Lake Effect Snow Warning 14, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 070227
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
927 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG CLIPPER TYPE STORM WILL MOVE OUT OF THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES AND ACROSS ONTARIO TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP
LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SOME LOCATIONS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL SEE
PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO FRIDAY.

NYZ019-020-071030-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.061207T0600Z-061208T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
927 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TONIGHT.
MUCH COLDER AIR WILL CROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF LAKE ERIE AND
PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES LATER TONIGHT AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY MORNING.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
WILL BE LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR AND LOCALLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY TO JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET COULD OCCUR AT TIMES. IN
ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
PROBLEM AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

NYZ004>006-071030-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0012.061207T1200Z-061208T1700Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
927 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK THURSDAY
MORNING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL CROSS THE WARMER WATERS OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THURSDAY...THEN WILL INTENSIFY THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE
MOST LIKELY DURING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.

SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR AND LOCALLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY TO JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET COULD OCCUR AT TIMES. IN
ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
PROBLEM AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 070945
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
445 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL BLANKET PARTS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK TODAY INTO FRIDAY...

.THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE YOUNG WINTER SEASON WILL CROSS LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THIS WILL RESULT IN
ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

WHILE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TODAY...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOMEWHAT TO THE
NORTH ON FRIDAY.

NYZ004>006-071745-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0012.061207T1200Z-061208T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0014.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
445 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WHILE SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY...STEADIER MORE
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY COLD AIR WILL
POUR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. 

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT WILL CROSS A
PORTION OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS
THE COUNTIES BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE
DISORGANIZED AS IT MAY BECOME MORE MULTI BAND OVERNIGHT.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A
RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES AN HOUR. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 6 TO 12 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ019-020-071745-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
445 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE COMMON DURING THE COURSE
OF TODAY AS INCREASINGLY COLDER AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE. MULTIPLE
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL PRODUCE A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION TODAY WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

THE COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT WITH THE RESULTING
LAKE SNOWS ACCUMULATING AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 10 INCHES...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND IN AREAS SOUTHWEST OF CHAUTAUQUA
LAKE. SITES CLOSER TO ERIE COUNTY, PA, MAY EVEN EXPERIENCE SOME
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING COULD REACH A FOOT AND A HALF
IN SOME AREAS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH DURING
THE DAY FRIDAY.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY SERIOUSLY
IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY
BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE. MOTORISTS
PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-071745-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
445 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY. 

WHILE SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY...STEADIER MORE
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY COLD AIR WILL
POUR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO. 

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT WILL CROSS A
PORTION OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS
THE COUNTIES BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE
DISORGANIZED AS IT MAY BECOME MORE MULTI BAND OVERNIGHT.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A
RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES AN HOUR. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 5 TO 10 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

RSH

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 071458
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
958 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL BLANKET PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK
TODAY INTO FRIDAY...

.THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL CROSS LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THIS WILL RESULT IN
ANOTHER ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

WHILE SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE COMMON TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TODAY...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOMEWHAT TO
THE NORTH ON FRIDAY.

NYZ019-020-072300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T1100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
958 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS INCREASINGLY
COLDER AIR WILL CROSS LAKE ERIE. MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT
WILL PRODUCE A GENERAL 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION TODAY WITH
THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

THE COLD AIR WILL DEEPEN AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT WITH THE RESULTING
LAKE SNOWS ACCUMULATING AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 10 INCHES...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND IN AREAS SOUTHWEST OF CHAUTAUQUA
LAKE. SITES CLOSER TO ERIE COUNTY... PA... MAY EVEN EXPERIENCE
SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING COULD REACH A FOOT AND A
HALF IN SOME AREAS. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL THEN WEAKEN AND DRIFT
NORTH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY SERIOUSLY
IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY
BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE. MOTORISTS
PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ004>006-072300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
958 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW SHOWERS WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON...THEN STEADIER
MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY COLD AIR
WILL POUR ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT WILL CROSS A
PORTION OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS
THE COUNTIES BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE
DISORGANIZED OVERNIGHT.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A
RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY...WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO
2 INCHES AN HOUR.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 6 TO 12 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-072300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
958 AM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WHILE SOME SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...STEADIER MORE
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY COLD AIR POURS
ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY...THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT CROSSES  LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS THE COUNTIES
BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE DISORGANIZED OVERNIGHT.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A
RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO
2 INCHES AN HOUR.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 5 TO 10 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO
ALL-HAZARDS OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
INFORMATION FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR VISIT OUR
INTERNET WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

APB

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 072002
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
302 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL BLANKET PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

.A NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR ACROSS LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LAKES.

