Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Advisories in 2006

Lake Effect Snow Advisory 19, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 2, 2006Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow advisory at Dec 2, 2006, 4:45 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, Oswego County, New York. It took effect at Dec 2, 2006, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 2, 2006, 4:45 AM EST (09:45 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 2, 2006, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 2, 2006, 9:48 PM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-12-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 139 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-12-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -146 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
139 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
544 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-146 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow advisory went out at Dec 1, 3:24 PM EST, 13 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 3:24 PM EST, 13 hours 21 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 1, 7:41 AM EST, 21 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

NYZ001-010-019-085-021245-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED,
INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS
GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, LAKESHORE FLOODING
AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE SOUTH OF BUFFALO LATE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ002-003-011>013-020-021-021245-
ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED,
INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS
GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, AND POTENTIALLY
FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004>006-008-014-021245-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-ONTARIO-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED,
INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS
GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, AND POTENTIALLY
FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-021245-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-021245-
JEFFERSON-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED,
INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT, HIGH WINDS
GUSTING TO 60 MPH ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, LAKESHORE FLOODING
AND POTENTIALLY FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT. A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-061-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-021245-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
741 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...
LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

TMA

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Advisories in New York, 2006Every lake effect snow advisory in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.