Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS La Crosse, WI

October 4, 2006Crawford County, Wisconsin

NWS La Crosse, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 4, 2006, 5:15 AM CDT for Crawford County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 16 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 4, 2006, 5:15 AM CDT (10:15 UTC)
Expired: Oct 4, 2006, 5:31 AM CDT
In force: 16 min
Issued by: NWS La Crosse, WI
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Crawford County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 4, 4:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	3 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 958 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2433 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 258 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KARX 041014
SVRARX
WIC023-041045-
/O.NEW.KARX.SV.W.0165.061004T1015Z-061004T1045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
515 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 545 AM CDT

* AT 509 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PETERSBURG...OR ABOUT 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PETERSBURG AND STEUBEN AROUND 515 AM...
  HIGHWAYS 60 AND 61 AND MOUNT ZION AROUND 520 AM...
  HORRIGAN RIDGE AROUND 525 AM...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4342 9096 4315 9092 4313 9076 4318 9067
      4342 9068

$$

BOYNE

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KARX 041022
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
522 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

WIC023-041045-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-061004T1045Z/
CRAWFORD WI-
522 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT 
FOR EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...

AT 517 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNT ZION...OR 19 MILES WEST OF
RICHLAND CENTER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 4342 9096 4315 9092 4313 9076 4318 9067
      4342 9068

$$

BOYNE

000 
WWUS53 KARX 041031
SVSARX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
531 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

WIC023-041041-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0165.000000T0000Z-061004T1045Z/
CRAWFORD WI-
531 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IS 
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THIS WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER
APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER.

LAT...LON 4342 9096 4315 9092 4313 9076 4318 9067
      4342 9068

$$

BOYNE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 4, 2:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 2:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
258 AM CDT WED OCT 4 2006

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THOUGH FRIDAY

THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE IS THE
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS MORNING...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
FROST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

AT 2 AM...THE SURFACE WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM MILWAUKEE TO A LOW
JUST SOUTH OF WATERLOO. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING
ALONG THE 850 MB COLD FRONT. NONE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
CURRENTLY SEVERE. HOWEVER THERE WERE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING
IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A SPEED MAX MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA. AS THE SPEED MAX MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING...THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN.

ONCE THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...SKIES
SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SUBSIDENCE INCREASES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS TROUGH. MOST OF THE
AREA WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FROST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA.
THE MOS TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE IS INTERESTLY KEEPING THE
TEMPERATURES AT LEAST 5 TO 10F ABOVE FREEZING WHICH IS SLIGHTLY
WARMER THAN I EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...I TRENDED A DEGREE OR COOLER
THAN MOS. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOUT 6 FEET...THEREFORE...
TEMPERATURES AT GROUND LEVEL COULD BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING. THOUGHT
ABOUT ISSUING A FROST ADVISORY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST
IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN FOR TONIGHT...BUT
HELD OFF SO THAT THE DAY SHIFT COULD EVALUATE THE LOW TEMPERATURES
A BIT MORE.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

AN OMEGA HIGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES EARLY IN
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS HIGH IS SLOWING THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF
THE WESTERN TROUGH. AS A RESULT...THE COLD FRONT NOW APPEARS THAT
IT WILL NOT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION UNTIL SUNDAY. THIS RIDGE THEN
QUICKLY BREAKS DOWN ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE RIDGE
AXIS...WHICH HAS BEEN OFF THE WEST COAST FOR THE PAST WEEK...MOVES
EAST AND AMPLIFIES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA. AS THIS
DEVELOPS...OUR WINDS ALOFT WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE
NORTHWEST. THIS IS CORRESPONDING WELL WITH THE MADDEN JULIAN
OSCILLATION ENTERING PHASE 6. DURING THIS PHASE...TYPICALLY OUR
AREA OF THE COUNTRY SEES NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

BOYNE

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 10:40 PM CDT, 6 hours 35 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1040 PM CDT TUE OCT 3 2006

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-032>034-
041>044-053>055-061-041100-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-LA CROSSE-
MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-VERNON-
WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
1040 PM CDT TUE OCT 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WARM FRONT EXTENDED ACROSS SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN AND ALONG THE
MINNESOTA IOWA BORDER TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTH CENTRAL
IOWA. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE LOW INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ADVANCING EASTWARD TONIGHT...
TRIGGERING THUNDERSTORMS.

WHILE SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS A THREAT ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...THE TORNADO THREAT HAD DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...AND TO
A LESSER EXTENT DAMAGING WINDS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TIME
WILL BE UNTIL MIDNIGHT IN MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND SOUTHWEST
WISCONSIN. IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...THE
PRIMARY THREAT TIME SHOULD CONTINUE INTO EARLY MORNING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE NEXT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AS IT
MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO
EARLY TO DISCERN WHETHER ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION SHOULD NOT BE NECESSARY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...SINCE THE PRIMARY THREAT HAS BECOME LARGE HAIL.
HOWEVER...ANY REPORTABLE CONDITIONS OF HAIL SIZE OR WIND SPEEDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BE APPRECIATED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO CALL IS SCHEDULED.

THOMPSON

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:36 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
436 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 AM     HAIL             3 W PROTIVIN            43.22N 92.15W
10/04/2006  E1.75 INCH       HOWARD             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MW

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:37 AM CDT, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
437 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 AM     HAIL             SOLDIERS GROVE          43.39N 90.77W
10/04/2006  E1.00 INCH       CRAWFORD           WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LASTED 10 MINUTES

&&

MW

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:50 AM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
450 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0449 AM     HAIL             2 N CALMAR              43.21N 91.87W
10/04/2006  E0.88 INCH       WINNESHIEK         IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MW

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:52 AM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
452 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 AM     HAIL             1 N CALMAR              43.19N 91.87W
10/04/2006  E1.00 INCH       WINNESHIEK         IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL COVERING THE ROAD ALONG HIGHWAY 52

&&

MW

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:56 AM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
456 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 AM     HAIL             1 W RICHLAND CENTER     43.34N 90.40W
10/04/2006  E1.75 INCH       RICHLAND           WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

MW

Local storm report, Oct 4, 4:58 AM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
458 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 AM     HAIL             RICHLAND CENTER         43.34N 90.38W
10/04/2006  M0.75 INCH       RICHLAND           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5 MINUTES OF 3/4 INCH HAIL FROM 450 TO 455 AM

&&

MW

The office that day

Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 3, 8:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Jackson, Trempealeau	79 min
Oct 3, 9:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Clark, Jackson	33 min
Oct 4, 4:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Vernon	17 min
Oct 4, 4:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Richland	23 min
Oct 4, 4:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Richland	24 min
Oct 4, 5:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ARX	Crawford, Grant	23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.