Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006

Winter Storm Warning 12, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

December 19, 200622 counties in Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this winter storm warning at Dec 19, 2006, 4:11 AM MST for 22 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Dec 19, 2006, 12:10 PM MST. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 19, 2006, 4:11 AM MST (11:11 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 19, 2006, 12:10 PM MST
Expired
Dec 21, 2006, 12:00 PM MST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
All 22 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Clear Creek County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Gilpin County, CO, Grand County, CO, Jackson County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Park County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Summit County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2006-12-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2006-12-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 65 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1381 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 18, 3:30 PM MST, 12 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 3:30 PM MST, 12 hours 41 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 11:29 AM MST, 16 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1129 AM MST MON DEC 18 2006

COZ030>051-191300-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1129 AM MST MON DEC 18 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN
FOOTHILLS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY A LIGHT DUSTING EXPECTED.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. LIGHT SNOW WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS PARK...SUMMIT AND
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO
2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG WARM ADVECTION OCCURS TOMORROW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WHICH
SHOULD BRING AT LEAST A BAND OF SNOW NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA.
MORE PERSISTENT SNOW IS EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS
WHERE SOUTHERLY FLOW IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR PRECIPITATION.  FROM
DENVER-FORT COLLINS...SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF THE PALMER DIVIDE
USUALLY WINS OUT OVER PRECIP SO EXPECT ONLY A BRIEF SHOT OF PRECIP
ON THE NOSE OF WARM ADVECTION.  THIS IS SHOWN NICELY IN THE 300K
ISENTROPIC PRESSURE ADVECTION FIELD.

BY TUESDAY NIGHT...MORE EMPHASIS ON THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER LOW
AND ASSOCIATED Q-G VERTICAL MOTION WILL COME INTO PLAY.  AS A
RESULT...HAVE KEPT BEST POPS ON THE EASTERN PLAINS AND IN THE
MOUNTAINS WHERE THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED LIFT AND LACK OF
DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTHEASTERN COLORADO FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY
MORNING AS STRONG WINDS COMBINE WITH POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOW ASSOCIATED
WITH WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION.  WHILE THE I-25 CORRIDOR COULD SEE
LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION IF SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINS
OUT.  SAME GOES FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SYSTEM PULLS
OUT TO THE NORTHEAST AND FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHWESTERLY.

OVERALL...THE MOUNTAINS AND FAR EASTERN PLAINS SEEM MOST FAVORED FOR
HEAVIER SNOW GIVEN THE LATEST MODEL TRENDS.  IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED
THAT IF THE UPPER LOW IS SLOWER...AND THERE IS NOT MUCH EVIDENCE OF
A STRONG UPSTREAM KICKER TO PUSH IT ALONG...THEN MORE SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL WOULD OCCUR CLOSER TO THE I-25 CORRIDOR.  STILL A LOT OF
QUESTIONS AS IS USUAL WITH THESE TYPES OF SYSTEMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

D-L/JK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 19, 12:10 PM MSTBlizzard WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas and 10 more48 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.