Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2006
Lake Effect Snow Warning 5, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Feb 17, 2006, 3:37 PM EST for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 19, 2006, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 51 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 17, 2006, 3:37 PM EST (20:37 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 19, 2006, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 21, 2006, 3:24 AM EST
- In force
- 51 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Erie County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 472 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 88 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -241 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 172037 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 337 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS WEEKEND... .COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL BE REINFORCED WITH SOME ARCTIC AIR DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE VERY COLD AIR WILL POUR ACROSS THE WIDE OPEN WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WHICH IN TURN WILL GENERATE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS. A BRISK WESTERLY WIND WILL MEAN THAT THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THESE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE FOUND EAST OF BOTH LAKES. NYZ005-172145- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.A.0004.060218T0000Z-060219T1800Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 337 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. WHILE MEASURABLE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND...THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WITH CORRESPONDING IMPACTS ARE NOW FORECAST TO BE TO THE NORTHEAST. $$ NYZ006-180445- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.060218T0000Z-060219T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.060218T0000Z-060218T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 337 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY. THIS ADVISORY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING WHICH WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY EVENING. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING SNOW AND LOCALLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO NEAR 10 OVERNIGHT...SO THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS INTENSE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY SO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONLY AN INCH OR SO ARE ANTICIPATED. LAKE SNOWS ARE THEN FORECAST TO BECOME ORGANIZED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WHEN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF MORE THAN 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-180445- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 337 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION WILL THEN BE EXPECTED. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-180445- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.060218T0000Z-060219T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.060218T0000Z-060218T2300Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 337 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. DISORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY AS WELL. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW. THE MULTIBAND LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ RSH
16 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 180225 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 925 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS WEEKEND... .COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK WILL BE REINFORCED WITH SOME ARCTIC AIR OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS VERY COLD AIR WILL POUR ACROSS THE WIDE OPEN WATERS OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WHICH IN TURN WILL GENERATE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS. A BRISK WESTERLY WIND WILL MEAN THAT THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR THESE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE FOUND EAST OF BOTH LAKES. NYZ006-181100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 925 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY. DISORGANIZED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WHICH WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING SNOW AND LOCALLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO NEAR 10 OVERNIGHT...SO THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS INTENSE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY SO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONLY AN INCH OR SO ARE ANTICIPATED. LAKE SNOWS ARE THEN FORECAST TO BECOME ORGANIZED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WHEN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF MORE THAN 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-181100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 925 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION WILL THEN BE EXPECTED. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ019-020-085-181100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T2300Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 925 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY. DISORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH RESULTING IN SOME BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITY AS WELL. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW. THE MULTIBAND LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 180844 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS WEEKEND... .ARCTIC AIR FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE FOR WHILE...BUT THE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN. HOWEVER...THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AGAIN THIS EVENING AND LAKE SNOWS SHOULD REORGANIZE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING SUNDAY. DRIER AIR SHOULD LIMIT LAKE SNOWS OFF ERIE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NYZ006-181500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES THIS MORNING BEFORE PASSAGE OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WHICH WILL TEMPORARILY DISRUPT THE ACTIVITY LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY TONIGHT...LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY AND GRADUALLY DRIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE COUNTY DURING SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PHASE OF THE EVENT. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. CHECK OUT THE LATEST INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ007-008-181645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW SHOWERS WILL END TEMPORARILY THIS MORNING BUT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION DURING SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS LATEST EVENT...WITH THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OVER AREAS SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE...MAINLY ON THE TUG HILL. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. CHECK OUT THE LATEST INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ005-181645- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.060219T0200Z-060219T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES THIS MORNING BEFORE PASSAGE OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WHICH WILL TEMPORARILY DISRUPT THE ACTIVITY LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY...LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND CAN ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. CHECK OUT THE LATEST INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ019-020-085-181645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T2300Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 344 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL RESULT IN LAKE SNOWS OF VARYING INTENSITIES TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS CAN RUN 3 TO 6 INCHES...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED TONIGHT. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. CHECK OUT THE LATEST INFORMATION ON OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ SFM