NYZ019-020-080500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
302 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

DEEPENING COLD AIR WILL BRING CONTINUING LAKE SNOWS WHICH WILL
ACCUMULATE AN ADDITIONAL 5 TO 9 INCHES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND IN AREAS SOUTHWEST OF CHAUTAUQUA
LAKE.

THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHEN WARMING
TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD BRING RELIEF. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON COULD REACH A FOOT AND A HALF IN SOME AREAS. 

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS. THIS WILL LIKELY
SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW YORK STATE
THRUWAY BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE.
MOTORISTS PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ004>006-080500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
302 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

STEADIER MORE PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY
COLD AIR DEEPENS ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT CROSSES LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS THE COUNTIES
BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE DISORGANIZED FRIDAY.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A
RESULT OF THIS ACTIVITY...WITH OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO
2 INCHES AN HOUR.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 6 TO 12 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-080500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.061207T2300Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
302 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY. 

LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AS VERY COLD AIR POURS ACROSS
LAKE ONTARIO. A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF GEORGIAN BAY...THEN BECOME ENHANCED AS IT
CROSSES LAKE ONTARIO. THIS BAND IS FORECAST TO EXTEND ACROSS THE
COUNTIES BORDERING THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT...THEN IT MAY BECOME A BIT MORE DISORGANIZED
FRIDAY.

SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. EXPECT
OCCASIONAL SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 4 TO 9 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

APB

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 080334
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1034 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL BLANKET PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

.A NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR ACROSS LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LAKES.

NYZ019-020-081145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1034 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

DEEPENING COLD AIR WILL BRING CONTINUING LAKE SNOWS WHICH WILL 
ACCUMULATE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT...WITH A FEW SPOTS 
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE CATCHING UP TO 6 INCHES.

THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHEN WARMING
TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD BRING RELIEF. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY FRIDAY 
AFTERNOON COULD REACH OVER A FOOT IN SOME AREAS. 

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS. THIS WILL LIKELY
SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW YORK STATE
THRUWAY BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE.
MOTORISTS PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.



$$

NYZ004>006-081145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1034 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW DROPPED 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE 
SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO FROM SODUS BAY TO FULTON THURSDAY 
EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND THE BAND 
SHOULD SPREAD OUT AS IT BECOMES LESS INTENSE...BUT SHOULD DRIFT 
SOUTH AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
BE IN THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 1 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 6 TO 12 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-081145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
1034 PM EST THU DEC 7 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

NARROW BANDS OF LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS 
THE AREA OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION WILL RANGE UP TO 3 TO 6 
INCHES BY MORNING.

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL THEN CONTINUE ON FRIDAY WITH
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD BRING
SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM TONIGHT AND FRIDAY TO 4 TO 8 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT
JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.




$$

SFM

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 080931
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
431 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL
WEAKEN LATER TODAY...

.THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL EXIT OUR REGION TODAY BUT
NOT BEFORE IT WILL HELP TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL LAKE SNOWS TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. THESE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME
LESS INTENSE LATER TODAY AS WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK MORE TO THE
WEST AND WARMER AIR WILL START TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION AT UPPER
LEVELS. 

NYZ019-020-081745-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
431 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
REGION WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE BY EVENING. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...PARTICULARLY THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

THE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RAISE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO FEET FOR SOME AREAS.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW WHICH IN TURN
WILL GREATLY REDUCE THE VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THIS WILL LIKELY
SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW YORK STATE
THRUWAY BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA STATE LINE.
MOTORISTS PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ004>006-081745-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T1800Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
431 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
REGION WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE COURSE
OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RAISE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN MANY AREAS TO BETWEEN 8 AND 14 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE
GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT JUST A
FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-081745-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
431 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH FRESH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON. THE LAKE 
SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE
NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VISIBILITY WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH
LINE OF SIGHT JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

RSH

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 081504
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO
WILL WEAKEN LATER TODAY...

.THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL EXIT OUR REGION TODAY BUT
NOT BEFORE IT WILL HELP TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL LAKE SNOWS TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. THESE LAKE SNOWS WILL BECOME
LESS INTENSE LATER TODAY AS WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK MORE TO THE
WEST AND WARMER AIR WILL START TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION AT UPPER
LEVELS.

NYZ004>006-082100-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
REGION WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS THIS AFTERNOON OF 2 TO 5 INCHES.
THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SLOWLY SHIFT
TO THE NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RAISE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
IN SOME AREAS TO 14 INCHES.

ALONG WITH THE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL
RESULT IN SOME BLOWING OF THE DRY SNOW. VISIBILITY WILL BE
GREATLY REDUCED WITHIN THE SNOW BANDS WITH LINE OF SIGHT JUST A
FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ019-020-082100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH FRESH
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES POSSIBLE BY EVENING. THE
HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...PARTICULARLY THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

THE ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL RAISE TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
TO BETWEEN ONE AND TWO FEET FOR SOME AREAS.

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME BLOWING SNOW WHICH IN
TURN WILL GREATLY REDUCE THE VISIBILITY AT TIMES. THIS WILL
LIKELY SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON THE NEW
YORK STATE THRUWAY BETWEEN SILVER CREEK AND THE PENNSYLVANIA
STATE LINE. MOTORISTS PLANNING TO USE THIS CORRIDOR SHOULD PLAN
ACCORDINGLY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

NYZ002-003-081800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-061208T1800Z/
ORLEANS-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...ROCHESTER
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MULTIPLE BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY
MID AFTERNOON. THE LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND
SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE AFTERNOON.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
EMAIL AT BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV.

$$

APB

000 
WWUS41 KBUF 081951
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
251 PM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED...

.WARM AIR ALOFT AND ADVANCING HIGH PRESSURE HAVE WEAKENED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS..

NYZ004>006-019-020-082100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0014.000000T0000Z-061208T2100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN
251 PM EST FRI DEC 8 2006

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED IN RESPONSE TO WARMING AIR ALOFT AND
ADVANCING HIGH PRESSURE. WHILE LAKE SNOWS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING EAST OF LAKE ERIE...AND TONIGHT EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST WED DEC 6 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

DEEP CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM HAS PASSED ACROSS JAMES BAY INTO WESTERN
QUEBEC AS OF THIS WRITING...WITH TWO COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
TRAILING SOUTHWEST FROM THE LOW CENTER. THE FIRST OF THESE STRETCHES
ACROSS LAKE HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN AND SEPARATES OUR PRESENT MILD
AIRMASS FROM SEASONABLY COLD AIR...WHILE THE SECOND OF THESE LIES
BACK ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR AND LIES ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF TRULY
ARCTIC AIR.

AS THE CLIPPER PASSES ACROSS QUEBEC TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...IT
WILL DRAG BOTH OF THESE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH A ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ACCOMPANYING BOTH. THE FIRST
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 03Z AND 09Z...WITH THE SECOND
FOLLOWING QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS AROUND 12Z THURSDAY. LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A RAIN/SNOW MIX
AHEAD OF THE FIRST BOUNDARY...WITH ENOUGH COOLING THEN TAKING PLACE
TO ALLOW FOR ALL SNOW WITH THE SECOND FROPA LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
THURSDAY. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIMITED TO AN
INCH OR LESS WITH BOTH FRONTAL PASSAGES...EXCEPT OVER THE SOUTHERN
TIER WHERE SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT AFTER THE INITIAL FROPA MAY LEAD TO
SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE SECONDARY FRONT...THE COLDEST AIR OF THE
SEASON TO DATE WILL FLOOD INTO THE AREA ON A NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW...WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROPPING FROM -8/-10C THURSDAY
MORNING TO -18C/-19C THURSDAY NIGHT. SUCH STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL
NOT ONLY RESULT IN TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGHOUT THE DAY
THURSDAY...BUT IT WILL ALSO TRIGGER A STRONG LAKE RESPONSE THAT WILL
LAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

