Severe Thunderstorm Warning 308, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 031905
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
305 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2006

OHC101-031930-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0308.000000T0000Z-060803T1930Z/
MARION OH-
305 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2006


...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR
MARION COUNTY...


AT 301 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF MARION...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.


A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

LAT...LON 4068 8342 4070 8297 4045 8303 4045 8314
      4049 8324 4051 8326 4051 8333 4055 8342

$$

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 031933
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2006

OHC101-031943-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0308.000000T0000Z-060803T1930Z/
MARION OH-
333 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2006


...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARION COUNTY EXPIRED AT 330 
PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4068 8342 4070 8297 4045 8303 4045 8314
      4049 8324 4051 8326 4051 8333 4055 8342

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
146 PM EDT THU AUG 3 2006

.AVIATION(12Z-12Z)...
EARLY MORNING CONVECTION HAS MOVED EAST LEAVING MAINLY MID LEVEL
CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA.  NEXT ROUND OF CONVECTION WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME AND MOVE EAST.
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE
TAF SITES BUT WILL LEAVE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW.
LINGERING SHOWERS WILL PREVAIL IN THE WAKE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING AND GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO EAST.  WILL DROP FOR A PERIOD
DOWN TO IFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WITH GRADUAL CLEARING IN THE WEST
TOMORROW MORNING.
&&

.SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON)...
UPDATED TO ADD SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

&&

.SHORT TERM (THIS AFTERNOON)...
UPDATED TO REMOVE MORNING PORTION AND LOWER MAX TEMPS IN CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THRU FRIDAY)...
QUESTION TDA IS HOW FAR MORN OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PROGRESS TO THE SSE
WHICH WL DETERMINE FOCUS FOR MIDDAY NEW CONVECTION. CERTAINTLY LOOKS
AS IF A PART OF NWRN CWA WL BE N OF THE BNDRY AND MAY BE SPARED FM
HVY RA AND SVR THREAT ASSUMING ONGOING STRONGER ACTIVITY OVR NRN IN
AND LWR MI CONTS TO WKN AS IT MOVS INTO NWRN PART OF OUR CWA. WL HV
TO WATCH TO ZONE ISSUE TIME TO DECIDE IF FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED
ADJUSTING TO ELIMINATE ANY OF THESE COS...BUT PROB WL LV AS IS FOR
CONSISTENCY PURPOSES. OTRW...WITH PW/S CLOSE TO TWO INCHES AND GND
MSTR HI IN MANY COS THINK FLOOD WATCH IS GUD IDEA FOR MUCH OF AREA.
CDFNT MOVS SE OF CWA THIS EVE SO FAR NW SHUD BE DRY SO POPS THERE
NEED TO BE ADJUSTED DOWN ALG WITH PUTTING SOME TIMING IN FOR RMNG
PRECIP ENDING NW TO SE TNGT.

HI PRES AND DRIER AIR BLD IN FRI FOR DRY WX AND NOTICEABLY LESS
HUMID CONDS.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
PUSHES MOISTURE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA.  THE HIGH DOMINATES THE
WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY BUT A RETURN BACK TO TEMPERATURES IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 80S IS EXPECTED AS RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS
ON SUNDAY.

WEAK COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.
MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT WILL BE LIMITED. HOWEVER...WILL KEEP MENTION
OF CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE FRONT.

ANOTHER DIRTY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE HIGH WILL BRING WITH IT SOME
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND DAY TIME INSTABILITY COULD CAUSE A CHANCE
FOR LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP.

THEN MUCH DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH THE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SOUTH OVER THE REGION.  SO WILL BRING AN
END TO THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM THREAT.

STAYED FAIRLY CLOSE TO MEX GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH 10 AM THU THRU 4 AM FRI.
.PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH 10 AM THU THRU 4 AM FRI.

&&

SHORT TERM...ADAMS
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...LOMBARDY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
526 AM EDT THU AUG 3 2006

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-
PAZ001>003-040930-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON-
THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-
SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-
CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
526 AM EDT THU AUG 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND
EARLY TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT...MANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
CREEKS...SMALL STREAMS AND LOW-LYING AREAS...INCLUDING ROADWAYS. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM 10 AM
THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR EARLY TONIGHT.

ADAMS