Alert archive / Massachusetts / Flood Watches in 2006

Flood Watch 9, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

November 16, 20064 states

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this flood watch at Nov 16, 2006, 3:26 AM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Nov 16, 2006, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 16, 2006, 3:26 AM EST (08:26 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 16, 2006, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 17, 2006, 3:16 AM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA
Flood severity
None

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2006-11-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2006-11-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
906 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS61 KBOX 160826
FFABOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
326 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE COD FOR LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO CANADA BY FRIDAY. IT WILL SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN
IS LIKELY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING
WHICH WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-
161700-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0300Z-061117T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...
JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
326 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL 
  MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND 
  AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT 
  IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA AND SOUTHERN 
  WORCESTER MA IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA 
  IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN 
  HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...
  WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA IN SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN 
  AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH IN NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL 
  RI...EASTERN KENT RI...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI...SOUTHEAST 
  PROVIDENCE RI AND WESTERN KENT RI IN SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...
  NEWPORT RI AND WASHINGTON RI.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT
  MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL IN A SHORT
  PERIOD OF TIME WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE IN A
  6 HOUR PERIOD.

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLOODING. THE HEAVY
  RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET
  FLOODING.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

MAZ005>007-013>016-161700-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0600Z-061117T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY
326 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN 
  MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN NORFOLK MA IN 
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...SOUTHEAST 
  MIDDLESEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND WESTERN NORFOLK MA IN NORTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX MA.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD
  FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL IN A
  SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
  POSSIBLE IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD.

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLOODING. THE HEAVY
  RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET
  FLOODING.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

KJC
4 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS61 KBOX 161655
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1155 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
EXCEPT SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE COD FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO CANADA BY FRIDAY. IT WILL SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. A PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WHICH WILL INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-
170100-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0300Z-061117T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...
JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
1155 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND 
  SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT 
  IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA AND SOUTHERN 
  WORCESTER MA IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA 
  IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN 
  HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...
  WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA IN SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN 
  AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH IN CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL 
  RI...EASTERN KENT RI AND WESTERN KENT RI IN NORTHERN RHODE 
  ISLAND...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI AND SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI 
  IN SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...NEWPORT RI AND WASHINGTON RI.

* FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO VERY EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. GENERAL 1
  TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL CAUSE SHARP WITHIN BANK
  RISES OF SMALL STREAMS AND POSSIBLY POCKETS OF SMALL STREAM
  FLOODING.

* THE HEAVY RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE
  STREET FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS ARE CLOGGED
  WITH LEAVES.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

MAZ005>007-013>016-170100-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0600Z-061117T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY
1155 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EASTERN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...
  SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND WESTERN NORFOLK MA IN 
  NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX 
  MA.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD 
  FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL IN 
  A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD. 

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLOODING. THE HEAVY
  RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET
  FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS ARE CLOGGED WITH
  LEAVES.  

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$


DRAG
000 
WGUS61 KBOX 162056
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
356 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT
SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE COD LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO CANADA BY FRIDAY. IT WILL SWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY FRIDAY. A PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL INCREASE
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-
170500-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0300Z-061117T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...
JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
356 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND 
  SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT 
  IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA AND SOUTHERN 
  WORCESTER MA IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA 
  IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN 
  HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...
  WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA IN SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN 
  AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH IN CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL 
  RI...EASTERN KENT RI AND WESTERN KENT RI IN NORTHERN RHODE 
  ISLAND...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI AND SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI 
  IN SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...NEWPORT RI AND WASHINGTON RI.

* FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO 
  VERY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE 
  REGION. GENERAL 1 TO 3 INCH AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL 
  CAUSE SHARP WITHIN BANK RISES OF SMALL STREAMS AND POSSIBLY 
  POCKETS OF SMALL STREAM FLOODING. 

* THE HEAVY RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE 
  STREET FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS ARE CLOGGED 
  WITH LEAVES. 

* EVEN AFTER THE RAIN ENDS BEFORE DAWN...RIVERS WILL BE RISING FOR AN
  ADDITIONAL FEW HOURS UNTIL ALL THE RUNOFF HAS MOVED THROUGH THE
  SMALL STREAM BASINS.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

MAZ005>007-013>016-170500-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0600Z-061117T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY
356 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EASTERN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...
  SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND WESTERN NORFOLK MA IN 
  NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX 
  MA.

* FROM 1 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD 
  FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL IN 
  A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE IN A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD. 

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
  RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE FLOODING. THE HEAVY
  RAIN WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING...
  ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS ARE CLOGGED WITH LEAVES.

