Alert archive / Massachusetts / High Surf Advisories in 2006

High Surf Advisory 7, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

September 10, 20068 counties in Massachusetts; Newport County, Washington County, Rhode Island

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this high surf advisory at Sep 10, 2006, 5:36 AM EDT for 8 counties in Massachusetts; Newport County, Washington County, Rhode Island. It took effect at Sep 10, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2006, 5:36 AM EDT (09:36 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 10, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 13, 2006, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Essex County, MA, Nantucket County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Newport County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2006-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 46 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2006-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
46 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1192 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WHUS41 KBOX 100936
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
536 AM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-101800-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.060910T1800Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
536 AM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY. 

SWELLS FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL BE PUSHING INTO THE COASTAL
BEACHES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS WILL BE INCREASING TO 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SHORE THIS
AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY APPROACHING 9 FEET ON THE OUTER ARM OF CAPE COD
AND THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ON MONDAY. THESE HIGH SEAS CAN CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION IN THE SURF ZONE TO PRODUCE STRONG RIP
CURRENTS.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET ON TUESDAY. HIGH SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVEL
TOWARD THE SHORE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF 
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS 
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR 
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

VALLIER-TALBOT
10 follow-up statements
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 101752
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
152 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-110200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.060910T1800Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
152 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

SWELLS FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH INTO THE
COASTAL BEACHES OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SEAS HAVE INCREASED TO 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SHORE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND COULD POSSIBLY APPROACH 9 FEET ON THE OUTER ARM OF
CAPE COD AND THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET MONDAY. THESE HIGH SEAS
CAN CAUSE SIGNIFICANT WAVE ACTION IN THE SURF ZONE TO PRODUCE STRONG
RIP CURRENTS.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY. HIGH SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVEL
TOWARD THE SHORE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 102222
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
622 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-110900-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
622 PM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR THE
OCEAN EXPOSED PORTIONS OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTS.

SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET...SOME OF IT SWELL...HAVE BEEN COMMON ALONG THE
SHORE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

SEAS OF AT LEAST 9 FEET ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CAPE COD NATIONAL
SEASHORE LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF
CHATHAM...INCLUSIVE OF COAST GUARD AND NAUSET BEACHES...AND ALSO THE
EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND. 

THESE HIGH SEAS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE INCREASINGLY STRONG RIP CURRENTS
AT LEAST INTO TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 500 MILES EAST
OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SWELLS WILL STILL CONTINUE TO TRAVEL
TOWARD OUR SHORES LATE TUESDAY...EVEN AS FLORENCE HEADS NORTHEASTWARD...
FURTHER AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$


DRAG
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 110846
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
446 AM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-111700-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
446 AM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR THE
OCEAN EXPOSED PORTIONS OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTS.

SEAS OF AT LEAST 7 TO 9 FEET ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CAPE COD
NATIONAL SEASHORE FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF CHATHAM...INCLUSIVE
OF COAST GUARD AND NAUSET BEACHES...AND ALSO THE EAST SHORES OF
NANTUCKET ISLAND BY LATE TODAY. THE SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SURF UP TO 15 FEET JUST
OFF THE COAST.

FOR THE REMAINING COASTLINE FROM WESTPORT TO NEWPORT...WESTERLY AND
BLOCK ISLAND ON THE SOUTH COAST AND FROM PLYMOUTH TO CAPE ANN AROUND
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...SEAS JUST OFFSHORE WILL BUILD
TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE HIGH SEAS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE INCREASINGLY STRONG RIP CURRENTS
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
BEACHES ANYWHERE ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
RHODE ISLAND. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THE HIGH WAVES COMING
ASHORE.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 450 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SWELLS WILL STILL CONTINUE
TO TRAVEL TOWARD OUR SHORES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...EVEN AS FLORENCE
HEADS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

VALLIER-TALBOT
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 112010
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
410 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-121000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
410 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY
FOR ALL OF COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