000 WWUS41 KBUF 181455 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 955 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS WEEKEND... .ARCTIC AIR FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT THIS MORNING WILL ALLOW LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE FOR WHILE...BUT THE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN. HOWEVER...THE FLOW WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AGAIN THIS EVENING AND LAKE SNOWS SHOULD REORGANIZE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING SUNDAY. DRIER AIR SHOULD LIMIT LAKE SNOWS OFF ERIE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NYZ006-182300- /O.EXP.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 955 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY AND GRADUALLY DRIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS THE COUNTY DURING SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PHASE OF THE EVENT. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ007-008-182300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 955 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION DURING SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS LATEST EVENT...WITH THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OVER AREAS SOUTH OF WATERTOWN AND WEST OF LOWVILLE...MAINLY ON THE TUG HILL. $$ NYZ019-020-085-182300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T2300Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 955 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL RESULT IN LAKE SNOWS OF VARYING INTENSITIES TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS CAN RUN 3 TO 6 INCHES... ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND SCATTERED TONIGHT. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ005-182300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.060219T0200Z-060219T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 955 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND CAN ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OUT OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ APB
000 WWUS41 KBUF 181941 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 241 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH SUNDAY... ...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... .ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. AS THE WINDS SHIFT MORE TO THIS WEST THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL REORGANIZE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING SUNDAY. DRIER AIR SHOULD LIMIT THE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL ALSO BECOME A FACTOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ019-020-085-190345- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060218T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.060219T0100Z-060219T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 241 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL PRODUCE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER 4 INCHES AS THE SNOW BECOMES LESS ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED. WHILE THE LAKES EFFECT SNOW WILL DIMINISH...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME A CONCERN TONIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE SINGE DIGITS TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ006>008-190345- /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.060219T0100Z-060219T1200Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 241 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REORGANIZE AGAIN TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION DURING SUNDAY. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...BUT OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY...BUT UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD WIND CHILLS TO MAKE CONDITIONS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS TONIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH...COMBINED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND ZERO...WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ012-021-190345- /O.NEW.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.060219T0100Z-060219T1200Z/ WYOMING-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE 241 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. WESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...COMBINED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND ZERO...WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ005-190345- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.060219T0200Z-060219T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 241 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 190151 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 851 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH SUNDAY... ...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... .ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT. AS THE WINDS SHIFT MORE TO THIS WEST OVERNIGHT...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL ORGANIZE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD DURING SUNDAY. VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL ALSO BECOME A FACTOR OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ006>008-191100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T0500Z-060219T2300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 851 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL REORGANIZE OVERNIGHT AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION DURING SUNDAY. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT SOUTH OF WATERTOWN...BUT OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ON THE TUG HILL. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY...BUT UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD WIND CHILLS TO MAKE CONDITIONS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT. WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 25 MPH...COMBINED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND ZERO...WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ NYZ004-191100- /O.EXA.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.060219T0200Z-060219T1100Z/ WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK 851 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES...BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ005-191100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.060219T0200Z-060219T1100Z/ NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN 851 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND ACCUMULATE 3 TO 6 INCHES...BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019>021-085-191100- /O.CON.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1200Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 851 PM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE SINGE DIGITS TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN STRONG WIND WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ TMA
