Severe Thunderstorm Warning 282, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
230 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

.SHORT TERM...(THROUGH FRIDAY)...
EVENTUALLY THIS ALREADY LONG AND HOT SUMMER IS GOING TO BE OVER. BUT
IN THE MEANTIME...WE CONTINUE TO SUFFER. 19Z TEMPS RANGED FROM THE
UPPER 80S AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO UPPER 90S IN TUSCALOOSA/WEST
CENTRAL ALABAMA. DEWPOINTS AROUND 70...YIELD HEAT INDICES AROUND
100. AND WE STILL HAVE AN HOUR OR TWO TO GO SINCE YESTERDAYS HIGH
AT KBHM WASNT UNTIL 5 PM.

RADAR HAD BEGUN TO SHOW ISOLATED STRONG STORMS...MAINLY EAST OF
I-65...BUT A FEW WERE NOW BEGINNING TO POP WEST OF I-65 ALSO...
INCLUDING A PRETTY DECENT ONE NEAR STUDDARDS CROSSROADS IN FAYETTE
COUNTY. COVERAGE IS ISOLATED AND IN LINE WITH TODAYS FORECAST. WILL
HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF THE ROGUE SHOWER JUST NORTH/WEST OF KBHM IS
ENOUGH TO KEEP THE RECORD HIGH OF 99 SAFE TODAY.

WITH CENTRAL ALABAMA REMAINING ON THE PERIPHERY OF A STRONG UPPER
RIDGE...IT LOOKS LIKE A DITTO FORECAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. UNFORTUNATELY...THIS MEANS HIGHS APPROACHING 100 AGAIN WITH
HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100 AND 110. THE MOST OPPRESSIVE HEAT AND
HUMIDITY WILL BE OVER WEST ALABAMA AND ALONG THE US 80 CORRIDOR...
WHERE HIGHS SHOULD REACH 100 EACH DAY. IT IS HARD TO PINPOINT THE
BEST RAIN CHANCES IN THIS TYPE OF PATTERN...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES ARE FAVORED BOTH AFTERNOONS. MODELS ACTUALLY GAVE
A PRETTY DECENT SHOT AT RAIN BETWEEN TROY AND AUBURN ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT I LEFT THINGS IN THE ISOLATED CATEGORY KEEPING IN
MIND THE OLD DONT FORECAST RAIN IN A DROUGHT THEORY.

LOW-LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES DONT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...SO I BASICALLY FORECASTED PERSISTENCE...GOING WELL ABOVE GFS
MOS THROUGHOUT. OF COURSE...ANY AREA THAT GETS THE ISOLATED SHOWERS
WILL STAY SLIGHTLY COOLER (BUT MORE HUMID...SO ITS BASICALLY EVEN).

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
SOME RELIEF IS ON THE WAY...BUT SIGNS ARE POINTING TO IT NOT BEING
QUITE AS QUICK OR AS NICE AS WE HAD ONCE HOPED. THE UPPER RIDGE
DOES BREAK DOWN AND IS REPLACED BY AN EASTERN CONUS TROUGH. THAT
MUCH IS TRUE. HOWEVER...THE 12Z GFS LOOKS TOO FAST IN BREAKING DOWN
THE RIDGE DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. SO SATURDAY COULD STILL BE
FAIRLY HOT.

RAIN CHANCES DO INCREASE THOUGH AS A FRONT TRIES TO APPROACH THE
STATE. GFS...NOT SURPRISINGLY...TRIES TO DRIVE THIS FRONT ENTIRELY
TOO FAR SOUTHWARD...EVEN DOWN INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA SO WILL TAKE THE
MORE LIKELY-REALISTIC APPROACH OF HANGING THE FRONT TO THE NORTH...
AND THEREFORE WE WILL STAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 FOR HIGHS
WITH LOWS AROUND 70. KEPT CHANCE POPS IN THROUGHOUT...WITH THE
HIGHEST CHANCE OVER THE WEEKEND (SORRY ABOUT THAT) WHEN THE FRONT IS
AT ITS CLOSEST AND THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS IN PLAY.
&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 18Z TAFS.
SCATTERED CUMULUS HAS STARTED TO FORM WITH BASES AROUND 4000 FT.
THE CLOUD BASE WILL GRADUALLY RISE TO 5-6 THSD FT AS THE AFTERNOON
PROGRESSES. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AROUND 5 KT WITH
DIRECTIONS MOST OF THE TIME FROM THE SOUTHWEST...EXCEPT FOR
SOUTHEAST AT KANB.

THE INTENSE AFTERNOON HEAT AND HIGHLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL
RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ANYWHERE OVER THE AREA.
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...VCTS WAS USED THROUGH 19/01Z TO INDICATE THAT
A TS COULD BE IN THE VICINITY OF EACH TERMINAL AT TIMES.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     70  98  70  98 /  10  10  10  10
ANNISTON    73  98  73  98 /  10  10  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  75  99  75  99 /  10  10  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  74 101  74 102 /  10  20  10  10
CALERA      74  99  74  99 /  10  20  10  10
AUBURN      74  98  74  99 /  10  10  10  20
MONTGOMERY  75 101  75 102 /  10  20  10  20
TROY        73  98  73  97 /  10  10  10  20
&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
&&

ELLIOTT/23-KHUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-191100-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
100 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY WITH MANY
LOCATIONS REACHING 100 DEGREES AND ABOVE. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED
WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MAKE IT FEEL BETWEEN 100 AND 109
DEGREES.

BESIDES THE HEAT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE A HIGH POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE A WET MICROBURST WITH STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MILES AN
HOUR.

WET MICROBURST POTENTIAL:
BIRMINGHAM...HIGH.
MONTGOMERY...VERY HIGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD 100 DEGREE AND ABOVE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WRS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
150 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

ALZ037-181915-
TALLAPOOSA-
150 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR TALLAPOOSA COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...

AT 150 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEW SITE...OR 17 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ALEXANDER CITY...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  DAVISTON.
  GOLDVILLE.
  NEW SITE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SCHAUB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
156 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

ALZ029-181930-
RANDOLPH-
156 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR RANDOLPH COUNTY UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 155 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOWDON...OR 19 MILES NORTH
OF ROANOKE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  WOODLAND.
  WEDOWEE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SCHAUB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
217 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

ALZ037-181945-
TALLAPOOSA-
217 PM CDT TUE JUL 18 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR TALLAPOOSA COUNTY UNTIL 245 PM
CDT...

AT 215 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW SITE...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ALEXANDER CITY...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  GOLDVILLE.
  NEW SITE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

SCHAUB