* EVEN AFTER THE RAIN ENDS NEAR DAYBREAK...RIVERS WILL BE RISING FOR
  AN ADDITIONAL FEW HOURS UNTIL ALL THE RUNOFF HAS MOVED THROUGH THE
  SMALL STREAM BASINS.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

DRAG
000 
WGUS61 KBOX 170334
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1034 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
EXCEPT SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE COD LATE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
MOVE NORTH INTO CANADA BY FRIDAY. IT WILL SWING A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY. A PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL
OCCUR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...
WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-
171145-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-061117T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...
JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
1034 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...
  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND 
  SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...HARTFORD CT...TOLLAND CT AND WINDHAM CT 
  IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN WORCESTER MA AND SOUTHERN 
  WORCESTER MA IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA 
  IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN FRANKLIN MA...EASTERN 
  HAMPDEN MA...EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA...WESTERN FRANKLIN MA...
  WESTERN HAMPDEN MA AND WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA IN SOUTHERN NEW 
  HAMPSHIRE...CHESHIRE NH...EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH AND WESTERN 
  AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH IN CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...BRISTOL 
  RI...EASTERN KENT RI AND WESTERN KENT RI IN NORTHERN RHODE 
  ISLAND...NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI AND SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI 
  IN SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND...NEWPORT RI AND WASHINGTON RI.

* UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY

* A 3 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO VERY
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
  RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED...AND AREAS OF TWO TO
  THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL CAUSE SHARP WITHIN BANK RISES
  OF SMALL STREAMS AND POSSIBLY POCKETS OF SMALL STREAM FLOODING.

* THE HEAVY RAIN FALL WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE 
  STREET FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS ARE CLOGGED 
  WITH LEAVES. 

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

MAZ005>007-013>016-171145-
/O.CON.KBOX.FA.A.0009.061117T0600Z-061117T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY
1034 PM EST THU NOV 16 2006

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EASTERN 
  MASSACHUSETTS...CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...
  SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND WESTERN NORFOLK MA IN 
  NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN ESSEX MA AND WESTERN ESSEX 
  MA.

* THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON

* HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT
  MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL IN A PERIOD OF
  3 TO 6 HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED...WITH AREAS OF TWO TO THREE INCH RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

* THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD WILL RESULT IN 
  SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS WHICH MAY PRODUCE 
  FLOODING. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR 
  DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING... ESPECIALLY WHERE DRAINAGE BASINS 
  ARE CLOGGED WITH LEAVES. 

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

$$

WTB
000 
WGUS61 KBOX 170816
FFABOX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
316 AM EST FRI NOV 17 2006


CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>007-
170930-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-061117T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...AYER...
JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
316 AM EST FRI NOV 17 2006

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...NORTHERN RHODE
ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

RAINFALL OF GENERALLY THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH TO ONE AND ONE HALF
INCHES CAUSED CONSIDERABLE RISES IN SMALL STREAMS OVERNIGHT BUT WAS
NOT QUITE ENOUGH RAINFALL TO CAUSE ANYTHING OTHER THAN POOR DRAINAGE 
STREET FLOODING.



$$

MAZ005>007-013>016-170930-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-061117T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY
316 AM EST FRI NOV 17 2006

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

DESPITE ONGOING PREDAWN RAINFALL...FINAL OVERNIGHT AMOUNTS BY DAYBREAK
SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN ONE HALF INCH AND 1.5 INCHES. WHILE THIS HAS CAUSED
PONDING OF WATER IN LEAF CLOGGED POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND RAPID RISES
OF SMALL STREAMS...A MORE SERIOUS FLOOD EVENT IS NOT EXPECTED. 

RAIN IS FORECAST TO TAPER OFF BETWEEN 7 AM AND 9 AM.


$$
DRAG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Nov 15, 9:51 PM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 9:51 PM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
951 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
UPDATED FCST SENT.  WE CONTINUED WITH CHC POPS FOR W ZONES AS AREA
OF RAIN TO THE WEST MAY SKIRT THIS REGION OVERNIGHT.  LOWERED POPS
TO SLGT CHC FOR SE ZONES BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS NOT SHOWING
MUCH OVER THE OCEAN OTHER THAN A FEW ISOLD SHOWERS S OF ACK.  NAM
AND RGEM SUGGESTING SOME SHOWERS SE COASTAL ZONES OVERNIGHT AND THIS
IS STILL POSSIBLE BUT COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED.  WE CONTINUED WITH
PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE GIVEN ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MSTR.

ANOTHER MILD NIGHT WITH TEMPS REMAINING IN 50S.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 644 PM EST WED NOV 15 2006/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
FORECAST THROUGH 12Z FRI WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON THE
12Z NAM/RGEM/GGEM/UKMET THO BLENDED WITH THE FASTER 12Z GFS/ECMWF
BTWN 06Z AND 12Z FRIDAY WHEN IT WAS HANDED OFF TO THE LONG TERM.

TONIGHT...SCT SHOWERS SE PTN OF THE FA SINCE MIDDAY WILL CONT
TONIGHT.  FAVOR THE RGEM/GGEM SOLN OF SE NEW ENGLAND MEAS TONIGHT.
DRIZZLE/FOG GETS GOING LATER ON IN PATCHES...ESP RI/SE MA AND
HIGH ATOP ORH.

THURSDAY...SCT SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH PATCHY DRIZZLE/FOG...
LIFTING MIDDAY.  NEW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP IN THE W DURING THE AFTN.

THU NIGHT...HEAVY SHOWERS IN SLY JET DEVELOP W OF A PVD-FIT LINE
DURING THE NIGHT.  INCREASING WIND BUT OUR MIXING/GUST TOOLS ARE
CONSERVATIVE. STILL AN INVERSION OF SORTS WILL PROBABLY LIMIT THE
GUSTINESS.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE GFS AND NAM ARE SIMILAR IN OVERALL STRUCTURE OF THE STORM SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT...BUT DIFFER ON TIMING. WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WE FAVOR THE SLOWER NAM TIMING FOR COLD FROPA. THIS BRINGS THE
FRONT THROUGH DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

THE COMBINATION OF A GOOD SOUTHERLY JET AT LOW LEVELS...60 KTS AT
950 MB...AND AN OVERHEAD RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE 140 KT UPPER
JET WILL SUPPORT STRONG LIFT WITH THIS FRONT.  THIS MAY BE ENOUGH
FOR SCATTERED THUNDER WITH THE FRONT.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
FORECAST EVEN A TAD HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...UP TO NEAR
1.75 INCHES...SO LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN
WITH OVERALL RAINFALL EXPECTED IN THE 1-2 INCH RANGE WITH ISOLATED
2-3 INCH AMOUNTS WITHIN REASON.  FORECAST WINDS JUST OFF THE DECK
CONTINUE TO REACH 60 KNOTS. BUT THE TEMPERATURE INVERSION PROFILE
AND TIME OF YEAR SUGGEST DIFFICULTY IN BRINGING THIS DOWN.  SO WE
MAY GET AROUND 50 PCT OF THE WIND VALUE IN GUSTS...GUSTS AROUND 30
KTS WILL BE INCLUDED IN THE GRIDS.

THE WEEKEND LOOKS QUIET FOR THE MOST PART.  SOME COLD AIR STRATOCU
IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY BUT OTHERWISE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SATURDAY-SUNDAY WITH A COOLING TREND.

THE CONCERN FOR EARLY THANKSGIVING WEEK IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A WAVE
DEVELOPING ON THE OFFSHORE COLD FRONT...AND THEN MOVING UP THE COAST
TO THREATEN EAST OR SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF OUR AREA.  THE 12Z GLOBAL
HAS A WAVE LURKING OFF HATTERAS AT 12Z TUESDAY...THE 00Z ECMWF HINTS
AT ONE WELL OFF THE MID ATLANTIC 00Z WEDNESDAY.  WE WILL HAVE 15-30
PCT POPS TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHEST VALUES OVER THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS.

AVIATION...
VFR NE 2/3 RDS OF THE FA AT 23Z WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS REMAINDER. LIFR
CIGS SPREADING NWD WITH DRIZZLE FOG ALREADY ON LI. THE IFR/LIFR CONDS
THAT DVLP DURING THE NIGHT FM SW TO NE WILL LIFT A BIT TOMORROW
DURING MIDDAY BUT STILL BLV IFR IS THE PRIMARY PREDICTION AT ALL TAF
SITES.  PLS SEE 18Z AND/OR AMENDED TAFS FOR DETAILS AND THE NEW
SET OF 00Z TAFS.

ADDITIONALLY...OUTLOOKING THU NIGHT...VSBYS SHOULD COME UP AS WIND
INCREASES. SHOWERY IFR RAINS THU NIGHT WITH ISO T POSSIBLE.

MARINE...
SCA INITIALLY FOR SEAS HAS BEEN EXTENDED THRU THU.  THEN THU NIGHT
IN SEGMENTS 2/3...ADDED SCA FOR WIND AND SEAS TO REMAINING
PORTIONS OF THE WATERS.  ATTM GALE IS POSSIBLE BUT OUR G ALG TOOLS
SUGGEST TOO MUCH INVERSION. I ADDED 5 KTS OF GUSTS TO OUR NAM BASED
MIXG HTS/WIND GUST ALG. STILL GENERALLY BLO GALE ATTM BUT CONFIDENCE
ON NO GALE IN OUR SRN WATERS IS LOWER THAN NORMAL.

