Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2006
Flash Flood Warning 89, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 22, 2006, 2:37 PM EDT for Otsego County, New York. It was in force for 68 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2006, 2:37 PM EDT (18:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 22, 2006, 3:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 68 min
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Otsego County, NY
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 594 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 554 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS51 KBGM 221840 FFWBGM NYC077-221945- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 237 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON IS CONTINUING THE * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... NORTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK * UNTIL 345 PM EDT * AT 232 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING IN NORTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY, INCLUDING RICHFIELD SPRINGS, CHERRY VALLEY AND PLAINFIELD. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA, SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO MID AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SPRINGFIELD...RICHFIELD SPRINGS...LEONARDSVILLE...EXETER CENTER... EDMESTON AND CHERRY VALLEY. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. LAT...LON 4290 7477 4273 7466 4268 7531 4290 7520 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 22, 9:08 AM EDT, 5 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 9:08 AM EDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 905 AM SAT JUL 22 2006 .SHORT TERM (TODAY - MONDAY)... UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE JUST BUMPED UP TIMING OF CATEGORICAL PRECIP BY A COUPLE OF HOURS AS ACTIVITY JUST A BIT AHEAD OF PREVIOUS SHIFTS TIMING. RRM ONE LOOK AT THE CURRENT NORTHEAST REGIONAL RADAR...AND WE ARE VERY CONCERNED TODAY ABOUT FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IN OUR ALREADY FLOOD RAVAGED AREA. BROAD AREA OF SYNOPTIC FORCING EXISTS OVER AREA AHEAD OF DIGGING UPR S/WV OVER GTLKS WITH SCT GULLYWASHERS ALREADY IN PROGRESS ACROSS W-CNTRL NY. AREA OF MDT-HVY RAIN OVER CNTRL OH LINES UP WELL WITH GFS DEPICTION OF 850-700 MB FGEN FORCING NORTH OF SFC LOW PRES AND BENEATH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF POTENT MID-SUMMER UL JET. THIS ENHANCED FORCING MOVES RIGHT THROUGH THE HEART OF FCST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHORT RANGE MDLS STILL JOCKEYING FOR POSITION OF AXIS OF HVY RAIN...WHICH TONIGHT HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY FURTHER SOUTH THAN 12Z OR 18Z RUNS YDY. AT LEAST THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT IN THE OP RUNS THAT THERE WILL BE AN AXIS OF HVY RAINFALL IN OUR CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 21Z RUN OF SREF ENSEMBLES SHOW 30 PERCENT OF MEMBERS THINK SC NY-NEPA WILL SEE MORE THAN AN INCH OF RAINFALL BY 03Z TONITE. GIVEN LATEST FRONTAL POSITION AND AFORMENTIONED FORCING ALONG UPR FRONTS...WE WILL LEAN WITH THE GFS POSITION OVER THE NYPENN BORDER VS THE WRF MDL FOCUS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE POCONOS. PWATS REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL...AND FCST QPF AMOUNTS ARE IN THE 1-2.5 INCH RANGE...BUT TSTMS EASILY COULD DOUBLE THAT FOR SOME AREAS. THE RUN-RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE EVENT AND ULTRA SENSITIVITY IN OUR AREA TO FLOODING DICTATES THAT THIS IS NOW THE TIME FOR A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ONE WILL BE ISSUED FOR ENTIRE CWA...ALTHOUGH THE LEAST THREAT IS PROBABLY THE FINGER LAKES/WRN MHWK VALLEY. I DO NOT WANT TO TOTALLY DOWNPLAY THIS AREA THOUGH WITH CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS PSBL THAT FAR NORTH LEADING TO LOCAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. RIVER MODELS SAY THE MAIN STEMS CAN HANDLE THIS EVENT...AND IN GENERAL THAT MAY BE BASICALLY TRUE...HOWEVER THE NOTORIOUSLY FLASHY HEADWATERS...AND SOME OF THE OTHER LOW FLOOD STAGE ROUTED POINTS COULD GET INTO MINOR FLOOD JEOPARDY IF HVY RAIN ELEMENTS DECIDE TO PICK ON THEIR LOCAL RUNOFF BASINS. THE LOW PASSES THROUGH NEPA AND INTO NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING... WHICH IS PROBABLY THE SILVER LINING OF THE EVENT IN THAT IT APPEARS QUICK HITTING. DRIER AIR ON NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ADVECTS INTO THE REGION WITH RAIN DIMINISHING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...BUT STILL A FEW S/WVS TO ROTATE AROUND UPPER LVL CYCLONIC FLOW. PLENTY OF LLVL MOISTURE FOR CU DEVELOPMENT...BUT DRY AIR IN THE LOW-MID LVLS WILL HELP KEEP A CHECK ON ANY SHOWERS...SO HAVE LIMITED POPS DOWN TO LOW CHC. SIMILAR DRY TREND CONTINUES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MORE REFRESHING LESS HUMID AIR INTO MONDAY WITH INCREASING SUNSHINE. TEMPS TODAY STARTING OUT MILDER THAN GUIDANCE...SO WILL BUMP UP NUMBERS JUST A BIT FROM MAV MOS. OTHERWISE...USED A RELIABLE BLEND OF FWC/MAV THROUGH MONDAY. -JAB && .AVIATION (22/06Z TO 23/06Z)... VFR CIGS AND VFR TO MVFR VSBYS TO START. THE VSBYS ARE AROUND 5 MILES AT AVP AND ITH WITH ELM AND BGM FOLLOWING SOON. A BAND OF SHOWERS SLOWLY LIFTING NE COULD BRING SOME MVFR CIGS AND IFR VSBYS BRIEFLY BEFORE 12Z. ELM COULD AGAIN FALL TO IFR CIG AND VSBY IN FOG AROUND 10Z. