Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 011848
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
247 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN NEW
YORK LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...OVER EASTERNMOST
VIRGINIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...CROSSING PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY. THE TROPICAL FEATURE WILL THEN CROSS THE WESTERN
COUNTIES OF NEW YORK STATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

NYZ019>021-020300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.060902T0600Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
247 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS AND CHAUTAUQUA.

* FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE 
  ACROSS THE PENNSYLVANIA NEW YORK BORDER LATE TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES 
  DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. 

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND
  THREE INCHES...THOUGH SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PATH AND
  SPEED OF THE REMNANTS COULD CHANGE THESE RAINFALL TOTALS.
  RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT WOULD ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES
  ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THE UPPER GENESEE RIVER.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER TRIBUTARIES AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-020300-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.060902T1000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
247 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...NORTHERN CAYUGA. IN 
  WESTERN NEW YORK...GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...
  NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND 
  WYOMING.

* FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO ARE 
  FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE 
  VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES SATURDAY MORNING. THE RAIN 
  WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. 

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND 
  THREE INCHES...THOUGH SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PATH AND 
  SPEED OF THE REMNANTS COULD CHANGE THESE RAINFALL TOTALS. 

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER TRIBUTARIES AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR 
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 020211
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL ARRIVE IN WESTERN NEW
YORK LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...OVER EASTERNMOST
VIRGINIA FRIDAY EVENING...WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...CROSSING PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. THE
TROPICAL FEATURE WILL THEN CROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF NEW YORK
STATE SATURDAY NIGHT.

NYZ019>021-021015-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.060902T0600Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
1011 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS AND CHAUTAUQUA.

* FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE 
  ACROSS THE PENNSYLVANIA NEW YORK BORDER LATE TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THE RAIN WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES 
  DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. 

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND 
  THREE INCHES...THOUGH SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PATH AND 
  SPEED OF THE REMNANTS COULD CHANGE THESE RAINFALL TOTALS. 
  RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT WOULD ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT RISES 
  ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THE UPPER GENESEE 
  RIVER. 

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER TRIBUTARIES AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-021015-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.060902T1000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1011 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...NORTHERN CAYUGA. IN 
  WESTERN NEW YORK...GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...
  NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND 
  WYOMING.

* FROM 6 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO ARE 
  FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE 
  VALLEY AND WESTERN FINGER LAKES SATURDAY MORNING. THE RAIN 
  WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. 

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND 
  THREE INCHES...THOUGH SUBTLE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PATH AND 
  SPEED OF THE REMNANTS COULD CHANGE THESE RAINFALL TOTALS. 

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER TRIBUTARIES AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 020751
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO HAVE BEGUN TO OVERSPREAD
WESTERN NEW YORK...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...CENTERED OVER MARYLAND
THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...CROSSING PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AND ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK
OVERNIGHT. 

NYZ019>021-021600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
351 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS AND CHAUTAUQUA.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
  NORTH ACROSS THE REGION WITH RAIN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY.

* RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND
  THREE INCHES. RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT WILL ALSO RESULT IN
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS...ESPECIALLY THE
  UPPER GENESEE RIVER. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD RESULT IN
  TEMPORARY POOR DRAINAGE PROBLEMS.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER TRIBUTARIES AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-021600-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.060902T1000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
351 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...NORTHERN CAYUGA. IN 
  WESTERN NEW YORK...GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...
  NORTHERN ERIE...ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND 
  WYOMING.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* THE LEADING EDGE OF THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL LIFT
  NORTH ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND GENESEE VALLEY THIS MORNING
  WITH THE RAIN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY.

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND
  THREE INCHES. RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT WILL ALSO RESULT IN
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. BRIEF HEAVY
  DOWNPOURS COULD RESULT IN TEMPORARY POOR DRAINAGE PROBLEMS.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

LEVAN

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 021402
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...CENTERED OVER MARYLAND
THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...CROSSING PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AND ACROSS WESTERN NEW
YORK OVERNIGHT.

