Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 15, 2006Pierce County, Rolette County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2006, 9:16 PM CDT for Pierce County, Rolette County, North Dakota. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2006, 9:16 PM CDT (02:16 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2006, 9:59 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Pierce County, ND, Rolette County, ND

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 103 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -251 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2223 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 3:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 3:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 16 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
300 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL SET OFF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH MUCAPES AOV 4000 J/KG PROGGED BY THE GFS. AT THIS
TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE ACTIVITY WILL KICK OFF OVER...OR JUST EAST OF
THE BISMARCK AREA. POST FRONTAL SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
MONTANA MAY LIMP INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS EVENING ALSO.

ON FRIDAY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL STILL BE IN PLACE...WITH ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BY 00Z. MUCAPES TO THE EAST OF
BIS ARE PROGGED AT 1200 J/KG SO IT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EVENT IN OUR EASTERN COUNTIES. ONCE AGAIN A FEW SHOWERS MAY
LIMP ACROSS THE MONTANA BEFORE DYING OUT IN NORTH DAKOTA. BEST
CHANCES WILL BE IN OUR NORTHWEST...NEARER THE UPPER COLD POOL.

ON SATURDAY...I LOOK FOR ANOTHER DIURNAL EVENT (AFTERNOON/EVENING)
AS CONTINUING CYCLONICALLY CURVED UPPER FLOW....UPPER COLD POOLING
AND MUCAPES OF 800-1200 J/KG WILL WORK THEIR MAGIC OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

STRONG RIDGING WILL BRING A DRY SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
BY MONDAY NIGHT THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST AND ANOTHER SURFACE LOW
WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE STATE BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF TSTMS
WITH IT.  THE FLOW WILL TURN ZONAL BY WEDNESDAY CONTINUING THROUGH
THURSDAY.  TIMING OF SHORT WAVES IN THE FLOW WILL BE DIFFICULT, SO
FOR NOW WILL NOT MENTION PRECIP. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY COULD PUSH
90 IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL IN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE LOW...BUT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SHOULD SEE TEMPS NEARER
TO NORMAL.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

RSL/TSW

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 4:13 AM CDT, 17 hours 3 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
413 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2006

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-160915-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
413 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2006 /313 AM MDT THU JUN 15 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 8:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons	61 min
Jun 15, 8:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Logan	63 min
Jun 15, 9:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, Wells	57 min
Jun 15, 9:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, Stutsman	55 min
Jun 15, 9:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Logan	49 min
Jun 15, 10:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Stutsman	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.