITH THAT...THE WRF MAY BE A LITTLE QUICKER. THE
MODELS HANG UNTO THE MOISTURE SO THURSDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY. THE
CLOUDS WILL DECREASE THURSDAY NIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST. WITH SOME
MOISTURE HANGING AROUND WILL JUST MAKE IT PARTLY CLOUDY.
&&

.LONG TERM(FRI-WED)...
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. THE HIGH STARTS MOVING EAST SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE CONFLICT IS THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT. THE DIGEX IS QUICKER
MOVING IT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY WHILE THE THE ECMWF AND
GFS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THEN THE COLD AIR STARTS POURING IN.
THE ECMWF AND GFS WILL BRING IN COLD AIR AT 850 MB ON
WEDNESDAY...THE GFS HAS 0C AT 850 MB BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
MAY BE ABOUT 5C TOO COLD WHICH TYPICALLY HAPPENS...ESPECIALLY SO FAR
OUT. WILL FORECAST SOME LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS AND A THREAT OF SHOWERS
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.THE MODELS ARE TRYING TO FORECAST A
LOT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH THIS IN AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE
EFFECT AREAS...THIS MAY BE OVERDOWN WILL FORECAST PARTLY CLOUDY.
GUIDANCE TEMPERATRURES LOOK GOOD...THEY SEEM TO CORRESPOND TO THE
LOCAL TEMPERATURE SCHEME.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...NONE.
.PA...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KIELTYKA
LONG TERM...KIELTYKA
AVIATION...LEINS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
540 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-140945-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
540 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF TIFFIN AND
FREMONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OHIO AS WELL AS NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS
NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. PONDING OF WATER IN LOW
LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS MAY OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

KOSARIK