DURING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING...LAKE PARAMETERS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY MORE FAVORABLE OF OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. SHEAR WILL
BE ON THE DECREASE WHILE INSTABILITY BECOMES EXTREME /LAKE INDUCED
CAPES AS HIGH AS 700-1000 J/KG AND LAKE EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISING
CLOSE TO 15 KFT/...AND MOISTURE INCREASES WITHIN THE FAVORABLE SNOW
GROWTH REGION. IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE GROWING POTENTIAL FOR
UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS TO LAKE HURON AND GEORGIAN BAY...SUCH A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL RESULT IN THE LIKELIHOOD OF WARNING
CRITERIA-SNOWS IN AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES GIVEN TO THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 15
INCHES BETWEEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING LOOK TO BE A VERY REAL
POSSIBILITY.

OFF OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE PARAMETERS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE SOONER
OWING TO THE QUICKER ARRIVAL OF THE COLDER AIR AND RELAXING OF THE
SHEAR...GENERALLY AS EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THIS AND THE
FACT THAT WELL ALREADY BE SEEING SOME LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE BY
LATER TONIGHT...WILL BE UPGRADING THE EXISTING LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WATCH FOR CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES TO A WARNING.

OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE PARAMETERS WILL REALLY BECOME MOST
FAVORABLE UNTIL VERY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON/THURSDAY EVENING...WHEN
THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY RELAX THERE. THUS...WILL OPT TO
MAINTAIN THE CURRENT WATCH FOR WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND OSWEGO
COUNTIES AS IS.

THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE SNOWS TO CONTINUE
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN A STRONG WARM ADVECTION
REGIME WILL SET UP ON A WESTERLY FLOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS
RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES REGION. THIS WILL CAUSE THE
LAKE SNOWS TO DRIFT NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATE EAST OF THE GREAT
LAKES...WITH THINGS ENDING DURING FRIDAY NIGHT OFF OF LAKE
ERIE...AND DURING SATURDAY OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

ZONAL FLOW WILL PREDOMINATE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A SHORT
WAVE AND THE ACCOMPANYING WEAK FRONT PROVIDING A WEAK CHANCE OF
SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. AN SHARP UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
MIDWEST WILL BRING A SOUTHWEST FLOW TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SOME
WARM FRONTAL PRECIPITATION. CLOUDS AND AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN
WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE MODERATE WITH HIGHS FROM THE MID 30S
TO LOW 40S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING WITH STRONG
WINDS GIVING SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH TONIGHT LOWERING CEILINGS TO MVFR WITH OCCASIONAL IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY IN SNOW SHOWERS. MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE
IN A COLD NORTH FLOW THURSDAY...WITH SOME LIFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...MAINLY SOUTH
OF LAKE ERIE.

&&

.MARINE...

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO 30 KNOTS OR SO WELL OFFSHORE WHERE
WAVES WILL BE THE HIGHEST. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO WEST
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT...AND THEN TO NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE BRISK INTO FRIDAY. AS A RESULT...SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR NYZ019-020 FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO
     6 AM FRIDAY.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR NYZ004>006 FROM 7 AM THURSDAY TO
     NOON FRIDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LEZ020 UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LEZ040-041 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LOZ042>045 UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...APB
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...APB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

NYZ001>003-007-008-010>014-021-085-071045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-071045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH LATE TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES LATER
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR AND LOCALLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY TO JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET COULD OCCUR AT TIMES.
IN ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
PROBLEM AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004>006-071045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY
MORNING AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...THURSDAY
NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE POTENTIAL FOR THE HEAVIEST LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THURSDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR AND LOCALLY REDUCED
VISIBILITY TO JUST A FEW HUNDRED FEET COULD OCCUR AT TIMES.
IN ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW COULD BECOME A SIGNIFICANT
PROBLEM AS NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-071045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND
LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ061-LOZ062>065-SLZ022-024-071045-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
538 AM EST WED DEC 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA