High Wind Warning 2, NWS Binghamton, NY

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 281122
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
717 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...INTENSE EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM WILL BRING HIGH WINDS TO
UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-281930-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0002.061029T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
717 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...THAT STRETCHED FROM BUFFALO NEW YORK SOUTH THROUGH
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING...WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL NEW
YORK BY NOON AND BECOME A MAJOR EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM AS IT
REACHES FAR SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC BY THIS EVENING. THE STORM WILL
THEN REMAIN STATIONARY OVER WESTERN QUEBEC AS IT CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY TONIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM NEW
YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA SUNDAY.

THIS STORM WILL SWEEP A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION
ON VERY STRONG WEST WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
IN THE DAY. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS
TO 60 MPH AT TIMES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND CAUSE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. TREES AND BRANCHES COULD BLOCK ROADS MAKING TRAVEL
DIFFICULT AS WELL.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
281930-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.061029T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
717 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE...THAT STRETCHED FROM BUFFALO NEW YORK SOUTH THROUGH
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING...WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL NEW
YORK BY NOON AND BECOME A MAJOR EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM AS IT
REACHES FAR SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC BY THIS EVENING. THE STORM WILL
THEN REMAIN STATIONARY OVER WESTERN QUEBEC AS IT CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY TONIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM NEW
YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA SUNDAY.

THIS STORM WILL SWEEP A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR TO CENTRAL
NEW YORK...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND THE WESTERN CATSKILLS ON
STRONG WEST WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE IN THE DAY.
WEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN
MANY PLACES. GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
1500 FEET IN THE CATSKILLS AND POCONOS AND OVER THE HILLS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF PENNSYLVANIA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$
NICOSIA

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 281847
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
247 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...INTENSE EARLY SEASON STORM WILL BRING HIGH WINDS TO UPSTATE
NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-290300-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0002.061029T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
247 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NORTHERN NEW
YORK WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC
TONIGHT. THIS STORM HAS PUSHED A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION TODAY...WHICH IS USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS. THE STORM WILL THEN REMAIN OVER WESTERN QUEBEC
THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM
NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
SUNDAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING SUNDAY EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE
FROM 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH AT TIMES FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND CAUSE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. TREES AND BRANCHES COULD BLOCK ROADS MAKING TRAVEL
DIFFICULT AS WELL.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
290300-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.061029T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
247 PM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NORTHERN NEW
YORK WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC
TONIGHT. THIS STORM HAS PUSHED A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION TODAY...WHICH IS USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS. THE STORM WILL THEN REMAIN OVER WESTERN QUEBEC
THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY...BEFORE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM
NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
SUNDAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING SUNDAY EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE
FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN MANY PLACES. GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE MOST LIKELY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET IN THE CATSKILLS
AND POCONOS AND OVER THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK
AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF PENNSYLVANIA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 290716
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
216 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...INTENSE EARLY SEASON STORM WILL BRING HIGH WINDS TO UPSTATE
NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-291530-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
216 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN
CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TODAY. THIS
STORM HAS PUSHED A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION...
USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WESTERLY WINDS. THE STORM
WILL REMAIN OVER WESTERN QUEBEC THROUGH THE DAY...BEFORE LIFTING
OUT TONIGHT.

STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE
FROM 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH AT TIMES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND CAUSE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. TREES AND BRANCHES COULD BLOCK ROADS MAKING TRAVEL
DIFFICULT AS WELL.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
291530-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
216 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN
CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TODAY. THIS
STORM HAS PUSHED A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION...
USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR ON STRONG WESTERLY WINDS. THE STORM
WILL REMAIN OVER WESTERN QUEBEC THROUGH THE DAY...BEFORE LIFTING
OUT TONIGHT.

STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE
FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH IN MANY PLACES. GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE MOST LIKELY AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET IN THE CATSKILLS
AND POCONOS AND OVER THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK
AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF PENNSYLVANIA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 291506
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1006 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...INTENSE EARLY SEASON STORM CONTINUES TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO
UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-292315-
/O.CON.KBGM.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
1006 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
QUEBEC. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...AND DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE
LIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE THIS
EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF
55 TO 60 MPH AT TIMES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE COULD KNOCK DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND CAUSE
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. TREES AND BRANCHES COULD BLOCK ROADS MAKING TRAVEL
DIFFICULT AS WELL.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
292315-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1006 AM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
QUEBEC. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...AND DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE
LIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING AND
CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE THIS
EVENING. WEST WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
MPH IN MANY PLACES. GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE MOST LIKELY AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1500 FEET IN THE CATSKILLS AND POCONOS AND OVER THE HILLS OF
THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN TIER OF
PENNSYLVANIA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBGM 291914
NPWBGM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
214 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...INTENSE EARLY SEASON STORM CONTINUES TO BRING HIGH WINDS TO
UPSTATE NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

NYZ009-015>018-036-037-300000-
/O.CAN.KBGM.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-
SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
214 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
QUEBEC. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON...AND DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE
LIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE AREA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NYZ022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-
300000-
/O.CON.KBGM.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-061030T0000Z/
STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-
BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
214 PM EST SUN OCT 29 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER CENTRAL
QUEBEC. THIS LOW IS PRODUCING STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON...AND DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE
LIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA.

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1500 FEET IN THE CATSKILLS AND POCONOS AND OVER
THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN TIER
OF PENNSYLVANIA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
WATCH OUT FOR DEBRIS IN ROADWAYS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION. WINDS OF THE MAGNITUDE CAN ALSO
DOWN SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND KNOCK DOWN TREE BRANCHES CAUSING
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THE IMPENDING HIGH WINDS...STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR VISIT OUR INTERNET WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV.

$$

JMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
115 AM EDT SAT OCT 28 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
STRONG STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER OH VALLEY THIS EVENING.
CURRENT SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS 996MB LOW NR BOWLING GREEN KY WITH
UL FEATURE HANGING SLIGHTLY BACK TO THE WEST. UPSTREAM WAVE OVER
GREAT LAKES IS DROPPING SOUTH INTO NORTHERN WI AND WILL HELP IN
RAPIDLY DEEPENING SFC SYSTEM TONIGHT. SFC CONVERGENCE EVIDENT
ACROSS WESTERN NY WHERE WIDESPREAD MODERATE RAINFALL IS OCCURRING
FROM CENTRAL OH UP ALONG LAKE SHORE.

LARGE PCPN SHIELD EXTENDS THRU ALL OF PA INTO OH. DRY SLOT HAS
NOSED INTO SRN OH...A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAN 18Z MODELS WOULD
INDICATE. HOWEVER...CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN THIS DRY SLOT OVER
TN VALLEY AND SPREADING INTO WV/VA AND UP TOWARD CWA. MAJORITY OF
AREA NOW SEEING LIGHT RAINFALL AS ATMOSPHERE QUICKLY SATURATES.

MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASING AS VWP FROM STERLING VA AND POINTS
SOUTH SHOW 40-50KTS OF FLOW IN DEVELOPING LLJ. ALL MODELS BRING
JET CORE INTO FA AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAD DEBATED ISSUING WIND ADVISORY
FOR OVERNIGHT PERIOD BUT BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW MIXING MAY NOT BE
THERE INITIALLY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA...THUS WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO ONGOING STATEMENT.

AS FAR AS RAINFALL GOES...THINKING REMAINS UNCHANGED. DRY SLOT
THROWS SOMEWHAT OF A MONKEY WRENCH INTO QPF FCST...BUT WITH NEW
CONVECTION DEVELOPING AND INTERACTION OF COUPLED 2H JET IN
MOISTURE-RICH AIRMASS WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES DEFINITELY
PLAUSIBLE. CONTINUING FLOOD WATCH FOR ONEIDA COUNTY WITH CONCERNS
FOR MOHAWK RIVER RISING CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE. OTHER SITES MAY ALSO
APPROACH FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING. WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN QPF THINKING...RISES WILL LIKELY BE SEEN ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS BUT MAINSTEM RIVERS SHOULD REMAIN IN BANKS. HEAVIER AMOUNTS
THOUGH COULD PUSH SOME RIVERS INTO MINOR FLOOD AND WILL KEEP
WATCHFUL EYE ON RAINFALL AMOUNTS/LATEST RIVER GUIDANCE.
ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE AS THEY BECOME NECESSARY.

