Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Clear Creek County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Gilpin County, CO, Grand County, CO, Jackson County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Park County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Summit County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO

000 
WWUS85 KBOU 142155
RFWBOU

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
355 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

COZ211>218-238>251-150300-
/O.CAN.KBOU.FW.A.0011.060615T1800Z-060616T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBOU.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-060615T0300Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER...WALDEN...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...PUMA HILLS...
TARRYALL MOUNTAINS...WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK...
DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE...
GREEN MOUNTAIN RESERVOIR...HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING...
MIDDLE PARK...WILLIAMS FORK RESERVOIR...
ELEVEN MILE CANYON RESERVOIR...FAIRPLAY...GUFFEY...HARTSEL...
LAKE GEORGE...SOUTH PARK...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...
LARAMIE RIVER VALLEY...NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...
CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...
NORTHERN RAMPART RANGE...TARRYALL...WESTCREEK...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...FORT COLLINS...
HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...WEST PAWNEE GRASSLANDS...ARVADA...
BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...
CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...
LITTLETON...PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...
LARKSPUR...BRIGGSDALE...EAST PAWNEE GRASSLANDS...GROVER...
PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...FORT LUPTON...
GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...
BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...
MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...CROOK...
MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS...
JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
355 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9
PM MDT THIS EVENING.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF
5 TO 15 PERCENT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH WILL PRODUCE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.

MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND SHIFT THE WIND DIRECTION TO A MORE WEST NORTHWEST
DIRECTION. IN ADDITION WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE SOME AS WELL BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASE IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
COLORADO LATE TONIGHT WITH SURFACE WINDS BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY BY
THURSDAY MORNING.

MEANWHILE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THURSDAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED
AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER ALONG WITH HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES. IN ADDITION WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL BE LIGHTER AS WELL.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE
OFFICIALS AND FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KBOU 150311
RFWBOU

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
911 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006


COZ211>218-238>251-150415-
/O.EXP.KBOU.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-060615T0300Z/
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...GOULD...NORTH PARK...RAND...SPICER...WALDEN...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...PUMA HILLS...
TARRYALL MOUNTAINS...WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK...
DILLON...FRASER...GRANBY...GRAND LAKE...
GREEN MOUNTAIN RESERVOIR...HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS...KREMMLING...
MIDDLE PARK...WILLIAMS FORK RESERVOIR...
ELEVEN MILE CANYON RESERVOIR...FAIRPLAY...GUFFEY...HARTSEL...
LAKE GEORGE...SOUTH PARK...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...
LARAMIE RIVER VALLEY...NEDERLAND...RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...
CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...
NORTHERN RAMPART RANGE...TARRYALL...WESTCREEK...
EAST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...GORE PASS...
RABBIT EARS PASS...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...FORT COLLINS...
HEREFORD...LOVELAND...NUNN...WEST PAWNEE GRASSLANDS...ARVADA...
BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...
CITY OF DENVER...DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...
LITTLETON...PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...FONDIS...KIOWA...
LARKSPUR...BRIGGSDALE...EAST PAWNEE GRASSLANDS...GROVER...
PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...FORT LUPTON...
GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...
BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...
MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...CROOK...
MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS...
JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
911 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A COLD FRONT WAS
MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
DECREASE AS WELL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
300 AM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

.SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR SHOWING RIDGE ALOFT SHIFTING
EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS THE WEST COAST TROF PUSHES
INLAND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A STRONGER SW FLOW MOVING INTO THE AREA
AND AS LOWER LAYERS WARM...THIS DRIER AND STRONGER SOUTHWEST FLOW
WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WIND SPEEDS OF 20-35 MPH WILL RESULT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTN AS DEWPOINTS DROP SIGNIFICANTLY.
700MB TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR +19C AND COUPLED WITH THE STRONG SW
WINDS...SFC TEMPS WILL BE NEAR 100 DEGREES TODAY ACROSS LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THE RECORD FOR DENVER IS 99 TODAY AND IF WE REACH 100
DEGREES IT WILL BE THE EARLIEST TIME IN THE YEAR WE HAVE REACHED 100
DEGREES IN DENVERS HISTORY. THE CURRENT FIRST 100 DEGREE DAY IS
JUNE 23RD SET IN 1954. FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS...THE ENTIRE AREA
WILL BE UNDER A RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTN/EVENING. MINIMUM RH
LEVELS WILL BE UNDER 15% EVERYWHERE AND UNDER 10 PERCENT OVER THE
FRONT RANGE. COUPLED WITH THE STRONG SFC WNDS...LOW RH...AND
ISOLATED TS...ALL INGREDIENTS ARE THERE FOR MAJOR FIRE WX CONCERNS
TODAY.

