Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2006

Winter Weather Advisory 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 16, 2006Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 16, 2006, 9:42 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 16, 2006, 9:42 AM EST (14:42 UTC)
Expired
Feb 16, 2006, 1:00 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1408 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 16, 9:35 AM EST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 9:35 AM EST, 7 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 4:42 AM EST, 5 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
442 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-170945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
442 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FAR WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS
EVENING...BUT DAMAGING WINDS FOR THE FIRST PART OF TONIGHT WOULD
LIKELY BE RESTRICTED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND ALSO ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT IN THE PREDAWN HOURS FRIDAY...AND
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 35 TO
45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH LIKELY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.
THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE
POWER OUTAGES.

THE STRONG WINDS ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE A SURGE OF WATER ON THE
EASTERN END OF LAKE ERIE...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS FOR
A FEW HOURS. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING HAS THUS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY SHORELINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>008-013-014-SLZ022-024-170945-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-
ONTARIO-SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
442 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS
EVENING...BUT DAMAGING WINDS TONIGHT WILL LIKELY BE RESTRICTED TO
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY AND OVER THE TUG HILL
PLATEAU...AND THE NORTH SOUTH SECTION OF THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY
INCLUDING FORT DRUM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR AFTER THE
PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY MORNING...CONTINUING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS
TO 65 MPH LIKELY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE
PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-170945-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-

424 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND THE ADJOINING WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...
AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS...WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING STORM FORCE...ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT ON LAKE ERIE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS...WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING STORM FORCE...ARE
EXPECTED ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...A SEICHE
IS LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING ON THE EAST END OF LAKE ERIE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 16, 3:39 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more36 hr
Feb 16, 3:08 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Oswego24 hr
Feb 16, 5:18 PM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis6 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2006Every winter weather advisory in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.