000 WWUS41 KBUF 190816 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 316 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY... ...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED UNTIL MID MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. AS THE WINDS SHIFT FROM WEST NORTHWEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST TODAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD. VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL REMAIN A FACTOR UNTIL MID MORNING ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND IN AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ006>008-191500- /O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 316 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT AS MUCH AS A FOOT OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD WIND CHILLS TO MAKE CONDITIONS EVEN MORE HAZARDOUS EARLY TODAY. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES OF ZERO TO 5 BELOW TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. $$ NYZ012-019>021-085-191500- /O.EXT.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1500Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 316 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO PRODUCE WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO EARLY THIS MORNING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE DANGEROUSLY COLD CONDITIONS FOR EXPOSED SKIN. THE WIND WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR COLDER FOR A PERIOD OF SEVERAL HOURS. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS USE COMMON SENSE AND DRESS WARMLY...MAKING SURE THAT ALL EXPOSED SKIN IS COVERED. IF POSSIBLE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THE COLD TO PREVENT FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. $$ NYZ004-005-191100- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-060219T1100Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 316 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING...PRODUCING UP TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA AROUND 6 AM. REMEMBER...IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ JJR
000 WWUS41 KBUF 191410 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 910 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...STEADIER LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO TODAY... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. AS THE WINDS SHIFT FROM WEST NORTHWEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST TODAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTH. NYZ006>008-192215- /O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 910 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT AS MUCH AS A FOOT OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019>021-085-191515- /O.CAN.KBUF.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060219T1500Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 910 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. WIND CHILLS HAVE CLIMBED ABOVE THE DANGEROUS RANGE. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 191551 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1051 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. AS THE WINDS SHIFT FROM WEST NORTHWEST TO WEST SOUTHWEST TODAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND LIFT SLOWLY NORTH. OFF LAKE ERIE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL INTENSIFY THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DRIFT SOUTH AND NORTH OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD WEAKEN DURING MONDAY. NYZ006>008-192300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1051 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...BUT AS MUCH AS A FOOT OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS ON THE TUG HILL. MORE ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND MONDAY. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ010-085-200000- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.060220T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1051 AM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS MAY INTENSIFY THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS. THE LAKE SNOWS COULD THEN DRIFT SOUTH AND NORTH OVERNIGHT AND WEAKEN DURING MONDAY. AREAS WITH THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS COULD SEE 3 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT AND 3 TO 5 INCHES MONDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$ APB
000 WWUS41 KBUF 192009 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 309 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL MEANDER A BIT NORTH AND SOUTH, BUT IT WILL BE MONDAY BEFORE THEY WEAKEN OFF LAKE ERIE, AND LATE MONDAY NIGHT OFF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ010-085-200500- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0005.060220T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0005.060219T2009Z-060220T2100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 309 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OVER THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS MAY DRIFT NORTH INTO THE CITY FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING...THEN THEY SHOULD MOVE SOUTH AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK NORTH AGAIN DURING MONDAY AS THEY SLOWLY WEAKEN. UP TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF BUFFALO. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE MONDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ007-008-200500- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 309 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. THEY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH OVERNIGHT...THEN BACK NORTH ON MONDAY. UP TO 10 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...AND ANOTHER 7 INCHES OR MORE BOTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE MONDAY AS WINDS BEGIN TO CHANGE DIRECTIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006-192300- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060219T2300Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 309 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LAKE SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AS THEY DRIFT NORTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER INCH OR SO POSSIBLE. THE LAKE SNOWS MAY DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE COUNTY AGAIN LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BUT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD NOT BE HEAVY. $$ APB
000 WWUS41 KBUF 192233 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 533 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL MEANDER A BIT NORTH AND SOUTH... BUT IT WILL BE MONDAY BEFORE THEY WEAKEN OFF LAKE ERIE... AND LATE MONDAY NIGHT OFF LAKE ONTARIO. NYZ006-200645- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 533 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE COUNTY THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT GENERAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF FULTON AND PARISH...BUT UP TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER LAKE SNOW OVER THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. $$ NYZ010-085-200645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 533 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OVER THE SOUTHERN BUFFALO SUBURBS MAY DRIFT NORTH INTO THE CITY FOR AWHILE THIS EVENING...THEN THEY SHOULD MOVE SOUTH AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK NORTH AGAIN DURING MONDAY AS THEY SLOWLY WEAKEN. UP TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS TONIGHT... MAINLY SOUTH OF BUFFALO. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE MONDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ007-008-200645- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 533 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. THEY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH OVERNIGHT...THEN BACK NORTH ON MONDAY. UP TO 10 INCHES ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...AND ANOTHER 7 INCHES OR MORE BOTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE MONDAY AS WINDS BEGIN TO CHANGE DIRECTIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ011-012-200645- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.060219T2233Z-060220T2100Z/ GENESEE-WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BATAVIA...WARSAW 533 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY. SNOW BANDS OFF LAKE ERIE WILL BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES TO THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN STEADIER LAKE SNOWS BETWEEN WARSAW AND BATAVIA. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL MONDAY BEFORE THE LAKES SNOWS WEAKEN DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 200316 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1016 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE LAKE SNOWS OFF LAKE ERIE HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY...BUT THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. NYZ010-085-200430- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1016 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE HAS WEAKENED. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOW AREAS...BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. $$ NYZ011-012-200430- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ GENESEE-WYOMING- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BATAVIA...WARSAW 1016 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE HAS WEAKENED. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOW AREAS...BUT HEAVIER SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. $$ NYZ007-008-201130- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1016 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. UP TO A FOOT OF NEW SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOW AREAS. AREAS OUTSIDE THE MAIN LAKE SNOW BAND WILL PICK UP AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES. ANOTHER 7 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE BOTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD WEAKEN LATE MONDAY AS WINDS BEGIN TO CHANGE DIRECTIONS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006-201115- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T1200Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 1014 PM EST SUN FEB 19 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY. THE HEAVIEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS DRIFTED NORTH OF THE COUNTY...BUT STEADY SNOW WILL STILL LINGER ACROSS THE TUG HILL WHERE UP TO ANOTHER 7 INCHES IS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY MORNING. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 200826 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 326 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...THE HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH TONIGHT. NYZ006-201700- /O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T1700Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 326 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY THIS MORNING...BEFORE MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ007-008-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 326 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING SOUTH OF WATERTOWN THIS MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD AGAIN TOWARD MIDDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...BUT LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A FOOT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT LATER TONIGHT AND CAUSE THE BANDS TO WEAKEN...BUT NOT BEFORE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO FLURRIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ JJR
000 WWUS41 KBUF 201413 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 913 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...THE HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH TONIGHT. NYZ007-008-202215- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 913 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING SOUTH OF WATERTOWN THIS MORNING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD AGAIN TOWARD MIDDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY...BUT LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A FOOT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT LATER TONIGHT AND CAUSE THE BANDS TO WEAKEN...BUT NOT BEFORE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ006-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060220T1700Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 913 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY THIS MORNING...BEFORE MOVING NORTH OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...MAINLY NORTH OF PARISH AND MEXICO...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ NYZ012-019-020-085-202100- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0010.060220T1413Z-060220T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 913 AM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING TO THE NORTH BY MID AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT BAND...MAINLY FROM DUNKIRK TO SPRINGVILLE AND INLAND TO STRYKERSVILLE AND WARSAW. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 202013 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 313 PM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. THE HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL REMAIN INTACT THROUGH TONIGHT. NYZ012-019-020-085-202115- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-060220T2100Z/ WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 313 PM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE MOVED NORTH OUT OF THE AREA. $$ NYZ007-008-210500- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 313 PM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. STEADY LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT A BIT MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE LAKE SNOWS TO DRIFT NORTH AND WEAKEN. ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE LIKELY...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$ APB
000 WWUS41 KBUF 210205 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 905 PM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE SNOWS CONTINUE... .A STEADY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS THE WINDS BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY SNOW. NYZ007-008-211000- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 905 PM EST MON FEB 20 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS THE WINDS CONTINUE TO SHIFT MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST. MOST AREAS NORTH OF ADAMS AND LOWVILLE WILL PICK UP ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES...BUT UP TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. $$
000 WWUS41 KBUF 210824 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 324 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING CANCELLED... NYZ007-008-210930- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060221T1000Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 324 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE...GENERALLY NO MORE THAN 2 TO 4 INCHES. THEREFORE...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ JJR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Feb 17, 2:12 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 17, 2:12 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
212 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE MAJOR WIND EVENT WILL BE COMING TO AN END THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
STRONGEST ISALLOBARIC FIELD MOVES RAPIDLY EAST AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT SLACKENS. EVERY COUNTY REPORTED DAMAGE OR HIGH WIND
CRITERIA. WINDS AS HIGH AS 81 MPH WERE REPORTED. HIGH WIND WARNINGS
WILL ALL BE GONE AS OF 4 PM.