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-022215-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
1002 AM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...NORTHERN CAYUGA. IN 
  WESTERN NEW YORK...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...
  GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE...
  ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE FINGER
  LAKES REGION WITH THE RAIN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES.

* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN ONE AND A HALF AND
  THREE INCHES. RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT WOULD RESULT IN
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. BRIEF HEAVY
  DOWNPOURS COULD RESULT IN TEMPORARY POOR DRAINAGE PROBLEMS.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

SAGE

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 021921
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
321 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BUT THERE WILL BE A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WERE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WITHDRAW NORTHWESTWARD AND BE CENTERED OVER LAKE
ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING.

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-030000-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
321 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTIES...IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...NORTHERN CAYUGA. IN 
  WESTERN NEW YORK...ALLEGANY...CATTARAUGUS...CHAUTAUQUA...
  GENESEE...LIVINGSTON...MONROE...NIAGARA...NORTHERN ERIE...
  ONTARIO...ORLEANS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WAYNE AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE FINGER
  LAKES REGION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SLOWLY TAPERING OFF
  FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.

* TOTAL RAINFALL ESTIMATES ARE AS HIGH AS 1.75 INCHES MAINLY SOUTH
  AND SOUTHEAST OF BUFFALO AND ALSO ACROSS PARTS OF THE FINGER
  LAKES REGION. TOTALS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL LIKELY REACH
  OVER 2 INCHES BEFORE THE HEAVIEST RAIN TAPERS OFF LATER THIS
  EVENING. FEEDER STREAMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER HAVE BEEN
  REPORTED NEAR BANKFULL THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ARE EXPECTED ON LARGER GAGED CREEKS AND STREAMS...THEY ARE
  NOT EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. 

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

SAGE

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 022359
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
759 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BUT THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN INTENSITY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WERE CENTERED OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO WITHDRAW NORTHWESTWARD AND BE CENTERED OVER LAKE
ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING.

NYZ001>005-010-011-014-019-020-085-030100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
GENESEE-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...CANANDAIGUA...
JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
759 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
YORK HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE RAIN HAS BEEN HEAVY AT
TIMES...AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE
FLOODING. 

$$

NYZ012-013-021-030300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
759 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...LIVINGSTON AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH 
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE 
  FINGER LAKES REGION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SLOWLY 
  TAPERING OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. 

* BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE UPPER
  GENESEE RIVER...AND THE RIVER CONTINUES TO RISE. THE HEAVIEST
  RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS EVENING. FEEDER STREAMS HAVE BEEN
  REPORTED NEAR BANKFULL. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE EXPECTED
  ON LARGER GAGED CREEKS AND STREAMS...THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GO
  ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

APB

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 030205
FFABUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BUT THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN INTENSITY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WERE CENTERED OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WITHDRAW NORTHWESTWARD AND BE CENTERED OVER LAKE
ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING.

NYZ010-031015-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FA.A.0004.060903T0205Z-060903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1005 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING COUNTY...NORTHERN ERIE.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE FINGER
  LAKES REGION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SLOWLY TAPERING OFF
  FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.

* RUNOFF FROM HEAVIER RAINS ON SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO ACCUMULATE
  IN THE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. BUFFALO AND CAYUGA CREEKS SHOULD
  REACH ABOUT THREE QUARTERS BANK FULL BUT CAZENOVIA CREEKS MAY
  REACH CLOSE TO THE 8 FOOT FLOOD STAGE AT LANCASTER.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

$$

NYZ012-013-021-030315-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
1005 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTIES...ALLEGANY...LIVINGSTON AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH 
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE 
  FINGER LAKES REGION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SLOWLY 
  TAPERING OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. 

* BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE UPPER GENESEE
  RIVER...AND THE RIVER CONTINUES TO RISE. FEEDER STREAMS HAVE
  BEEN REPORTED NEAR BANKFULL. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT RISES ARE
  EXPECTED ON LARGER GAGED CREEKS AND STREAMS...THEY ARE NOT
  EXPECTED TO GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

THE MOST LIKELY FLOOD PROBLEMS WITH THIS EVENT WOULD BE WITH THE
SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING EXISTS. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA YOU SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS
CLOSELY. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR
YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INFORMATION FOR
FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WGUS61 KBUF 030302
FFABUF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...RAINS FROM TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK BUT THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL
DECREASE IN INTENSITY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH...

.THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WERE CENTERED OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WITHDRAW NORTHWESTWARD AND BE CENTERED OVER LAKE
ONTARIO BY SUNDAY MORNING.

NYZ012-013-021-030415-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...WELLSVILLE
1102 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK HAS
EXPIRED. 

$$

NYZ010-031115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-060903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1102 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF WESTERN NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  COUNTY...NORTHERN ERIE.

* UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY

* THE TROPICAL RAINS FROM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH 
  ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE 
  FINGER LAKES REGION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SLOWLY 
  TAPERING OFF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. 

* RUNOFF FROM HEAVIER RAINS ON SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO 
  ACCUMULATE IN THE AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. BUFFALO CREEK 
  SHOULD REACH ABOUT THREE QUARTERS BANK FULL BUT CAYUGA AND 
  CAZENOVIA CREEKS MAY REACH CLOSE TO THE FLOOD STAGE AT 
  LANCASTER AND EBENEZER. 

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO
FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING
DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV
STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
407 AM EDT FRI SEP 1 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING FROM THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO WORK ACROSS THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

PRETTY MUCH AS EXPECTED...ERNESTO HAS COME ASHORE IN FAR SOUTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A LARGE SHIELD OF MID AND
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY STREAMING NORTH IN THE DEEP SOUTHERLY
FLOW FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. WE ALREADY HAVE A FAIR
AMOUNT OF CIRRUS/CIRROSTRATUS ACROSS OUR AREA AS OF THIS
WRITING...AND THIS WILL ONLY THICKEN AS ERNESTO IS DRAWN NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND INTO VIRGINIA TODAY. THE INCREASING CIRRUS
COMBINED WITH A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL HELP
KEEP TEMPERATURES A BIT COOLER THAN WHAT THEY WOULD BE
OTHERWISE...WITH READINGS GENERALLY TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER
60S/LOWER 70S. THESE VALUES ARE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED HERE
YESTERDAY...AND ARE A BIT BELOW THE CURRENT NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.

TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THE GFS AND NHC GUIDANCE REMAIN CONSISTENT
AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON TAKING THE REMAINS OF ERNESTO FROM CENTRAL
VIRGINIA TO THE VICINITY OF KBFD BY SATURDAY EVENING...A TRACK THAT
HAS BEEN FORECAST FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS NOW. SUCH A PROGRESSION WOULD
ALLOW RAIN TO BEGIN SPREADING INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
PROBABLY REACHING AS FAR NORTH AS THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO BY
SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE OVERSPREADING THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE
DAY. WILL CONTINUE TO COVER THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WITH LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL POPS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AS THERE WILL BE
TROPICAL MOISTURE AVAILABLE IN THE PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE DYNAMICS
(STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AT THE NOSE OF AN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL
JET...AND DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT).

OWING TO FAIRLY WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS (TWO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALLS
IN THE PAST WEEK ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA)...GFS AND HPC MODEL QPFS
CONTINUING IN THE 1.5 TO 2.0 RANGE ACROSS WESTERN NY AND PARTS OF
THE FINGER LAKES...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER PRECIP AMOUNTS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN THE MOISTURE/DYNAMICS THAT WILL BE
AVAILABLE...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE FLOOD WATCHES FROM THE FINGER
LAKES WESTWARD TO COVER THE UPCOMING EVENT. DETAILS ARE
BELOW...THEYLL RUN THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE TIME BEING.
WELL HAVE TO WATCH OUR SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES THE MOST...DUE TO
TERRAIN AND THE FACT THAT THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED THE HEAVIEST
RAINS IN THE PAST WEEK.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD LIFT NW
INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO...WITH THE BEST DYNAMICS DEPARTING ALONG WITH
IT. WILL THUS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE LIKELY POPS DECREASING TO THE
CHANCE RANGE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE NIGHT. WILL EVEN DROP
POPS BACK TO THE CHANCE RANGE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...AS THE GFS
HAS TRENDED AWAY FROM THE OCCLUDED FRONT/LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIP
ADVERTISED FOR THIS AREA IN PREVIOUS RUNS. CHANCE POPS WILL BE LEFT
IN PLAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE SURFACE LOW REMAINING RELATIVELY
CLOSE IN PROXIMITY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