SEVEN TO 9 FOOT WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE CAPE COD NATIONAL SEASHORE
FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF CHATHAM...INCLUSIVE OF COAST GUARD
AND NAUSET BEACHES...AND ALSO THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND BY
LATE TODAY. THE SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD UP TO 8 TO 11 FT LATE
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH SURF UP TO 15 FEET JUST OFF THE COAST BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REMAINING COASTLINE FROM WESTPORT TO NEWPORT...WESTERLY
AND BLOCK ISLAND ON THE SOUTH COAST AND FROM PLYMOUTH TO CAPE ANN
AROUND TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...SEAS JUST OFFSHORE
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE HIGH SEAS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE INCREASINGLY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND
SOUTHEAST FACING BEACHES ANYWHERE ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY WITH
THE HIGH WAVES COMING ASHORE.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVE AND SWELL FROM FLORENCE WILL ALSO CREATE
NEARLY A ONE FOOT SURGE THROUGH TUESDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIME OF TUESDAY AFTERNOONS HIGH
TIDE. LOCATIONS MOST VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING WILL INCLUDE THE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST FROM BOSTON TO PLYMOUTH AND CAPE COD FROM
PROVINCETOWN SOUTH TO MONUMENT BEACH.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SWELLS WILL STILL CONTINUE
TO TRAVEL TOWARD OUR SHORES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...EVEN AS FLORENCE
HEADS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

STRAUSS
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 120233
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1033 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-121000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1033 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVE AND SWELL FROM FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE
WILL RESULT IN SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
ALONG THE CAPE COD NATIONAL SEASHORE FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF
CHATHAM...AND ALSO THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND. SURF UP TO
15 FEET IS LIKELY SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REMAINING COASTLINE FROM WESTPORT TO NEWPORT...WESTERLY
AND BLOCK ISLAND ON THE SOUTH COAST AND FROM PLYMOUTH TO CAPE ANN
AROUND TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...SEAS JUST OFFSHORE
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE HIGH SEAS ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE INCREASINGLY STRONG RIP
CURRENTS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND
SOUTHEAST FACING BEACHES ANYWHERE ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY WITH
THE HIGH WAVES COMING ASHORE.

NEAR GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KTS WILL RESULT IN A
STORM SURGE NEAR 1 FOOT THROUGH TUESDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE.
LOCATIONS MOST VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING WILL INCLUDE THE
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COAST FROM BOSTON TO PLYMOUTH AND CAPE COD
FROM PROVINCETOWN SOUTH TO MONUMENT BEACH.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 550 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH SWELLS WILL STILL
CONTINUE TO TRAVEL TOWARD OUR SHORES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...EVEN
AS FLORENCE HEADS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

KJC
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 120854
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
454 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-122045-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
454 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVE AND SWELL FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL
RESULT IN SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT TODAY ALONG THE CAPE COD
NATIONAL SEASHORE FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF CHATHAM...AND ALSO
THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND. SURF UP TO 15 FEET IS LIKELY
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET BY THIS AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REMAINING COASTLINE FROM WESTPORT TO NEWPORT...WESTERLY
AND BLOCK ISLAND ON THE SOUTH COAST AND FROM PLYMOUTH TO CAPE ANN
AROUND TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...SEAS JUST OFFSHORE
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FEET TODAY.

THESE HIGH SEAS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
BEACHES ANYWHERE ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
RHODE ISLAND. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THE HIGH WAVES 
COMING ASHORE.

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS...ALONG WITH THE LONG DURATION OF
WINDS COMING ONSHORE OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...WILL RESULT IN A
STORM SURGE NEAR 1 FOOT THROUGH TODAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS MOST
VULNERABLE TO COASTAL FLOODING WILL INCLUDE THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
COAST FROM BOSTON TO PLYMOUTH AND CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN SOUTH TO
MONUMENT BEACH.

HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL MAKE HER CLOSEST APPROACH ABOUT 500 MILES
EAST OF NANTUCKET LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH SWELLS WILL STILL
CONTINUE TO TRAVEL TOWARD OUR SHORES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY...EVEN AS
FLORENCE HEADS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND...THEN WILL VERY
SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

VALLIER-TALBOT
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 122033
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
433 PM EDT TUE SEP 12 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019>024-RIZ006>008-131000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
433 PM EDT TUE SEP 12 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY
FOR ALL OF COASTAL SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND WAVE AND SWELL FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE
WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FT TONIGHT ALONG THE CAPE
COD NATIONAL SEASHORE FROM WELLFLEET TO THE EAST OF CHATHAM...AND
ALSO THE EAST SHORES OF NANTUCKET ISLAND. SURF UP TO 12 FEET WILL
CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET TONIGHT.