MAIN CONCERN FRIDAY IS FOR WIND GUSTS IN ANY HEAVIER DOWNPOURS.  AS
NOTED IN THE PUBLIC SECTION WE ARE EXPECTING STRONG WINDS JUST OFF
THE SURFACE BUT NOT AT THE SURFACE.  SOUTH WINDS OF 55-60 KTS ARE
EXPECTED AROUND 2000 FEET WITH 50 KTS DOWN TO 1000 FEET ABOVE THE
SURFACE.  THE QUESTION IS...HOW MUCH GETS ALL THE WAY TO THE
SURFACE.  IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WOULD BE TOO COOL NEAR THE
SURFACE TO ALLOW ALL THAT WIND TO WORK DOWN...EVEN IN A HEAVY
SHOWER.  FOR NOW WE WILL GO WITH AROUND 50 PERCENT OF THAT HIGH WIND
IN GUSTS...AROUND 30 KNOTS OR IN THE LOW 30S.

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST AND
DIMINISH INTO THE TEENS...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND.
SEAS START QUITE ROUGH ON FRIDAY WITH VALUES NEAR A FOOT ON THE
OUTER WATERS...THEN DIMINISH OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE OUTER WATERS
DROPPING BELOW 5 FEET SUNDAY NIGHT.

HYDROLOGY...
WE ARE ANTICIPATING 1-2 INCHES WITH THIS NEXT STORM WITH MOST OF THE
WATER COMING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
HAVE RISEN FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS TO AROUND 1.75 INCHES...SO IT IS
POSSIBLE WE MAY HAVE RAINFALL A FEW SPOTS IN THE 2 TO 2.5 INCH RANGE.
LONGER TERM FLOOD INDICES ARE GENERALLY 2-3 INCHES WITH LOWEST VALUES
IN THE NORTHWEST. SO LOOK TO BE OUTSIDE THE PRIME FLOOD POTENTIAL.
THE MAIN CONCERN WOULD BE POOR DRAINAGE PONDING...INCLUDING STREET
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE FALLEN LEAVES HAVE GATHERED. WE WILL
HOLD OFF ON ANY FLOOD POTENTIAL STATEMENTS FOR NOW...BUT CLOSELY
MONITOR THIS SITUATION.

PAST EVENT ASSESSMENT FOR NEAR FUTURE USE AND WEB ENTRY...
ADDING UP THE AVBL RFALL DATA FM 1 AM SUNDAY MORNING THRU 7 AM THIS
MORNING...HEAVIEST AMTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OCCURRED N MA AND
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY OF S CENTRAL NH. A NUMBER OF 2 TO 2.4 INCHES
OCCURRED FM PEPPERELL E AND NE INTO ESSEX COUNTY MASS AND ASH-MHT.

WEBENTRY YEARLY REPORT OF 63.64 VCNTY GOFFSTOWN NH IS A GOOD FIT
FOR YEARLY RFALL ESTIMATE BY THE NWS RADARS.

EQUIPMENT...
NWS AT CAMP EDWARDS IS OFF THE AIR THROUGH THE NIGHT. A TECH WILL
REVISIT THIS SITE THURSDAY.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ235-237-250-254-255 UNTIL 5 AM
     FRIDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ234 FROM 8 PM THURSDAY TO 5 AM
     FRIDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ230>233-236 FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
     TO 5 AM FRIDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...KJC
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 3:50 AM EST, 23 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
350 AM EST WED NOV 15 2006

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-161000-
BARNSTABLE-BLOCK ISLAND-BRISTOL-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY-CHESHIRE-
DUKES-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN HAMPDEN-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH-EASTERN KENT-EASTERN NORFOLK-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH-HARTFORD-NANTUCKET-NEWPORT-NORTHERN BRISTOL-
NORTHERN WORCESTER-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE-SOUTHERN BRISTOL-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH-SOUTHERN WORCESTER-SUFFOLK-TOLLAND-WASHINGTON-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN FRANKLIN-
WESTERN HAMPDEN-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE-WESTERN KENT-WESTERN NORFOLK-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH-WINDHAM-
350 AM EST WED NOV 15 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...CENTRAL RHODE ISLAND...
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.  A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH MAY RESULT IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE STREET
FLOODING.

IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ANZ230>237-250-254-255-270-161000-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-BOSTON HARBOR-BUZZARDS BAY-CAPE COD BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NANTUCKET MA TO MARTHAS VINEYARD MA TO BLOCK
ISLAND RI TO MONTAUK NY SOUTHEAST TO 20NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-NANTUCKET SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
VINEYARD SOUND-
WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA TO WATCH HILL RI FROM 25 TO 40 NM-
350 AM EST WED NOV 15 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS...MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING MAY APPROACH
GALE FORCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

KJC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 3:36 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Providence, Washington5 hr
Nov 16, 3:51 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBOXNewport, Washington15 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Massachusetts, 2006Flood Watches in Rhode Island, 2006Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2006Every flood watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.