CATSKILLS AND POCONOS COULD STILL SEE LOCALIZED 3 INCH AMOUNTS
WITH SERLY FLOW UPSLOPING ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AND ANONYMOUSLY
HIGH PW VALUES. WILL NEED TO WATCH SENSITIVE RIVER POINTS FOR ANY
SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT RISES.

ALL IN ALL...WILL UPDATE GRIDS/TEXT PRODUCTS TO REMOVE TIME-
SENSITIVE WORDING. WILL RE-EVALUATE FFA AS NEW MODEL FCST/RIVER
GUIDANCE BECOMES AVAILABLE. NO CHANGES EXPECTED TO WIND HEADLINES
AT THE MOMENT AND SPS WILL STAND AS IS. HOPE TO HAVE ALL PRODUCTS
OUT THE DOOR BY 02Z.

&&

AVIATION... /280600Z-290600Z/
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS BRINGING MAINLY MVFR 010-025 CIGS OCCASIONAL IFR
006-009 AND VSBYS 4-6SM TO THE REGION.  LOW LEVEL WINDS RISE QUICKLY
OFF THE SFC TO 40-45 KTS THEREFORE LLWS MENTIONED FOR THIS EARLY
MORNING PERIOD...DURING THE DAY THIS LOW LEVEL JET LIFTS OUT BUT SFC
WINDS REMAIN GUSTY INTO TONIGHT. CIGS AND VSBYS ARE EXPECTED TO
LOWER SLIGHTLY DURING THE 12-15Z TIMEFRAME... THEN BETWEEN 15 AND
18Z TODAY WINDS SHFT FROM S-SE TO SW AS A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE
AREA. RAIN WILL BECOME SHOWERY IN THE AFTEROON WITH MVFR CIGS AND
UNLIMITED VSBYS. -JFC

PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 424 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

VERY POTENT LATE OCTOBER STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS...HIGH
WINDS...AND EVENTUALLY SOME SNOWFALL TO THE FORECAST AREA.

LOW PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY...FUELED BY A POTENT SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE. AT THE SAME
TIME NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY IS CURRENTLY RACING SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO NORTH DAKOTA AND MINNESOTA. LATEST MODEL RUNS SUGGEST THAT
THE NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WILL DOMINATE WHEN THE TWO COLLIDE ON
SATURDAY MORNING OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL KEEP THE
LOW TRACK OVER AND JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA.

RAIN WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA AND
BECOME STEADIER AND HEAVIER AS DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT ARRIVES AFTER
MIDNIGHT...ALONG WITH A POWERFUL 60KT LLJ. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT
TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS TO 45MPH POSSIBLE OVER
EXPOSED HILLTOP LOCATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS AND NORTHERN
POCONOS...LOCATIONS CLOSEST TO THE LLJ.

ON SATURDAY...THE LOW DEEPENS RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES JUST WEST OF THE
CWA. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS AS A COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH THE CWA DURING THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL CONTINUE
TO BE IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

ON SATURDAY NIGHT..WITH THE LOW REACHING ITS PEAK INTENSITY OVER
SOUTHERN ONTARIO...EXPECT WESTERLY WINDS TO STRENGTHEN WITH GUSTS
NEAR 60 MPH POSSIBLE...THUS WARRANTING THE HIGH WIND WATCH. ATTM
WE FEEL THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL WAIT UNTIL DAYTIME MIXING
DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY. WILL LET LATER SHIFTS HONE THE TIMING OF THE
WATCH AND POTENTIAL WARNINGS/ADVISORIES SHOULD THEY BECOME NECESSARY.