WE MUST NOW CONCENTRATE ON LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS. 850 MILLIBAR
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP OVERNIGHT...REACHING ABOUT MINUS 22C
BY MORNING. INSTABILITY BECOMES IMPRESSIVE BUT THERE IS NOTABLE
DRYING ALOFT. THE WINDS WILL ALSO BE SHIFTING QUITE A BIT AS A
SURFACE WAVE MOVES ACROSS EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. AT THIS
POINT WE ARE GOING TO ISSUE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES FOR
CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY OFF LAKE ERIE AND FOR OSWEGO COUNTY OFF LAKE ONTARIO FOR
SATURDAY.
WITH HIGH PRESSURE TRACKING EASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS AND LOW
PRESSURE TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS HUDSON BAY THE STEERING WINDS WILL
BACK MORE TO WESTERLY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS SCENARIO WILL
PERSIST INTO MONDAY AS THE HUDSON BAY LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH
QUEBEC. ALTHOUGH 850 MILLIBAR TEMPERATURES WILL RISE A
LITTLE...THERE IS STILL PLENTY OF INSTABILITY. WE WILL HAVE TO BE
CONCERNED WITH LAKE EFFECT RIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WARNING CRITERIA IS
LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. WE WILL PUT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS
UP FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY FOR PARTS OF OSWEGO...JEFFERSON
AND LEWIS COUNTIES. THE TUG HILL AREA WILL BE FAVORED FOR THE MOST
PERSISTENT ACTIVITY. AREAS EAST OF LAKE ERIE ARE MORE QUESTIONABLE
ON AMOUNTS AND MESO SCALE MODELS ARE NOT IMPRESSIVE. WE WILL NOT
ISSUE ANY WARNINGS FOR THAT AREA YET BUT WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A
CLOSE EYE ON DEVELOPMENT.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THIS PERIOD WILL CONTINUE TO BE CHARACTERIZED BY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF NORTH AMERICA. WHILE TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD WILL AVERAGE BELOW
NORMAL...READINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE BONE CHILLING IN THE SENSE
OF TRUE ARCTIC COLD. IN FACT...THE MERCURY WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE WEEK.
LIKE THE PAST WEEK...BROAD RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC THAT WILL NOSE INTO ALASKA. THIS RIDGE HAS BEEN IN
RESPONSE TO A PERSISTENT VORTEX ANCHORED OVER SIBERIA. IN ANY
CASE...THE PACIFIC RIDGE AND CORRESPONDING HUDSON BAY LOW WILL KEEP
A FLOW OF SEASONABLY COLD AIR POURING SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTHWEST
TERRITORIES. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THIS WILL NOT BE A CASE OF TRUE
ARCTIC AIR COMING ACROSS THE POLE SO TEMP DEPARTURES WILL NOT BE
SIGNIFICANT. (H8 TEMPS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM -10 TO -15C DURING
THE PERIOD.)
HELPING TO KEEP THIS PATTERN IN PLACE WILL A RIDGE THAT WILL BUILD
ACROSS GREENLAND LATE NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SET UP A NOTORIOUS -NAO
BLOCKING RIDGE...THAT WILL HELP TO KEEP AVG TEMPS BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. NOW FOR SOME DETAILS...
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL BE NEARLY
ZONAL FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH WEAK SHORTWAVES CROSSING BY TO
OUR NORTH. SINCE H8 TEMPS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE AT OR JUST A
BIT WARMER THAN -10C...LAKE DELTA TS WILL BE TOO LOW TO SUPPORT
AND REAL LAKE EFFECT. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW
SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY....BUT THEY WILL BE INSIGNIFICANT.
