Wind Advisory 19, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
300 AM CST THU NOV 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
MORNING AT 20 TO 25 MPH...NEAR SAN ANTONIO AT 3 AM. THE FRONT SHOULD
MOVE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS DURING DAYLIGHT...REACHING BRO AROUND
NOON. SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND WINDS SEEM TO BE LOSING PUNCH FROM
THAT OF A FEW HOURS AGO. NORTHERN SECTIONS HAVE MOST LIKELY SEEN
THEIR HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY...WHILE SOUTHERN SECTIONS WILL BE
ABLE TO INCREASE A FEW DEGREES THIS MORNING UNTIL FROPA.

SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AND TEMPERATURES
IN THE 30S EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...BUT SHOULD AVOID FREEZING AT THIS
WRITING.

THE NEXT SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE/COLD AIR IS EXPECTED EARLY
SUNDAY...WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHANCES FOR A FEW
DAYS AFTER. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY OCCUR BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM
SUNDAY MORNING. BACK DOOR TYPE THIRD FRONT APPROACHES ON WEDNESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED AT 800 PM CST WED NOV 29 2006...CF THRU
LBB NOW...HEADING FOR FROPA IN MFE/HRL AROUND 11 AM THU...BRO NEAR
NOON. SUM SHRAS FIRING ALONG DRYLINE TROF...AHEAD OF THE MAIN BODY
OF COLD AIR NOW. XPCT SCT SHRAS/FEW EMBEDDED TSTMS WITH FROPA...THEN
QUICK CLEARING. MDLS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN ALL MASS FIELD MAGNITUDES
AND TIMING...WITH VERY FIRST FRAMES OF THE 00Z NAM12 SHOWING WND
SHIFT ONLY EXPERIENCED IN WRN VLY BY 10 AM THU...SIMILAR TO 18Z RUN.
&&

.MARINE...BUOY 42020 REPORTED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS NEAR 14 KNOTS
GUSTING TO NEAR 18 KNOTS...AND SEAS SLIGHTLY OVER 6 FEET WITH A
PERIOD OF 7 SECONDS AT 01 CST/07 UTC. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
PASS THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COAST AROUND NOON TODAY. HAZARDOUS
WINDS AND SEAS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT EARLY TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT LATER TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS AND SEAS FOR
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
&&

.AVIATION...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITHIN DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...
BREEZY TO WINDY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW
HUMIDITY OVER WESTERN SECTIONS TO RESULT IN CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR STARR AND HIDALGO
COUNTIES.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW            76 44 63 49 68 62 / 30 00 00 00 10 50
BROWNSVILLE        79 43 63 47 69 62 / 30 00 00 00 10 40
FALFURRIAS         73 41 63 45 67 51 / 40 00 00 00 10 50
HARLINGEN          75 40 63 46 67 61 / 30 00 00 00 10 40
HEBBRONVILLE       71 36 62 43 67 51 / 30 00 00 00 10 40
MCALLEN            72 39 62 45 68 59 / 30 00 00 00 05 20
PORT ISABEL        72 46 63 52 68 62 / 20 00 00 00 10 50
RIO GRANDE CITY    71 37 63 44 67 56 / 20 00 00 00 00 30
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 77 51 63 57 68 63 / 30 00 00 00 10 50
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SCA GMZ150-155-170-175 UNTIL 18Z TODAY.
SCA GMZ130-132-135 18Z TODAY TO 03Z FRIDAY.
GALE WARNING GMZ150-155-170-175 18Z TODAY TO 09Z FRIDAY.
SCA GMZ150-155-170-175 09Z FRIDAY TO 18Z FRIDAY.
&&

54/66

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET WEB PAGE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
430 AM CST THU NOV 30 2006

TXZ248>257-011200-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
430 AM CST THU NOV 30 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR THE GULF
OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND DUE TO HAZARDOUS SEAS. A GALE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE WATERS FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT DUE TO WINDS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
LAGUNA MADRE FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO WINDS.
AND...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXISTS FOR THE BEACHES OF SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA DUE TO WINDS AND SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE GULF OF
MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND DUE TO HAZARDOUS SEAS. MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY...HOWEVER...A REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST WILL BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND SEAS TO THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AND...A MODERATE
TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE
TO WINDS AND SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

TOMASELLI