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING FROM SW TO NE THEN BECOMING STEADY EARLY AFTN. HAVE GONE WITH MOS WITH MVFR CIGS AND IFR VSBYS. A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD TONIGHT AS THE RAIN TAPERS OFF. EAST WINDS OF 5 KTS OR LESS WILL BACK TO NE TODAY AND INCREASE TO 5 TO 10 KTS. THIS EVENING N WIND AROUND 5 KTS. && .LONG TERM (MON NIGHT - FRIDAY)... FLOW ALOFT FLATTENS OUT AND BECOMES VERY NEAR TO ZONAL EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN TROF APPROACHES THE REGION WED INTO THURS. THE TROF IS VERY PROGRESSIVE AND LIFTS OUT OF THE REGION BY FRIDAY. TEMPS SEASONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WEATHERWISE THE PATTERN IS QUIET JUST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WED AND THU. -JFC && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING ALL COUNTIES. .PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING ALL COUNTIES.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 4:11 AM EDT, 10 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 411 AM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-230815- NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN- SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND- CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD- SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE- SOUTHERN WAYNE- 411 AM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING OF STREAMS...SMALLER RIVERS AND URBAN AREAS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA...SEE ALBFFABGM /WGUS61 KBGM/ FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ASSISTANCE MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING. JAB
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 22, 12:45 PM EDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 1245 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 PAZ039-040-044-072-221745- LACKAWANNA PA-SUSQUEHANNA PA-WAYNE PA- 1245 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE AREA... * AT 1240 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WALLSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... FLEETVILLE AND MARSHBROOK AT 1250 PM EDT... EAST BENTON AND LENOXVILLE AT 1255 PM EDT... CLIFFORD AND TOMPKINSVILLE AT 100 PM EDT... ELKDALE AND MAYFIELD AT 105 PM EDT... RICHMONDALE AND CARBONDALE AT 110 PM EDT... VANDLING AND FOREST CITY AT 115 PM EDT... BROWNDALE AND WAYMART AT 120 PM EDT... ALDENVILLE AND PLEASANT MOUNT AT 125 PM EDT... THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK SHELTER OF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
Local storm report, Jul 22, 2:01 PM EDT, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
201 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM FLASH FLOOD RICHFIELD SPRINGS 42.85N 74.99W
07/22/2006 OTSEGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
ROADWAYS FLOODED AND WASHED OUT. CULVERTS OVERFLOWING.
BASEMENT FLOODING. ALSO REPORTED IN CHERRY VALLEY AND
PLAINFIELD.
&&
RHBLocal storm report, Jul 22, 2:06 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
206 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM FLASH FLOOD RICHFIELD SPRINGS 42.85N 74.99W
07/22/2006 OTSEGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
ROADWAYS FLOODED AND WASHED OUT. CULVERTS OVERFLOWING.
BASEMENT FLOODING. ALSO REPORTED IN CHERRY VALLEY AND
PLAINFIELD.
0121 PM FLASH FLOOD SMYRNA 42.69N 75.57W
07/22/2006 CHENANGO NY PUBLIC
WATER OVER ROADS IN SMYRNA
&&
RHBLocal storm report, Jul 22, 2:24 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
224 PM EDT SAT JUL 22 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM FLASH FLOOD RICHFIELD SPRINGS 42.85N 74.99W
07/22/2006 OTSEGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
ROADWAYS FLOODED AND WASHED OUT. CULVERTS OVERFLOWING.
BASEMENT FLOODING. ALSO REPORTED IN CHERRY VALLEY AND
PLAINFIELD.
0115 PM FLASH FLOOD NORWICH 42.53N 75.52W
07/22/2006 CHENANGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
WASHOUTS ON COUNTY ROAD 33. ALSO ON COUNTY ROAD 32 IN
OXFORD AND COUNTY ROADS 36 AND 38 IN GUILFORD
0121 PM FLASH FLOOD SMYRNA 42.69N 75.57W
07/22/2006 CHENANGO NY PUBLIC
WATER OVER ROADS IN SMYRNA
&&
RHBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 3:42 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 11 more | 16 hr |
| Jul 22, 11:51 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BGM | Chenango, Madison, Otsego | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2006Every flash flood warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.