THE REMAINING COASTLINE FROM WESTPORT TO NEWPORT...WESTERLY AND
BLOCK ISLAND ON THE SOUTH COAST AND FROM PLYMOUTH TO CAPE ANN AROUND
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER...WILL EXPERIENCE SEAS 5 TO 8
FEET JUST OFFSHORE TONIGHT.

THESE HIGH SEAS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
BEACHES ANYWHERE ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
RHODE ISLAND. BEACH EROSION IS ALSO LIKELY WITH THE HIGH WAVES
COMING ASHORE.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE SURF
ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND EXHAUST AN
INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

EASTERLY SWELL WILL VERY SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE
FLORENCE PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

HEED THE ADVICE OF THE BEACH PATROL AND SWIM ONLY AT GUARDED
BEACHES. WATCH YOUR CHILDREN. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS NEAR PIERS
AND JETTIES WHERE RIP CURRENTS CAN BE ENHANCED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

STRAUSS
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 130826
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
426 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

MAZ020-021-RIZ006>008-130930-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
426 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY. 

THE HIGH SWELLS THAT WERE MOVING INTO THE SOUTH COAST HAVE
SUBSIDED.

$$

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-132100-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
426 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE EAST FACING BEACHES ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD...WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE HIGH SWELLS FROM FORMER HURRICANE FLORENCE.
SWELLS UP TO 6 TO 7 FEET WERE BEING REPORTED FROM EAST OF BOSTON
HARBOR AND CAPE ANN EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH 10 FOOT SWELLS WELL
EAST OF NANTUCKET.

THESE HIGH SWELLS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
BEACHES. THE SWELLS WILL SUBSIDE DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

EASTERLY SWELL WILL VERY SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE
FLORENCE PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

VALLIER-TALBOT
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 131434
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1034 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-132200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1034 AM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE EAST FACING BEACHES ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD...WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE HIGH SWELLS FROM FORMER HURRICANE
FLORENCE. SWELLS UP TO 6 TO 7 FEET WERE STILL BEING REPORTED FROM
EAST OF BOSTON HARBOR AND CAPE ANN LATE THIS MORNING...WITH 8 TO 9 
FOOT SWELLS WELL EAST OF NANTUCKET.

THESE HIGH SWELLS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING
BEACHES. THE SWELLS WILL SUBSIDE DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

A RIP CURRENT...SOMETIMES MISTAKENLY CALLED AN UNDERTOW...IS A
STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENT OF WATER FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE
SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND
EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM AGAINST IT.

EASTERLY SWELL WILL VERY SLOWLY SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY AS HURRICANE
FLORENCE PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

IF YOU ARE A POOR SWIMMER AND ARE CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF ITS PULL. ANOTHER MEANS OF
ESCAPE FOR THOSE WHO ARE GOOD SWIMMERS IS TO RIDE THE CURRENT OUT
BEYOND THE SURF ZONE WHERE THE RIP CURRENT DISSIPATES...THEN SWIM
TOWARD SHORE OUTSIDE THE EFFECT OF THE NARROW RIP CURRENT.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO SWIM BACK TO SHORE DIRECTLY AGAINST THE
CURRENT...IT CAN EXHAUST AND DROWN EVEN THE STRONGEST SWIMMER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO OR
TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS ADVISORY.

$$

FRANK/EVT
000 
WHUS41 KBOX 131957
CFWBOX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
357 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024-132200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060913T2200Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
357 PM EDT WED SEP 13 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME AT 6 PM.
THIS HIGH SEAS FROM WHAT WAS FORMERLY HURRICANE FLORENCE CONTINUED
TO DIMINISH...AS THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED VERY FAR AWAY FROM THE REGION.
THEREFORE...THE ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE ON TIME AT 6 PM.