AS FOR CONVECTION TODAY...THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE ABOVE
550MB COUPLED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES TO GENERATE ISOLATED HIGH BASED
STORMS LATER THIS AFTN AND EVENING. MAYHAPS SLIGHTLY HIGHER COVERAGE
FURTHER EAST AS MSTR THERE A BIT DEEPER. SURFACE BASED CAPES OVER
THE FRONT RANGE ONLY AROUND 500J/KG AND A BIT HIGHER FURTHER EAST.
MAIN THREAT WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MICROBURST WIND ACTIVITY WITH THE HIGH BASED
STORMS.

.LONG TERM DISCUSSION...ON THURSDAY...A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BE OVR COLORADO AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET UNDERCUTS
A TROF MOVING THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES.  BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SPIN UP
A SURFACE LOW OVER SERN COLORADO...WHICH MAY MAKE QUITE AN IMPACT ON
NORTHEAST COLORADO....USHERING IN A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY MORNING.  IF THIS SOLUTIONS PANS OUT THEN TEMPERATURES ARE
PROGGED TO BE ONLY IN THE LOWER 80S.  FOR NOW WL SCALE BACK
TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 90.  NEXT SHIFT CAN CUT THE TEMPS FURTHER IF
THE SOLUTION CONTINUES AS ADVERTISED.  GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR RED
FLAG CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AND
PALMER DIVIDE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
EXPECTED TO SETTLE BY THE AFTN.  INTERACTIVE SOUNDINGS SHOW THE
LOWER LEVELS WILL REMAIN DRY IN SPITE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AOA 550 MB IN THE AFTERNOON THEN
LOWER SOMEWHAT ON FRIDAY.  FCST CAPES WILL ONLY RANGE FM 400-800
J/KG...ENUF TO WARRANT ISOLD POPS.  THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE.  ON FRIDAY IT WILL
BE MUCH COOLER AS THE UPPER TROF IS PROGGED TO SLIDE ACROSS
COLORADO.  H7 TEMPERATURES DROP FM AROUND +14C ON THURSDAY TO AROUND
+9C ON FRIDAY.  COOLER AMS OVER THE NERN PLAINS MAY NEGATE ANY
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT WITH THE UPPER TROF MOVING OVER THE
STATE...THE DYNAMICS AND MID LEVEL INSTBY MAY COMPENSATE.  FOR THIS
REASON WL KEEP ISOLD POPS FOR ALL THE CWFA WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR
TSTM ONCE AGAIN ALONG THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AND PALMER DIVIDE
AREAS.  RIDGING ON SATURDAY WILL HELP STABILIZE THE AMS OVER
NORTHEASTERN COLORADO.  ONLY CHANGE WAS TO ADD SOME ISOLD POPS ALONG
THE FRONT RANGE...OTHERWISE WILL LEAVE THE RMNDR OF THE FCST AS IS.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING NOON-9 PM
TODAY...AND NOON UNTIL 9 PM THURSDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 211>218
AND 238>251.

&&

ENTREKIN/COOPER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1121 AM MDT TUE JUN 13 2006

COZ030>051-141200-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1121 AM MDT TUE JUN 13 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AND
PARK COUNTY...ZONES 214 THROUGH 216...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WARM TEMPERATURES...VERY LOW HUMIDITIES...AND
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS AND EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES. THERE IS STILL SOME LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE ON THE PLAINS...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD PREVENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR TO NEAR 100 DEGREES
ACROSS THE URBAN CORRIDOR AND LOWER TO MID 90S ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK.  SOME GUSTY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WHICH WILL KEEP THE FIRE DANGER IN THE
EXTREME CATEGORY.  SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SIFT BACK
INTO THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK...ALLOWING FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS TO RETURN TO THE WEATHER FORECAST.  COOLER WEATHER
WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

GIMMESTAD/046