FOR THURSDAY...A DIGGING SHORTWAVE DROPPING OUT OF THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIES WILL AMPLIFY A RIDGE OVER OUR REGION AND WILL HELP TO
TEMPORARILY BOOST H8 TEMPS TO ABOUT -5C. THE ASSOCIATED SFC WAVE
WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY CREATING THE
OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME WIDESPREAD...BUT GENERALLY UNEVENTFUL...SNOW
SHOWERS.
COLD AIR IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE COULD SET UP SOME MORE
SUBSTANTIAL LAKE SNOWS NEXT WEEKEND...BUT THAT IS OUT OF THE
FORECAST WINDOW SO WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO WATCH THAT DEVELOP.
&&
.AVIATION...
A WESTERLY FLOW OF ARCTIC AIR OVER LKS ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD LAKE SNOWS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. WHILE CONDITIONS DO NOT
LOOK FAVORABLE ENOUGH FOR WELL ORGANIZED PLUMES...THE LAKE EFFECT
WILL RESULT IN MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. THERE
MAY EVEN BE AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SRN TIER...INCLUDING
THE JHW SITE.
THE STRONG WINDS FROM EARLIER TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE DURING
THE PERIOD...WITH NO WIND SHEAR PROBLEMS ANTICIPATED.
&&
.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS ON LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT AS
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INITIALLY DIMINISH TO UNDER 30 KNOTS DURING THE
COURSE OF THE EVENING...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 40
KNOTS AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A SECONDARY COLD FRONT.
WINDS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO WILL THEN VEER TO THE NORTHWEST ON
SATURDAY AND WEAKEN TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS.
THESE STRONG WEST WINDS WILL KEEP WAVES ABOVE 10 FEET ACROSS MUCH OF
LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NYZ005>008 UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR NYZ006 FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM
SATURDAY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR NYZ006>008 FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY
TO 6 PM SUNDAY.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR NYZ019-020-085 FROM 7 PM FRIDAY
TO 6 PM SATURDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH 6 AM.
&&
SHORT TERM...SAGE
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...RSH
MARINE...RSHHazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 4:32 AM EST, 11 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 NYZ001-002-010>012-021-180930- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-ALLEGANY- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. THE STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO PRODUCE A SURGE OF WATER ON THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ERIE...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS FOR A FEW HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003-004-013-014-180930- MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GENESEE VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES REGION. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-008-180930- JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019-020-085-180930- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. THE STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO PRODUCE A SURGE OF WATER ON THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ERIE... WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS FOR A FEW HOURS. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES... AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW DURING FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE AND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ005-006-180930- NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING...BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 30 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THESE SPEEDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES...AND CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW DURING FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... CALLS REPORTING WIND DAMAGE AND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE VERY HELPFUL. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-180930- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 432 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS...WITH GUSTS EXCEEDING STORM FORCE...ARE EXPECTED ON BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY. IN ADDITION...A SEICHE IS LIKELY THIS MORNING ON THE EAST END OF LAKE ERIE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF JJR
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 17, 3:04 PM EST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
304 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0614 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HAMBURG 42.72N 78.83W
02/17/2006 M60 MPH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
0614 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HAMBURG 42.72N 78.83W
02/17/2006 M62 MPH ERIE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
0700 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER 43.17N 77.62W
02/17/2006 M77 MPH MONROE NY ASOS
0701 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FAIRPORT 43.10N 77.44W
02/17/2006 M64 MPH MONROE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
MONROE BOCES 1
0710 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BRIGHTON 43.12N 77.58W
02/17/2006 M61 MPH MONROE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
MCQUAID HIGH SCHOOL
0710 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG LOCKPORT 43.17N 78.70W
02/17/2006 NIAGARA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
STARPOINT SCHOOL
0729 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG NIAGARA FALLS 43.09N 79.02W
02/17/2006 NIAGARA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN IMPACTING NIAGARA FALLS
AIR FORCE BASE.
0730 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG IRONDEQUOIT 43.21N 77.57W
02/17/2006 MONROE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS AREA. ONE TREE ON
HOUSE.