$$

FRANK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high surf advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf advisory went out at Sep 10, 5:15 AM EDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 5:15 AM EDT, 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
515 AM EDT SUN SEP 10 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
COLD FRONT HAS PASSED OFF THE SOUTH COAST EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH
LOW CLOUDS OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE DISSIPATING.  ONLY CLOUDS
SEEN ON IR SATELLITE ARE NEAR THE BERKSHIRES...THEN ALONG THE CAPE
ANN COAST WITH A FEW LEFTOVER CLOUDS NEAR THE ISLANDS AT 08Z.
DEWPOINTS ALSO DROPPING FAIRLY QUICKLY...ALREADY INTO THE UPPER 40S
OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SHORT RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH MOVEMENT AND
DISSIPATION OF THE COLD FRONT OFF THE COAST...THEN THE LARGE CHILLY
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHEAST OUT OF WESTERN QUEBEC. THIS WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER PICTURE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AND BEYOND.
ONLY QUESTION AT THIS POINT WILL BE IF ANY CLOUDS HANG AROUND THIS
MORNING...THEN HOW CHILLY THE OVERNIGHT LOWS GO TONIGHT.  WITH
LOWERING DEWPOINTS AND DIMINISHING WINDS INLAND...COULD SEE GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING.  MOS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPPER 30S FOR CHESHIRE
COUNTY NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO WESTERN FRANKLIN AND HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES.
AT THIS POINT...HAVE HELD OFF ON ISSUING FROST ADVISORIES...THOUGH
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A MID 30 READING OR TWO FROM THERE
MONDAY MORNING.  USED A BLEND OF THE MAV AND MET MOS GUIDANCE FOR
THE TEMPS THROUGH MONDAY.

ONLY OTHER PROBLEM WILL BE AN INCREASING NORTHEAST WIND ALONG THE
COAST AS HURRICANE FLORENCE MAKES HER CLOSEST APPROACH LATER
MONDAY...AND THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE STORM AND THE
HIGH BUILDING INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
ON NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD...REACHING TO THE OUTER CAPE BY
MONDAY EVENING...BUT SHOULD ONLY SEE WINDS TO 25 MPH OR SO.  HAVE
ALSO PUT UP A HIGH SURF ADVISORY...SEE THE MARINE SECTION FOR
DETAILS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
QUIET WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
CONTROL. MAIN CONCERNS FOR THE FORECAST ARE THE EFFECTS OF FLORENCE
ON TUESDAY AND THE ONSET OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY. OVERALL
WE FAVORED THE GFS/MAV GRID VALUES.

NAM AND GFS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT OVER NEW ENGLAND REGARDING SURFACE
PRESSURE AND WINDS. THE NAM HAS A MORE EXPANSIVE NORTHERLY FLOW WEST
OF FLORENCE...WHICH IS FORECAST SOUTH OF CAPE BRETON ISLAND AT THE
TIME...WHICH PUSHES THE UPPER AND SURFACE RIDGES FARTHER WEST INTO
NY/PA. THE GFS KEEPS FLORENCE FARTHER EAST AND BUILDS THE SURFACE AND
UPPER RIDGES OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE 00Z GLOBAL FAVORS THE GFS OVER THE
NAM. WE WILL GO CLOSE TO THE GFS ON THIS PLACEMENT.

TIME SECTIONS OF RH FROM THE GFS SHOW ENOUGH DRY AIR AT 800-850 MB TO
INTERCEPT ANY ATTEMPT AT RAIN IN THE CT VALLEY BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH
THE BEST SUPPORT FOR SHOWERS COMING AFTER 12Z THURSDAY. WILL ADJUST
POPS TO BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO OUR FAR WEST TOWARD MIDNIGHT
AND TO THE EASTERN ZONES AROUND 10Z THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
AS DEWPOINTS DROP...EXPECT ANY PATCHY FOG TO DISSIPATE.  LOW CLOUDS
OVER SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE APPEAR TO BE DISSIPATING AS WELL...SO
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
IN THE SHORT TERM...BRIEF INCREASE OF WIND WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION
AND PRESSURE SURGE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING.  MAY
SEE A BRIEF GUST OF WIND TO 25 KT...MAINLY ON THE EASTERN WATERS.
SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT...JUST TO INCREASE AGAIN FROM S-N...MAINLY
SOUTH OF PROVINCETOWN IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF HURRICANE
FLORENCE AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH THE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE NORTH.  HAVE HOISTED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL EXCEPT BOSTON
HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY BY MONDAY.  ALSO NOTED THAT THE SEAS
WILL BE MAINLY IN SE-E SWELLS.