AFTER A RAINY START TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL
BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TO PROVIDE A NICE US
WITH A NICE RAIN-FREE LABOR DAY. THERE IS GOOD CONSISTENCY BETWEEN
THE PAST TWO RUNS OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES SHOWING THIS SCENARIO...NOT
TO MENTION SOLID RUNS (PAST 4) OF THE OPERATIONAL GFS. WILL LOWER
POPS DURING THIS PERIOD AS A RESULT OF THIS TREND.

ON TUESDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DIG FROM THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THIS SHOULD KEEP
THE BEFORE MENTIONED SHORTWAVE RIDGE IN PLACE OVER WESTERN NEW YORK.
WHILE THE BULK OF THE DAY LOOKS TO BE DRY AT THIS POINT...THIS IS A
NEW IDEA FROM THE MODELS AND WILL THUS HOLD LOW CHC POPS IN PLAY FOR
AT LEAST THIS PACKAGE. KEEPING THE POPS IN PLACE WILL ALSO HELP KEEP
AGREEMENT WITH HPC GUIDANCE AND SURROUNDING WFOS (CLE, CTP, BGM).

THE CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL THEN LIFT OUT OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH MOISTURE AND SCATTERED -SHRA
BEING ADVECTED ACROSS OUR REGION IN THE PROCESS. CHC POPS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE DURING THIS PERIOD WITH THE HIGHEST POPS COMING ON
WEDNESDAY.

AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL OPENS INTO A WAVE AND LIFTS ACROSS THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY THURSDAY...WEAK SFC RIDGING WILL TAKE OVER. IF THIS
SCENARIO PANS OUT...WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO RETURN TO DRY WEATHER.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED...MERCURY READINGS SHOULD
AVREAGE CLOSE TO...OR A BIT BELOW NORMAL DURING THIS SUNDAY NIGHT TO
THURSDAY PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK LATE TODAY WITH A THIN TO BKN CIRRUS LAYER OVER THE AREA. A
FEW CU ARND 35KFT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTN HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...

FRESH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS BOTH LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE FAIRLY STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO AND A CANADIAN HIGH TO THE
NORTH WILL RESULT IN WINDS APPROACHING GALE CRITERIA ON LAKE ONTARIO
SATURDAY. FOR NOW WILL HOLD THE WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BUT THIS WILL HAVE
TO BE WATCHED.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE HOISTED FOR THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF
THE LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORES AS WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 3 TO 5
FEET OVERNIGHT. ON LAKE ERIE...ITS A CLOSE CALL WITH THE NORTHEAST
FLOW BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON SCA FOR NOW...WITH FCSTS INDICATING WAVES
BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET ON SATURDAY.

ALONG WITH THE HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES SATURDAY...THE PERSISTENT
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS LAKE ERIE COULD RESULT IN NOTICEABLY LOWER
WATER LEVELS OVER THE EASTERN (BUFFALO) END OF LK ERIE. THIS COULD
ADVERSELY AFFECT SHIPPING FOR THOSE WATERS. STAY TUNED...IF FORECAST
LEVELS DROP BELOW CRITICAL VALUES THEN A MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
FOR LOW WATER LEVELS WOULD BE ISSUED.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NYZ019>021 FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM
     SATURDAY.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NYZ001>005-010>014-085 FROM 6 AM
     SATURDAY TO 8 PM SATURDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR LOZ042-043 FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 6
         AM SUNDAY.

&&

SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...LEVAN
MARINE...LEVAN