0743 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESTFIELD 42.32N 79.58W
02/17/2006 CHAUTAUQUA NY PUBLIC
POWER OUTAGES.
0759 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FULTON 43.32N 76.42W
02/17/2006 M75 MPH OSWEGO NY ASOS
0815 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MARION 43.14N 77.15W
02/17/2006 WAYNE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
60 TO 70 FOOT PINE TREE DOWN.
0949 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEWARK 43.04N 77.09W
02/17/2006 WAYNE NY TRAINED SPOTTER
*** 1 FATAL *** REPORTED BY SPOTTER AND CONFIRMED BY
ROCHESTER NEWSPAPER.
0955 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WATERTOWN 43.97N 75.91W
02/17/2006 M62 MPH JEFFERSON NY ASOS
0959 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GORHAM 42.82N 77.13W
02/17/2006 ONTARIO NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE FELL ON SCHOOL BUS, NO INJURIES.
1010 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG OSWEGO 43.46N 76.50W
02/17/2006 OSWEGO NY TRAINED SPOTTER
30 TO 40 FOOT PINE TREE ABOUT 1 FOOT IN DIAMETER DOWN.
CONSTRUCTION FOAM INSULATION BLOWING AROUND.
1015 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LOWVILLE 43.79N 75.49W
02/17/2006 M81 MPH LEWIS NY TRAINED SPOTTER
BARN COLLAPSED
1028 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG OSWEGO 43.46N 76.50W
02/17/2006 OSWEGO NY TRAINED SPOTTER
2 PINE TREES 20 TO 30 FEET DOWN.
1035 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WARSAW 42.74N 78.14W
02/17/2006 WYOMING NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES/POLES DOWN IN WARSAW, PIKE, AND
ATTICA AMONG OTHERS.
1035 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ALBION 43.25N 78.19W
02/17/2006 ORLEANS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN ACROSS ORLEANS COUNTY
INCLUDING TOWNS OF GAINS, MURRY, AND RIDGEWAY.
1035 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WHITESVILLE 42.04N 77.77W
02/17/2006 ALLEGANY NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN IN TOWNS OF ALMOND,
WHITESVILLE, RUSHFORD, AND BELMONT TO NAME A FEW.
1035 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG FAIR HAVEN 43.33N 76.70W
02/17/2006 CAYUGA NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN IN FAIR HAVEN, MERIDIAN, AND
CATO AMONG OTHERS.
1035 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESTFIELD 42.32N 79.58W
02/17/2006 CHAUTAUQUA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
ROUTE 394 CLOSED DUE TO WIRES DOWN.
1106 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PERRYSBURG 42.46N 79.00W
02/17/2006 CATTARAUGUS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN IN THE TOWNS OF HINSDALE,
MACHIAS, PERRYSBURG, AND DAYTON AMONG OTHERS.
1106 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG BUSTI 42.03N 79.28W
02/17/2006 CHAUTAUQUA NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN OVER COUNTY.
1106 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WATERTOWN 43.97N 75.91W
02/17/2006 JEFFERSON NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN IN TOWNS OF THERESA, ADAMS,
REDMAN, WATERTOWN, AND PHILADELPHIA AMONG OTHERS.
1106 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GENESEO 42.80N 77.81W
02/17/2006 LIVINGSTON NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN OVER LIVINGSTON COUNTY
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF SPARTA, GENESEO, AND MT. MORRIS.
1106 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG LOWVILLE 43.79N 75.49W
02/17/2006 LEWIS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WIDESPREAD TREES/WIRES DOWN THROUGHOUT ENTIRE COUNTY
INCLUDING BEAVER FALLS AND CROGHAM.
1122 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG WATERTOWN 43.97N 75.91W
02/17/2006 JEFFERSON NY TRAINED SPOTTER
IN PILLAR POINT WAVES AND ICE COVERING ROADWAY AND
DAMAGING SUMMER COTTAGES.
&&
CTINGLEYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 3:37 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Oswego | 23 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2006Every lake effect snow warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.