NOTING THAT THE SWELLS ARE STARTING TO MOVE INTO OUR FARTHEST
SOUTHEAST OUTER WATERS.  BUOY 44018...EAST OF NANTUCKET...REPORTING
2-3 FOOT SWELL WITH 12-13 SECOND PERIOD.  THIS...ALONG WITH WNA
WAVEWATCH HURRICANE MODEL SUGGESTING A STEADY INCREASE THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AND PROPAGATING NORTHWESTWARD...DECIDED TO PUT UP A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY STARTING THIS AFTERNOON.  LOCAL RESEARCH SUGGESTS ONLY
NEED 3 FOOT OFFSHORE SWELL TO GENERATE HIGH SURF INTO THE COAST...
ALONG WITH POTENTIAL RIP CURRENTS. WILL KEEP THIS GOING THROUGH THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AS WE ALSO HAVE HIGHER THAN
NORMAL TIDES DUE TO JUST PAST FULL MOON. COULD ALSO HAVE AN
ADDITIONAL NORTHEAST WIND WAVE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST GENERATING EVEN
HIGHER SEAS DURING MONDAY.

SURFS UP MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY AS FLORENCE MAKES HER CLOSEST APPROACH
TO NEW ENGLAND SOME 500 MILES OFFSHORE. NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE
WATERS TOP OUT AROUND 25-30 KTS MONDAY NIGHT...THEN DIMINISH
TUESDAY AS FLORENCE MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NORTH ATLANTIC
HURRICANE MODEL SHOWS THE SOUTHEAST SWELL COMPONENT OF THE SEAS
PEAKING AT 4 FEET MONDAY NIGHT AND SUBSIDING TUESDAY...BUT NORTHEAST
WIND WAVES EVOLVING INTO A LONGER PERIOD SWELL BEFORE PEAKING ON
TUESDAY.

WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR MAZ007-015-016-019>024 FROM 2 PM SUNDAY
     TO 8 PM TUESDAY.
NH...NONE.
RI...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR RIZ006>008 FROM 2 PM SUNDAY TO 8 PM
     TUESDAY.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ231-234 FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO
     6 AM TUESDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ232-233-235-237 FROM 8 PM SUNDAY
     TO 6 AM TUESDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ250-254-255 FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO
     6 AM TUESDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...EVT
MARINE...EVT/WTB
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 4:52 PM EDT, 12 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
452 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2006

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>008-101051-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BRISTOL-
BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-NORTHERN WORCESTER-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-VINEYARD SOUND-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-
WESTERN NORFOLK-WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
452 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL
DIMINISH TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND SUNSET AS THEY PASS THROUGH
SOUTH CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTH
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT.  THERE MAY BE ONE OR 2 CELLS THAT PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL OR A POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OF 50 MPH IN THE WEST HALF OF
MASSACHUSETTS OR NORTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT.

THE THREAT OF ANY LIGHTNING SHOULD BE COMPLETELY ENDED AROUND 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
EAST OR SOUTHEAST SWELL FROM HURRICANE FLORENCE WILL REACH THE NEW
ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS SOMETIME SUNDAY AND GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
MIDDAY TUESDAY.  MAXIMUM COMBINED SEAS...THAT IS A WIND WAVE ON TOP
OF AT LEAST A 9 FOOT EASTERLY SWELL...SHOULD TOP OUT BETWEEN 10 AND
15 FEET IN THE OCEAN EXPOSED MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS... LESSER
SEAS IN THE OCEAN EXPOSED RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

HIGHEST SEAS SHOULD OCCUR TUESDAY THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY.

HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY HEADLINE CONCERNS
MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS
COAST...ESPECIALLY OUTER CAPE...AND NANTUCKET.

THE SWELL SHOULD COMBINE WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND AT LEAST
A HALF FOOT STORM SURGE TO CAUSE SPLASHOVER WITHIN AN HOUR EITHER
SIDE OF THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS AND BEACH EROSION COULD BE SIGNIFICANT ALONG THE
MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE EARLY THIS COMING WEEK.

THE ABOVE CONCERNS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY ARE PREDICATED ON FLORENCE
BECOMING A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS CURRENTLY PREDICTED...AND
TRACKING ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF NANTUCKET TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WHILE SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THE REMAINDER OF TODAY
SINCE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS..THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOES APPRECIATE ANY SPOTTER REPORTS OF
DAMAGING WIND OR HAIL THROUGH SUNSET.

SPOTTERS ON THE OUTER CAPE AND NANTUCKET MAY BE ABLE TO PROVIDE
VALUABLE OCEAN RELATED WEATHER ASSISTANCE MONDAY AND TUESDAY...
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

DRAG

Nearby

High Surf Advisories in Massachusetts, 2006High Surf Advisories in Rhode Island, 2006Every high surf advisory in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.