Severe Thunderstorm Warning 145, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
255 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
IMPULSE ACROSS WESTERN ALABAMA WILL MOVE ACROSS THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.  THERE COULD BE SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND SOME STORMS
MAY BE SEVERE.  WILL INCLUDE MAINLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WORDING.
ON THURSDAY MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE AREA
NEAR MID DAY AND MOVING THROUGH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
WILL FORECAST POPS IN THE CATEGORY WITH THE HIGHEST POPS WEST.
A FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE GIVEN THE UPPER SUPPORT...COLD
POOL ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER
THURSDAY EVENING.  OVERNIGHT LOWS EACH NIGHT IN THE 60S...HIGHS
THURSDAY IN THE 80S.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND MUCH
STRONGER UPPER SUPPORT WILL MOVE INTO AND ACROSS THE AREA.  MODELS
DEPICT IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE AND INCREASING VERTICAL
MOTION ESPECIALLY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  WILL FORECAST LIKELY
POPS NORTHWEST FRIDAY AND MAINLY CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE.  HIGHEST
POPS WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AS UPPER SUPPORT MOVES THROUGH WITH
CATEGORICAL POPS NORTH AND LIKELY POPS SOUTH.  HIGHS FRIDAY 80 TO
85 AND THEN LOWS AT NIGHT 50S NORTH AND 60S SOUTH.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY
MORNING AND MUCH OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE RAIN FREE AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.  HIGH TEMPERATURES UPPER 70S NORTH
TO LOWER 80S SOUTH WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVING INTO AND ACROSS
THE AREA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD.  WILL GENERALLY
KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
PEAK HEATING HOURS.  HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S NORTH AND LOWER 80S
SOUTH.  OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     61  82  61  80 /  30  40  30  40
ANNISTON    63  84  62  82 /  30  40  30  30
BIRMINGHAM  65  83  64  81 /  20  50  30  40
TUSCALOOSA  64  85  63  83 /  20  50  30  50
CALERA      64  84  62  82 /  20  30  20  30
AUBURN      65  85  65  83 /  30  30  20  20
MONTGOMERY  64  88  63  84 /  10  30  20  20
TROY        62  87  64  84 /  30  30  20  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
657 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-210000-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
657 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED UNTIL 10 PM CDT...
MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A WARRIOR TO SYLACAUGA TO AUBURN LINE.
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS IS THE MAIN HAZARD
WITH THE STORMS...THOUGH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
AS WELL.  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
10 PM CDT NORTH OF A DEMOPOLIS TO WETUMPKA TO EUFAULA LINE.

THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG OLD OUTFLOW
BOUNDARYS ACROSS NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL LOOSE THE
HEATING OF THE DAY AND DIMINISH BY 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

ON THURSDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WILL REMAIN
MOIST AND UNSTABLE.  THIS ATMOSPHERE WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE EXTRA LIFT FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  ONCE AGAIN...THESE STORMS MAY DEVELOP
ANYWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA MAINLY DURING THE HEATING OF THE
DAY...BUT THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
CENTRAL ALABAMA.  THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL BE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.  IN ADDITION...A STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AS IT
PUSHES THROUGH.  THIS SITUATION MAY PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  THE STORMS
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 2 PM CDT AND 4 PM CDT IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD...GRADUALLY WEAKENING IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL HAVE ACTIVATED AND
WILL BE REQUIRED THROUGH 10 PM CDT...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A WARRIOR TO
AUBURN LINE.  ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATEST DETAILS
CONCERNING THESE POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS.

MBS/91

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1029 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 PM     HAIL             PRATTVILLE              32.46N 86.45W
04/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       AUTAUGA            AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            PENNY SIZED HAIL AT THE K-MART IN PRATTVILLE.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1033 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     HAIL             MILLBROOK               32.49N 86.37W
04/19/2006  E1.75 INCH       ELMORE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN THE MILLBROOK AND DEATSVILLE
            AREAS.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1038 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE BILLINGSLEY        32.62N 86.66W
04/19/2006                   AUTAUGA            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS NORTH AUTAUGA COUNTY...PLUS
            SEVERAL REPORTS OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL COUNTY WIDE.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1043 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1042 PM     HAIL             MONTGOMERY              32.35N 86.28W
04/19/2006  E0.75 INCH       MONTGOMERY         AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            PENNY SIZED HAIL IN NORTH MONTGOMERY.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1050 PM CDT WED APR 19 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1049 PM     HAIL             MONTGOMERY              32.35N 86.28W
04/19/2006  E0.25 INCH       MONTGOMERY         AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PEA SIZED HAIL AT THE WAKA TELEVISION STUDIO ON THE
            EASTERN BLVD.

&&

DCW

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