Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Watches in 2006
Lake Effect Snow Watch 10, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow watch at Dec 1, 2006, 4:15 PM EST for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Dec 2, 2006, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 1, 2006, 4:15 PM EST (21:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 2, 2006, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Dec 2, 2006, 4:45 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cayuga County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -25 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 479 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 237 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 338 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow watch went out at Dec 1, 3:24 PM EST, 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 3:24 PM EST, 51 minutes before
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</html>Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 1, 7:41 AM EST, 8 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 NYZ001-010-019-085-021245- NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED, INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, LAKESHORE FLOODING AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF BUFFALO LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ002-003-011>013-020-021-021245- ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED, INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004>006-008-014-021245- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-ONTARIO- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED, INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-021245- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT GALE WARNING IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-021245- JEFFERSON- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED, INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, LAKESHORE FLOODING AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-021245- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE... LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF TMA
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 1, 12:07 PM EST, 4 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1207 PM EST FRI DEC 01 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1128 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 W JAMESTOWN 42.10N 79.33W
12/01/2006 CHAUTAUQUA NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
POWER LINES DOWN
&&
TINGLEYLocal storm report, Dec 1, 1:32 PM EST, 2 hours 43 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 4:34 AM EST | High Wind Warning | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 10 more | 23 hr |
| Dec 1, 5:02 AM EST | Lakeshore Flood Warning | BUF | Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson | 23 hr |
| Dec 1, 11:34 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 56 min |
| Dec 1, 12:43 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Erie | 36 min |
| Dec 1, 1:02 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Wyoming | 44 min |
| Dec 1, 2:56 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Cayuga, Oswego | 49 min |
| Dec 1, 2:58 PM EST | Special Marine Warning | BUF | 62 min | |
| Dec 1, 3:43 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF | Lewis | 47 min |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Watches in New York, 2006Every lake effect snow watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.