Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WWUS54 KBMX 182155
SVSBMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
455 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

ALC121-182215-
/O.CON.KBMX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-060418T2215Z/
TALLADEGA AL-
455 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL TALLADEGA COUNTY...

AT 448 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTH OF WALDO...OR ABOUT
9 MILES NORTHEAST OF TALLADEGA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

HAIL LARGER THAN QUARTERS HAS BEEN REPORTED IN MUNFORD WITH THIS 
STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION 
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3359 8590 3353 8586 3351 8586 3350 8591
      3340 8594 3339 8599 3330 8598 3331 8602
      3355 8611 3356 8611 3360 8601

$$

12/SIRMON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
245 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT EXTENDING NORTH TO SOUTH ALONG THE
AL/GA BORDER MAY BE THE FOCUS OF SOME ISOLATED EVENING ACTIVITY.  IN
ADDITION...A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TO OUR NORTHWEST MAY APPROACH THE
EXTREME NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  TO COVER THIS WILL MENTION MAINLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EAST AND NORTH.  COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVES INTO THE AREA BY
LATE AFTERNOON.  THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATES...COLD POCKET AT
500 MILLIBARS AND SOME ADDITIONAL UPPER SUPPORT A FEW STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE. THE PRIMARY THREAT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT TO OUR EAST LATER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT GIVEN MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE A
THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP ANY TIME. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT 60 TO 65 AND HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY IN THE 80S.

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS IN
PLACE AND WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND SLIGHT CHANCE SOUTH EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
PEAK HEATING HOURS.  HIGHS EACH DAY MAINLY 80 TO 85 AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS 60 TO 65.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE (700 MB)
WILL MOVE RAPIDLY INTO AND ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY..THEN SHIFTS TO OUR EAST BY SATURDAY EVENING.  GIVEN
THE INCREASING MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND UPPER SUPPORT WILL GO WITH
LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE NORTH AND CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH
FRIDAY NIGHT.  WILL TAPER POPS TO CHANCE CATEGORY ON SATURDAY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SATURDAY NIGHT AS MAIN FOCUS SHIFTS OUR
EAST.  SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
MAINLY 55 TO 60 AND HIGHS 75 TO 80.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
LOOKS LIKE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY WE WILL BE BETWEEN SYSTEMS BUT
WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE WILL NEED TO MENTION A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.  NEXT SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND WILL INCLUDE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREA-WIDE.  HIGHS 75 TO 80 AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS 55 TO 60.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     60  83  60  84 /  20  40  30  30
ANNISTON    61  85  62  85 /  20  40  30  30
BIRMINGHAM  65  86  65  83 /  10  30  20  30
TUSCALOOSA  64  88  64  85 /  10  30  20  30
CALERA      63  87  64  84 /  10  30  20  30
AUBURN      63  84  64  83 /  20  20  30  30
MONTGOMERY  63  88  64  86 /  10  10  20  30
TROY        62  87  63  87 /  20  10  20  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
130 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-191830-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
130 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES ARE RATHER SLIM...ANY STORMS THAT
MANAGE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
ALABAMA.  THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT IS ALONG A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED  ACROSS EASTERN ALABAMA...GENERALLY FROM GADSDEN TO
AUBURN.  THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA ON WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH
RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW...THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE...ROUGHLY
NORTH OF A LINE FROM PHENIX CITY TO HAMILTON. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE AND A FEW WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THESE
STORMS DEVELOP MAINLY DURING THE PEAK HEATING OF THE AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE STRONGEST DEVELOPMENT...SO REMAIN UP TO
DATE ON THE LATEST DETAILS OF THE FORECAST AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ACTIVATION MAY BE
NECESSARY AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY OR LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. PLEASE
REMAIN UP TO DATE ON THE LATEST DETAILS CONCERNING THESE POTENTIAL
THUNDERSTORMS.

12/SIRMON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
416 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

ALZ048-182145-
RUSSELL-
416 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR RUSSELL COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

...SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING THUNDERSTORM...

...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM...

AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES EAST OF HURTSBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS TO THE EAST OF HURTSBORO THROUGH
445 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THESE
WINDS CAN BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.

12/SIRMON