BY SATURDAY NIGHT AND ON SUNDAY...TEMPS COOL TO THE POINT WHERE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW COULD BECOME A PROBLEM. WORKING AGAINST
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ARE MARGINAL T850S OF -4 TO -6C AND SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S. ATTM...PAINT A 1-3 INCHES
OVER OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES WITH A RA/SN MIX DURING THE DAY
BECOMING ALL SN AT NIGHT.

HYDROLOGY...
A GENERAL 1.5 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CWA WITH
2+ INCH AMOUNTS MOST LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES
ENCOMPASSING THE SOUTHERN CATSKILLS AND NORTHERN POCONOS. WITH 12
HR FFG VALUES RANGING FROM 2 INCHES OVER NORTHWESTERN
COUNTIES...TO OVER 3.5 OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES...FEEL
FLASH FLOODING IS NOT A BIG CONCERN...ALTHOUGH PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS /ESP THOSE WITH CLOGGED STORM DRAINS/ IS A GOOD POSSIBILITY.

AS FOR THE RIVERS...HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR ONEIDA COUNTY
WHERE THE MOHAWK RIVER IS A CONCERN. ONEIDA CREEK IS ALSO FORECAST
TO COME TO WITHIN 2 FEET OF FLOOD STAGE. OVER THE REST OF THE
CWA..GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT WE CAN HANDLE THE 1.5-2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL WITH NO SITES GOING OVER FLOOD STAGE...ALTHOUGH HEADWATER
SITES WILL COME CLOSE. WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON
THIS...AS A LARGE AREA OF 2+ INCHES OF RAINFALL WOULD CAUSE SOME
MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS...ESP IN THE NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA.

LONG TERM /SUN NGT - FRI/...

GIVEN THE SHORT TERM CHALLENGES, WE LARGELY DEFAULTED TO THE HPC
GUIDANCE FOR THE XTNDD FCST. SYSTEM WHICH WILL GIVE US OUR RAIN AND
WIND THIS WEEKEND WILL BE OVER QUEBEC AND LIFTING OUT BY SUNDAY NGT,
WITH RIDGING SFC AND ALOFT FOR MONDAY. WEAK CDFNT XPCTD TO APRCH
TUES WITH A CHC FOR -SHRA IN THE AFTN. A MORE SIG S/WV AND SFC LOW
COULD AFFECT THE RGN BY WED NGT AND THU WITH MORE RAIN, THEN COLDER
CONDITIONS TO FOLLOW FOR LATE IN THE WORK WEEK WITH SOME LES SNOW
PSBL. BOTTOM LINE IS THAT A LARGELY UNSETTLED PTRN CONTINUES.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH FOR NYZ009-037 FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SUNDAY.
  ...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-
     055>057-062 FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY.
PA...HIGH WIND WATCH FOR PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072 FROM 8 PM
     SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...JMA/PB
LONG TERM...RHB
AVIATION...JFC
HYDROLOGY...JMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
331 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

NYZ015>017-022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-
072-281945-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-
CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
331 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SATURDAY. A WIDESPREAD
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 3 INCHES ACROSS THE CATSKILLS AND
POCONOS REGION. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY
FLOODING...ALTHOUGH PONDING OF WATER AND MINOR URBAN FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO THE 20 TO 40 MPH RANGE ON SATURDAY MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE DAY. GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE CATSKILLS AND POCONOS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. RAIN
SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO CALL OR EMAIL ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AN
INCH TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ009-018-036-037-281945-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
331 PM EDT FRI OCT 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY. A WIDESPREAD
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
SUNDAY. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN COULD CAUSE THE MOHAWK RIVER IN
ONEIDA COUNTY TO CREST NEAR BANKFULL LATE SATURDAY AND EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO THE 20 TO 40 MPH RANGE ON SATURDAY MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE DAY. GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ON THE LAKE PLAIN.

AS THE LOW PASSES...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN CAUSING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. AN ADVISORY FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE
NEEDED SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. RAIN
SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO CALL OR EMAIL ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AN
INCH TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEED
SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY IN SUPPORT OF POSSIBLE FLOODING.

PB